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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 30, 2020 Update: 114,481 cases - 3,811 deaths - 1,317,390 tested - MarcusQuinn
It sounds as though you are leaning towards a notable level of immunity existing and, due to that, the virus eventually burning out. And pretty soon. If that’s the case, the state will continue to get better from this point on until we reach a low plateau, like we have seen in Orleans. It’s not two ...
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re: LSUnurse and other AZ posters, some evidence of a crest in Arizona hospitalizations - MarcusQuinn
And New York, Lombardy, New Jersey. This pattern has been evident for a long time. ...
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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC*** - MarcusQuinn
Of course. The people on the beaches are also eating, drinking, peeing, staying in hotels, etc. The beaches themselves are probably pretty safe....
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re: So let me get this straight regarding “studies” - MarcusQuinn
An opinion based on very limited data about a new virus. An opinion before the possibility of a large number of potentially contagious asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic cases was known. An option before all of the symptoms were even known. An opinion given as people were hoarding the masks we 100% kne...
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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC*** - MarcusQuinn
But people have latched onto a recently published study that says antibodies are no longer present after two months. This is being interpreted as meaning there is also no longer any immunity. That’s not necessarily true. It’s much more complicated than that. ...
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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC*** - MarcusQuinn
This is a pretty detailed account of how immunity might work with this virus. If you’re interested it’s a good read. It touches on some of the topics that have been discussed here regarding possible T-cell immunity. https://www.virology.ws/2020/06/04/immunity-is-not-binary/...
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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC*** - MarcusQuinn
I think opening bars, on campus in particular, is about to result in a notable increase in cases. There’s a growing buzz. If so, it will be interesting to see how newer cases correlate with hospitalizations. The early spread included a notable percentage of elderly patients. Id assume those congrega...
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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC*** - MarcusQuinn
Diamond Princess: 3,711 total on board 712 cases 331 asymptotic at time of testing 14 deaths. ...
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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - June 13, 2020 Update: 46,283 cases - 2,891 deaths - 504,383 tested - MarcusQuinn
There have been five similar one day spikes since May 1. The previous five times, the days following were notably lower. That may not be the case in the coming days, but so far these high case days have been anomalies....
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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC*** - MarcusQuinn
How about fear of closed businesses, fear of limited ability to travel, fear of closed schools, fear of a depressed economy, etc. Is that irrational? And a 40% increase in ICU patients will be terrifying for somebody. ...
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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC*** - MarcusQuinn
Fear of a second wave and the possible consequences is entirely different than fear of personal infection and death. ...
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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC*** - MarcusQuinn
The virus is still around. If people interact more, spread and cases should inevitably increase.There will be some benefit from lower Rt, increased testing, increased awareness, etc. And mayyyybe weather. But why would cases not increase as interaction increases? Fear of a second wave, of some degre...
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re: About 25% restaurant capacity.. - MarcusQuinn
It’s per NFPA 101, Table 7.3.sometimg something. Generally Restaurants: 1 person per 15 sf gross (60 currently) Bars with food: 1 person per 7 sf gross (28 currently) Kitchens: 1 person per 100 sf (400 currently) And gyms with equipment: 1 person per 50 sf ((200 currently) It’s a number ...
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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC*** - MarcusQuinn
This brings up a question someone asked a few days ago. If he was tested initially, then tested again today, does that count in the raw numbers as 2 positive tests? And good on him if he beat it. ...
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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC*** - MarcusQuinn
This is an interesting question. If someone tests positive and is admitted to the hospital, are they tested again at any point? Are they tested to determine recovery? Do people who tests positive and recover at home go back and get tested again to see it they are recovered? Seems plausible. That cou...
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re: Just a reminder Louisiana has met ALL Phase 1 requirements to reopen - MarcusQuinn
This article says that Ochsner will BEGIN testing “as many people as supplies allow” with a focus on hotspots. So one hospital system announcing they are about to expand testing until they run out of supplies qualifies as “a robust testing program, in place?” This could, possibly, be a sign...
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re: Just a reminder Louisiana has met ALL Phase 1 requirements to reopen - MarcusQuinn
They are guidelines. It’s not a strict set of clearly definable goals that automatically trigger opening things up. If you expect things to significantly change before May 1, you will likely be disappointed. And even then, the significance of the changes may not be very tangible due to policy and al...
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re: Just a reminder Louisiana has met ALL Phase 1 requirements to reopen - MarcusQuinn
So you believe the state has a robust testing program in place for at-risk healthcare workers. An opinion based on what, exactly? ...
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re: Some people don't want to accept the data that shows the Covid impact hasn't been too bad - MarcusQuinn
People in Lowes and going to get groceries twice a week doesn’t offset closed schools, bars, offices, music venues, arenas, malls, movie theaters, etc. Antidotal evidence of people at a few local stores does mean there’s no distancing or mitigation from that distancing. ...
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