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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 2/8/20 at 4:48 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 4:48 pm to
Also notable that the new cases in Wuhan are the lowest in 4 or 5 days. Trend is looking more promising toward a peak in Wuhan.

ETA - notice the downvotes for good news. This thread is hysterical.
This post was edited on 2/8/20 at 8:28 pm
Posted by Kentucker
Rabbit Hash, KY
Member since Apr 2013
20055 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

Also notable that the new cases in Wuhan are the lowest in 4 or 5 days. Trend is looking more promising toward a peak in Wuhan.


It may peak but one of the most frustrating characteristics of a very contagious virus is its ability to recur in waves. If a community that’s been hit lets down its guard, the virus can sweep back through.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21558 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 5:47 pm to
quote:

Also notable that the new cases in Wuhan are the lowest in 4 or 5 days. Trend is looking more promising toward a peak in Wuhan.


Taken at face value, this is an improvement, esp since there is probably a lag in deaths. We will probably see number of new cases improve before we start to see the death numbers improve. Also, we are still only seeing a slow increase in the number of cases outside of China and no surge in deaths. Hopefully, these trends can hold for the next 2 or 3 weeks. Then we could start to see steady improvement?

Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18181 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 6:04 pm to
We’re the hell Xi? Dude has been hiding while his people are dying.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
53483 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 6:17 pm to
quote:


It’s really interesting to read the individual reports for the Japanese cases. A lot of them read like that where they test for it, it comes back negative. The patient is still sick and they test again days late (sometimes the same sample) and it’s positive


What’s doubly bad is that ELIZA tests (based on the individual’s immune system seroconversion) started to ship en made at the start of the week so no clue if the test is a PCR based test (more accurate) or this immunological test (more assessable but more false negatives)
Posted by Burhead
Member since Dec 2014
2100 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 6:43 pm to
quote:

Also notable that the new cases in Wuhan are the lowest in 4 or 5 days. Trend is looking more promising toward a peak in Wuhan.


Deaths outside of Wuhan are starting to increase though.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18181 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 6:48 pm to
There’s more than 1 epicenter now.
Posted by eiasjsf
Ellensburg, Washington
Member since Sep 2009
525 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 6:56 pm to
quote:

Central Washington University student tested for coronavirus
quote:

ELLENSBURG, Wash. -- Health officials say a student at Central Washington University is being tested for Wuhan coronavirus.

The Kittitas County Health Department said Thursday that the student became ill and may have been exposed to the virus when they recently traveled internationally. The person is voluntarily in isolation, according to a release.

Test results were expected within two to three days and the student will remain in isolation until the results are available.

Well, guess I should kiss my arse goodbye, I live right down the street from CWU.


The CWU student tested negative and is out of isolation, so looks like I have a new lease on life.

quote:

“Even patients who definitely have the disease only come back positive 30% to 50% of the time,” Wang said. “Testing throat swabs (from potentially infected people) also returns a lot of false negatives.”

...frick.
Posted by Bulletproof Lover
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
1900 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 8:12 pm to
Any numbers from China are completely unreliable. Reporters are disappearing.
Posted by RunningBlake
Member since Aug 2011
4123 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 8:16 pm to
I agree. They’ve quarantined tens of millions, yet only have 40,000 confirmed. Lol
This post was edited on 2/8/20 at 8:18 pm
Posted by Capt ST
High Plains
Member since Aug 2011
13674 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 8:38 pm to
Yeah, that’s a little thin for me too.
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
35973 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 8:47 pm to
quote:

We’re the hell Xi? Dude has been hiding while his people are dying.


Let's be real though. 800 people have died over the last 2 months. China has a billion people. With such a low mortality rate, the entirety of that country catching it wouldn't be a blip on his radar. Hell, he'd probably be happy about a cool 20m people disappearing just to reduce the management load.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18181 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 9:00 pm to
It's not about just people dying. He knows the whole world is watch. Cities are on lockdown. Shanghai and Beijing are like a ghost towns. Economic standstill. Some panicking. All that and you'd assume their leader would be on TV saying something to the people or the world.
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11960 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 9:17 pm to
The world has read about Ebola and its spread.

Then up pop some comments on the internet that got shared. The first source of information: an eye doctor contacting his facebook equivalent group. Then he got sick. Then hospital staff who had dealt with ill patients were all getting sick with the disease.

A lot of people were watching Hong Kong's unrest and most remembered SARS.

And then the first doctor died. And people got sick with China connections.

Now, more people are watching and China gov would rather watch through a one way mirror.
Posted by bbrownso
Member since Mar 2008
8985 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

I agree. They’ve quarantined tens of millions, yet only have 40,000 confirmed. Lol


quote:

It may peak but one of the most frustrating characteristics of a very contagious virus is its ability to recur in waves. If a community that’s been hit lets down its guard, the virus can sweep back through.


Once you've gotten your arse exposed for not taking it seriously, I'd bet you wouldn't do the same thing again.

If the Chinese people are pissed that the government didn't take it seriously at first and are getting rowdy online, that's all the more incentive for China to go overboard and as strong as possible to regain control of the situation and save some face.
This post was edited on 2/8/20 at 9:24 pm
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
46371 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 9:37 pm to
quote:

Deaths outside of Wuhan are starting to increase though.

Wouldn’t that naturally correlate with the number of cases outside of Wuhan increasing?
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85163 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 9:43 pm to
quote:

Deaths outside of Wuhan are starting to increase though.


Have their been more than the one in Philippines, which was actually a man from Wuhan?
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11960 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 9:45 pm to
LINK

A German scientist (who was in Viet Nam when SARS first became a problem) answers questions about how things are going now, what to watch for in two to three weeks,the (im)possibility of shutting down European cities, and the supply side of medical gear which had heavily migrated to China.
Also why production of a vaccine isn't going to happen fast, but why it needs to be done.

And, about the earlier discussion here about certain societies and Corona, he has some things to say about (his words) Resource Poor countries and the danger they could be to themselves and the rest of us.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105334 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 10:07 pm to
Interesting that the Hong Kong racetrack is still open. Horse racing in Hong Kong is insanely popular and a weekend racecard will draw upwards of 100,000 spectators. It also stayed open during the democracy protests.
Posted by Burhead
Member since Dec 2014
2100 posts
Posted on 2/8/20 at 10:07 pm to
quote:

Have their been more than the one in Philippines, which was actually a man from Wuhan?


I'm talking about other Chinese provinces. At first not many people were dying outside of Hubei/Wuhan.

@BNODesk
·
3h
The number of fatalities in China outside the epicenter is continuing to rise.

- Feb. 4: 0 deaths
- Feb. 5: 3 deaths
- Feb. 6: 4 deaths
- Feb. 7: 5 deaths
- Feb. 8: 8 deaths
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