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re: Curve is clearly flattening - Updated: still looking good

Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:44 pm to
Posted by Vood
Enjoying a Forty with Lando
Member since Dec 2007
8336 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:44 pm to
Dont put any stock into weekend numbers. The last 2 weekends the numbers have been lower, even your graph shows this.
Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
77580 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:45 pm to
March 29 and March 30.
Posted by BenDover78
Member since Mar 2020
305 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:45 pm to
You are an idiot
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63965 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:46 pm to
Tigerpaw, that's exactly what I track in GA. The daily new admit is down three days in a row
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
65069 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

By definition, the curve cannot be flattened if no action is taken.


Not true. The curve can be flattened by allowing this shite to burn through before being killed off by the heat and humidity summer provides North America.

Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
113941 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:46 pm to
I think a lot of people are not being realistic with this situation. All of these people saying "its not worse than the flu. We need to open things back up right now" fail to realize hospitals are already being pushed to the limit. There are hospitals in which resources are becoming limited and doctors and nurses are catching it and that impacts manpower.

You can't compare that to the flu.

And all of the people who think this is some type of political stunt, at least in the US I haven't seen both parties work together like this since.. I guess after 9/11..

For the most part, people's political differences have been pushed aside and the priority has been the best interest of the people.

If this was a situation where one side is saying this should be handled one way while the other side says it should be handled that way then I wouldn't take this as serious because when that happens there is usually an agenda behind why both sides want people to look at a situation a certain way.

People are losing their common sense in all of this and they are seeing what they want.
Posted by genuineLSUtiger
Nashville
Member since Sep 2005
72938 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:47 pm to
Peak is two to three weeks out baws. It is likely to get ugly in the near term.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56470 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

I don’t know how anyone can argue the quarantine isn’t working or that the flattening of the curve would have happened naturally if we hadn’t done anything at all.

It is clearly working. In a couple weeks, we will be ready to start slowly opening back up.


If the distancing is helping and the curve wouldn’t have flattened on its own then why wouldn’t the virus quickly return once we start opening up?
Posted by musick
the internet
Member since Dec 2008
26125 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

The curve can be flattened by allowing this shite to burn through before being killed off by the heat and humidity summer provides North America.


It's been already spreading like wildfire in 80-90 degree temps and 90% humidity in NOLA, the temperature thing is a myth at best
This post was edited on 4/4/20 at 1:50 pm
Posted by BeepNode
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2014
10005 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:52 pm to
Does this look flat to you?

Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
65069 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

It's been already spreading like wildfire in 80-90 degree temps and 90% humidity in NOLA, the temperature thing is a myth at best


Well then it looks like we're just going to have to get everyone infected and let the chips fall where they may. Because as soon as everyone comes out of hiding, that virus will still be there and a vaccine will still be a year away.

If people die then they die.
Posted by RealityTiger
Geismar, LA
Member since Jan 2010
20443 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:53 pm to
What do you mean "likely to get ugly"? It is ugly, now. It's not like we're just coasting along.
Posted by dcw7g
Member since Dec 2003
1970 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

Dont put any stock into weekend numbers. The last 2 weekends the numbers have been lower, even your graph shows this.


Comparable 3 day, thurs-sat, last week was 3/27-3/28 and showed a steep rise.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56470 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

hospitals are already being pushed to the limit


Where. What limit are you referencing?

If that’s the basis for your opinion you’ve got a problem.
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53782 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:55 pm to


Source?
Posted by dcw7g
Member since Dec 2003
1970 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

Got a link to that chart?


Nola.com
Posted by MusclesofBrussels
Member since Dec 2015
4467 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

The argument is...was such a quarantine necessary?


That and also when does this end? We can't keep quarantining for months and months...
Posted by Unknown_Poster
Member since Jun 2013
5758 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:59 pm to
The national curve doesn't paint the whole picture. Trump actually got this right when he stammered about it during his press conference the other day. Louisiana appears to be flattening. That said, places like New York, California, etc. are going to continue to rise for a bit longer.

This is ultimately good news in the sense that when most of the states get things under control, resources can be brought to the larger hot spots.
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63965 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:59 pm to
Beepnode, deaths lag two weeks behind real-time infection rates. Therefore other data closer to real time can show flattering while deaths don't.
This post was edited on 4/4/20 at 2:12 pm
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
5014 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 2:04 pm to
quote:


It's been already spreading like wildfire in 80-90 degree temps and 90% humidity in NOLA, the temperature thing is a myth at best


It hasn't hit 90 once in Nola yet this year
Even when it has been 80 we've had lower humidity and the nightime temps have been in low 60s
Most of LA was in the low 50s 3 nights this week
The avg daily temp in the last 3 weeks has been from 65-75

Plus most of these cases are from 2-3 weeks ago when it was cooler or it started during Mardi Gras which was even cooler than that
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