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Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:22 am to TigerDog83
quote:
How would they know that with limited test kits and reports of tons of false negative tests?
That is directly from the WHO group that has been touring China. They haven't discussed methods they used. Might be covered in the Q&A session?
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:32 am to Volvagia
quote:
Yeah. Because I just slapped a label on you. Never mind you literally did exactly what I accused you of in this thread, assuming a master plan and degrading anyone who doubt it. Yep. Jumped straight to that conclusion.
Nope, I said we have either chosen not to test or didn't have the ability to test, because the low level of testing is undeniable. You slapped a label because that's your go to response for anyone who questions your opinion.
quote:
Except while case numbers are high, the severity markers for influenza this season (hospitalization rate/death rate) are actually relatively lower.
Even if relatively lower numbers and severity, still massively higher than Covid at this point. So Covid numbers can still be buried in influenza cases, including both mild and severe cases.
quote:
So we are right back where my either/or statement was with stating that it is already broken containment and rampant in the US, is the same as saying the disease is indistinguishable from the flu on a clinical basis.
Your either/or is a straw man argument. Saying that a virus has broken containment is not close to the same as saying it is already rampant in the US, which nobody has said. And if you think a clinician can reliably diagnose flu vs Covid infections solely on clinical grounds, you need to write a paper and inform the medical community how to do that.
This post was edited on 2/25/20 at 10:37 am
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:34 am to rds dc
quote:
Aylward says mission found no evidence of lots of undetected mild #covid19 cases. That would mean percentage of severe cases and percentage of deaths we’re seeing now is real. Not what anyone wanted to hear.
Googled this phrase to find out where this snippet was from... The first 3 links are all articles about Sodom and Gomorrah, ermagerd, we're all gonna die!
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:35 am to wdhalgren
More cases in Italy overnight. Cases now in Austria, Switzerland, Croatia, Hungary. Iran's health minister and the mayor of Tehran infected. S. Korea's president says situation is "very grave" there.
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:47 am to Jim Rockford
This little bug appears to be very contagious. Is it as contagious as super contagious measles or more in line with influenza? Is it only passed through fluid swap or do we know any of that yet? I am a little late to the party and I don't want to read the entire thread to answer my question. Thanks in advance to any responses.
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:10 am to rds dc
Per Volvagia, any doctor or hospital can get a test done. This seems like conspiracy hogwash.
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:12 am to lsu13lsu
CT scans are proving to be much more accurate in detecting the virus than the oral tests. Sometimes by as much as a week earlier.
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:17 am to bamarep
quote:
CT scans are proving to be much more accurate in detecting the virus than the oral tests.
Yes, because the oral tests don't work. If the oral tests don't work than any test works as good or better.
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:29 am to lsu13lsu
quote:
Per Volvagia, any doctor or hospital can get a test done. This seems like conspiracy hogwash.
Did you read the article?
"Because a public health emergency has been declared, certified hospital laboratories that usually have the ability to internally develop and validate their own test can't use them without applying for an "emergency use authorization," a major barrier to deploying the test."
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:30 am to bamarep
quote:
CT scans are proving to be much more accurate in detecting the virus than the oral tests. Sometimes by as much as a week earlier.
If you have a link I'd appreciate that. It was reported a few weeks ago that the Chinese were using CT scans to make the diagnosis but I haven't seen details of how that supposedly works. A CT scan won't actually see or identify the virus particle, but it might show characteristic patterns of infection or inflammation (in the lung I presume) that help differentiate the pathogens.
This post was edited on 2/25/20 at 11:32 am
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:31 am to Bullfrog
quote:
funeral home and crematory stocks!
Can you name one?
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:37 am to rds dc
quote:
Not good news: @WHO's Bruce Aylward says that the #Covid19 mission did not find evidence of lots of undetected mild cases. If that's true, the severity of the illness is what is being seen now.
I'd like to find out more about this snippet. Doesn't seem to match something like the Diamond Princess where more than half the confirmed cases were asymptomatic.
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:42 am to lsu13lsu
quote:
Yes, because the oral tests don't work. If the oral tests don't work than any test works as good or better.
You have an incredible knack for taking a snippet of truth and turning into something incredibly misleading. Very impressive.
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:43 am to lsu13lsu
quote:
Per Volvagia, any doctor or hospital can get a test done. This seems like conspiracy hogwash
I recanted that statement FWIW.
It appears that they aren’t holding it close to the vest as to who is allowed to test.
However at the moment there is a supply issue and waiting lists on who gets the test.
Once it’s resolved we can have that level of testing everywhere as needed.
As of now though the 3/4 locations that are confirmed to have testing ability aren’t saturated by less than 500 tests in the past 2 week period so it’s a moot point right now. Once it gets to community level infection that’s a whole new story.
This post was edited on 2/25/20 at 11:45 am
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:45 am to slackster
quote:
I'd like to find out more about this snippet. Doesn't seem to match something like the Diamond Princess where more than half the confirmed cases were asymptomatic.
It's a direct quote from the WHO group touring China. Later on in the Q&A session someone asked how they determined this and the WHO rep said they based it on test data that showed few cases being found in provinces with few confirmed cases. Sounds somewhat anecdotal to me, so maybe there will be a research paper published here soon that looks at that data.
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:47 am to wdhalgren
quote:
If you have a link I'd appreciate that.
Here is a good LINK.
quote:
To identify common CT findings based upon the time between symptom onset and initial CT exam, the research team analyzed chest CTs from 121 patients (61 men and 60 women) who had been diagnosed with and exhibited symptoms of COVID-19 from four centers in China from Jan. 18, 2020, to Feb. 2, 2020.
For 94 participants, researchers knew the time between the initial emergence of symptoms and a chest CT – early (0-2 days), intermediate (3-5 days), and late (6-12 days). Among those who were imaged early, the team found ground-glass abnormalities, as well as “crazy paving” development. A lack of ancillary chest CT findings, including lymphadenopathy, pleural effusions, pulmonary nodules, and lung cavitation is also characteristic of early COVID-19 cases. Individuals further along in the disease course exhibited increasing consolidation.
I think this is the actual study from the above article.
And here is another article that delves into the subject (and reviews some other research?)
This post was edited on 2/25/20 at 11:49 am
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:47 am to slackster
quote:
You have an incredible knack for taking a snippet of truth and turning into something incredibly misleading. Very impressive.
If you disagree, why not use plain english point out the perceived fallacy rather than defaulting to sarcasm or insults. Not every statement in this thread is intended as a slap at you or Volvagia. Some dispassionate discussion would improve the quality of the thread, if you have any interest in doing that.
This post was edited on 2/25/20 at 11:48 am
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:48 am to rds dc
By the same token, that would indicate the virus is not as widespread and maybe asymptomatic transmssion isnt as much of a threat.
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