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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 3/31/20 at 9:34 am to
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 9:34 am to
quote:

Does anyone know when we get word on the official trial runs of the malaria meds?


I thought I heard Trump say (during his Sunday presser?) something about talking about that today. I think that NY started the meds Tuesday of last week???

I could be WAY wrong and my apologies if so.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 9:37 am to
quote:

Does anyone know when we get word on the official trial runs of the malaria meds?



They are prescribing this stuff everywhere at the moment, not just in isolated trials. Have to think in the next week we'll really see/hear about the efficacy on a larger scale.

The anemic/low-iron thing isn't just in this thread btw. There has been quite a lot of talk about the correlation of that and critical complications from COVID.
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11821 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 9:37 am to
I thought trump said Tuesday.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 9:42 am to
Yeah Commander Data had to receive a "brown bag of liquid".
Posted by lsu711
Member since Sep 2003
15343 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 9:48 am to
LINK

The link above is just one statistical guess, but yesterday it showed peak hospital use in Tennessee at 525 ICU beds on April 26. Today it says 2,896 ICU beds will be needed on April 26. Any idea what changed so dramatically?
Posted by GeauxTigers2020
Member since Sep 2013
28667 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 9:56 am to
quote:

Metro Public Health Department officials announced today a total number of 541 confirmed cases of coronavirus COVID-19 in Nashville/Davidson County, an increase of 98 cases in the past 24 hours.  The confirmed cases range in age from two-months-old to 84-years-old. Three people have died after a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19; 14 others remain hospitalized; and 80 people have recovered from the virus. The remaining cases are self-isolating at home and have mild and manageable symptoms.

The MPHD COVID-19 Hotline received 492 calls on Monday, March 30, 2020.

Total number of Cases: 541
Number of Cases confirmed today: 98

Cases by sex
Male: 260
Female: 275
Unknown: 6


Posted by GeauxTigers2020
Member since Sep 2013
28667 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 10:07 am to
quote:

Commander Data


How you feeling? Blood oxygen still climbing this morning?
Posted by MadDogs
Member since Jul 2018
454 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 10:11 am to
Dr. Acton, the Ohio Health Director who is an academic and seems in over her head at times, was somewhat dismissive of those projections (hardly a surprise). I do think her rationale is interesting though. She says it doesn't take into account the length of stay for the hospital and ICU patients and the compounding nature of adding new patients to the existing patients. If true, that seems like an extreme oversight by the authors of the paper.

quote:

Acton said she believes the Washington model looks at peak capacity day-by day, but that coronavirus patients will have to remain in the hospital much longer than patients with other illnesses -- up to 20 days. She said scientists will continue to collaborate, to work through their projections.

“You can’t just look at who might be sick and the number of cases when they’re piling on top of each logarithmically," she said Monday.


I did notice the Ohio projections on that site went up as well since yesterday.
This post was edited on 3/31/20 at 10:16 am
Posted by MusclesofBrussels
Member since Dec 2015
4996 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 10:11 am to
The model is garbage.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 10:28 am to
I've been following that link for Louisiana and it keeps changing. I'm praying that it's a model that our state leaders are "considering" but I'm hoping that they're using other data as well to make these decisions.
Posted by MarcusQuinn
Member since Aug 2005
582 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 10:36 am to
That’s what the offsite, makeshift hospitals are for. Manageable and recovering patients. They are trying to have only the most severe cases in actual hospitals.
Posted by usc6158
Member since Feb 2008
39092 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 10:39 am to
The data out of the Bay Area, which locked down two weeks ago, is looking positive so good news there.

LINK
Posted by bbrownso
Member since Mar 2008
8985 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 10:43 am to
quote:

I've been following that link for Louisiana and it keeps changing. I'm praying that it's a model that our state leaders are "considering" but I'm hoping that they're using other data as well to make these decisions.


Any good model will update their assumptions as more data become available.

Let's put it this way; do you want just the 1st model for a hurricane when they pick it up 200+ hours from shore or do you want it updated as it moves closer?

I'll take something updating rather than "Here is what we thought a week ago".
Posted by MarcusQuinn
Member since Aug 2005
582 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 10:44 am to
NOLA is ahead of most cities on the timeline. Soon those numbers will tell you as much or more than the models. Or at least inform them so they are more accurate. There has been a run of several days with a notable lower percentage of positives. Not enough to be considered a significant trend, but it’s encouraging. The demand for drive-up testing has also slowed. As NOLA goes the state goes, I would think. And most parts of the state are less dense. These noon numbers are important.
Posted by beerJeep
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2016
38457 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 10:46 am to
quote:

Cases by sex
Male: 260
Female: 275
Unknown: 6


Que?

“Do you have a penis, or a vagina”
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78443 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 10:49 am to
quote:

I've been following that link for Louisiana and it keeps changing. I'm praying that it's a model that our state leaders are "considering" but I'm hoping that they're using other data as well to make these decisions.


That link says we don't need any ventilators today.

Does that mean additional ventilators?
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 10:54 am to
quote:

Let's put it this way; do you want just the 1st model for a hurricane when they pick it up 200+ hours from shore or do you want it updated as it moves closer?



Not at all. I just hope that our state people are looking at EVERYTHING and don't keep this going longer than it needs to be. That's all. I have more confidence in some of those posting here than I do in "leaders".
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 11:00 am to
IDK.

Looking at the chart right now, the way I read it which could be really wrong is that TODAY there is a projected need for more icu beds than there are .. does anyone know if Louisiana is out of icu beds?

Also I wish that the deaths per day chart which shows a solid red line for actual deaths and a broken red line for hte projections would reflect what the projections were so we can see if it indeed was what was projected. Pure curiosity.
Posted by Lonnie Utah
Utah!
Member since Jul 2012
34559 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 11:28 am to
quote:

“Do you have two x chromosomes, or a x and a y?”



FIFY.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38449 posts
Posted on 3/31/20 at 11:45 am to
quote:

Looking at the chart right now, the way I read it which could be really wrong is that TODAY there is a projected need for more icu beds than there are .. does anyone know if Louisiana is out of icu beds?


Not even close to being out of ICU beds.
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