- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:32 pm to Poker_hog
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:32 pm to Poker_hog
quote:
Worst case numbers are quite scary.
Even if the numbers are in the hundreds, that still makes up an extremely tiny portion of the population of these areas that have been affected.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:32 pm to crewdepoo
Translation in the comments
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:32 pm to frankthetank
I just got back from SEA and feel like arse. Diarrhea constipation fever headache chills aches etc.
Just had the flu very bad 2 weeks ago - everybody we know in the PNW has been sick this month
Just had the flu very bad 2 weeks ago - everybody we know in the PNW has been sick this month
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:33 pm to slackster
I think we don’t know enough real data right now to panic or dismiss. Now that there are documented cases outside of China we should get a better idea of what we are dealing with.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:33 pm to frankthetank
Wuhan Klan ain't nothin' to frick wit
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:33 pm to CivilTiger83
quote:Which is the exact opposite of how they would have handled the Hong Kong protests, instead of sending in loyalists to attack innocent people for the world to see.
The fact that the Chinese government is so sensitive to criticism means they are more likely to hide and underreport a crisis
I mean underreporting is unsurprising but just letting a disease spread, in 2020 of all times, and especially after the criticisms for doing the exact thing when SARS happened, is a bit different.
In fact, because of the whole SARS debacle, an overreaction in the opposite direction seems more likely.
This post was edited on 1/24/20 at 7:36 pm
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:33 pm to PearlJam
quote:
if you're hospitalized
Rare and usually people with other complications in the USA
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:34 pm to slackster
quote:But approximately 45 million were infected with the flu. So far this seems to be about 10 times more deadly than the flu. If it is as contagious and without vaccination, it could be a pretty serious pandemic if it spreads to as many people as the flu did and actually is 10 times or more more fatal. It also could be contained like SARS was and be a small blip on the radar.
Think about this for a minute - 61,000 people were killed by the flu in America last year,.a shot exists that significantly helps keep those numbers down, and MOST Americans don't even get the damn shot, but if 8,000 people across the world get this new coronavirus, we panic?
It's patently absurd.
This post was edited on 1/24/20 at 7:36 pm
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:37 pm to slackster
quote:
Think about this for a minute - 61,000 people were killed by the flu in America last year,.a shot exists that significantly helps keep those numbers down, and MOST Americans don't even get the damn shot, but if 8,000 people across the world get this new coronavirus, we panic?
Take it to the poliboard...
If only 8k get infected then it will be a nothingburger. If 8 million get infected and the mortality rate is much higher than the flu it’s a big deal.
WE GET IT... IT MIGHT NOT BE A BIG DEAL. Based on the current reaction in China and the numbers coming out, it very much has the potential to be a big deal.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:37 pm to slackster
quote:
The only reason this is a big deal and the seasonal flu isn't is because this is new
I'm not panicking, I'm pointing that there COULD be an amplified threat from this virus because of the fact that it's new. Next year's strains of influenza will likely be slightly different from this years, and large numbers of high risk people (elderly, immunocompromised, etc.) will be vaccinated again because it's new. Hopefully we soon have a vaccine for this coronavirus strain (not guaranteed), but as of now that newness confers an additional risk to at least some people.
This post was edited on 1/24/20 at 7:39 pm
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:37 pm to slackster
quote:2018 was a bad year and there were 800k hospitalizations and 60k deaths.
The "best" year hovered around 7%. Worst year was around 13%. 95% confidence level was wider.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:38 pm to CivilTiger83
quote:
Can you and slackster find somewhere else to take your hot takes? We have an actual person on this board in China in a closed off zone looking for news on this thread. It’s real for him and his family. We don’t need 4 pages of shitposting from you and slackster.
He's looking for real news and you're giving him the 90k cases number. Okay guy.
Honkus, if you're looking for real news, stick to the CDC and WHO.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:39 pm to buckeye_vol
There is enough free media in the US and internet media that anyone here with half a brain knew Afghanistan was a failure from jump street
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:39 pm to 1BamaRTR
quote:
Even if the numbers are in the hundreds, that still makes up an extremely tiny portion of the population of these areas that have been affected
Total numbers aren’t concerning but the rate of rise is.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:40 pm to CivilTiger83
quote:
WE GET IT... IT MIGHT NOT BE A BIG DEAL. Based on the current reaction in China and the numbers coming out, it very much has the potential to be a big deal.
Like I said, if it's not doomsday news, it's apparently not news or trustworthy at all.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:40 pm to PearlJam
quote:But whether it’s a more or less severe flu season overall, I would think had would show up in the number of hospitalizations itself. But the severity and mortality of those who get to that point would seem more consistent from year to year.
2018 was a bad year and there were 800k hospitalizations and 60k deaths.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:42 pm to PearlJam
quote:
2018 was a bad year and there were 800k hospitalizations and 60k deaths.
Yeah it fluctuates. Tried to guesstimate the average from the CDC table since 2010. Probably closer to 9% I'd say.
Point is, that's a higher fatality rate from hospitalizations than this virus so far.
Posted on 1/24/20 at 7:43 pm to Poker_hog
These Chinese cities also have a very high population density and aren’t the most sanitary places to begin with. It also really doesn’t help that it’s probably the busiest traveling time of year in China because of their New Year celebrations.
Popular
Back to top



1



