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Started By
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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 6/18/20 at 11:43 am to lsupride87
Posted on 6/18/20 at 11:43 am to lsupride87
Don’t get your panties in a wad girlfriend.
I didn’t say it was unusual, just that it’s happening in Texas.
I didn’t say it was unusual, just that it’s happening in Texas.
1
Posted on 6/18/20 at 6:44 pm to escatawpabuckeye
Been seeing a lot of comically bad models coming out of Texas.
Here is one posted today by Baylor, looks scary:
Here was the comically inaccurate one they posted a month ago:
Here is one posted today by Baylor, looks scary:
Here was the comically inaccurate one they posted a month ago:
Posted on 6/19/20 at 5:15 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
MMR paper out of LSU Health/Tulane.
Suggests using the MMR Booster as a cheap preventative.
Suggests using the MMR Booster as a cheap preventative.
This post was edited on 6/19/20 at 5:21 pm
Posted on 6/19/20 at 5:52 pm to Sasquatch Smash
On Tuesday night/Wednesday morning I was exposed to someone with no symptoms who got a positive test back Thursday morning after starting to feel bad Wednesday night. She was exposed on Sunday. I tested negative Thursday afternoon. Any chance I may have got tested too early or should I be good. I also had a conversation with someone with no symptoms on Wednesday who tested positive Thursday. Everyone in contact with him has came back negative today. Point being is should I be retested tomorrow even if im showing no symptoms at all?
Mid 20s very active and in great shape fwiw
Mid 20s very active and in great shape fwiw
This post was edited on 6/19/20 at 5:53 pm
Posted on 6/19/20 at 6:21 pm to dirtytigers
No way to know.
The best thing you could do would probably be to stay away from anyone who is elderly or has risk factors for 10 days.
The best thing you could do would probably be to stay away from anyone who is elderly or has risk factors for 10 days.
Posted on 6/19/20 at 6:59 pm to WaWaWeeWa
quote:
The best thing you could do would probably be to stay away from anyone who is elderly or has risk factors for 10 days.
Since there is no way to tell if someone has risk factors unless you have personal information, I would distance myself as much as possible for a week and retest.
Of course, you can't know or control if someone near you may also regularly interact with someone that does have risk factors.
The only way, short of a vaccine, that this will reduce is if carriers, and potential carriers, do what they can to not spread it at all.
Posted on 6/19/20 at 7:15 pm to dirtytigers
quote:Not to be a debbie downer, but my grandfather got covid from a home health nurse. She was symptomatic and popped positive on a Thursday a day after staying with him. Had him tested immediately and was negative, but started showing symptoms three days later. Ended up dying, but he was already in really bad shape, diabetes and a ton of other problems. Couple of family members that were around him ended up with it and symptoms and onset varied widely. Crazy how wildly different this thing is for different people.
She was exposed on Sunday. I tested negative Thursday afternoon. Any chance I may have got tested too early or should I be good.
This post was edited on 6/19/20 at 7:17 pm
Posted on 6/19/20 at 7:25 pm to WaWaWeeWa
Did this Ioannidis preprint get posted?
Looked at 23 seroprevalence studies to calculate IFR. Calculated <70 years old IFR to 0.04%.
Looked at 23 seroprevalence studies to calculate IFR. Calculated <70 years old IFR to 0.04%.
Posted on 6/19/20 at 7:27 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
Man, I am sorry to hear about your grandpa....
Posted on 6/19/20 at 8:13 pm to Spankum
As someone who is afraid of dementia, it was more of a blessing. He was starting to talk about getting off the phone with people who have been dead for decades. As morbid as it sounds, it was a blessing that he didn't suffer through full on dementia.
I've told my family to kick any cables plugged into me if I start down that path.
I've told my family to kick any cables plugged into me if I start down that path.
Posted on 6/19/20 at 8:35 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
quote:
As someone who is afraid of dementia, it was more of a blessing.
My mom passed last month and also had late stage dementia. That disease truly sucks.
Posted on 6/19/20 at 9:04 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
Sorry for your loss. The worst part is the isolation at the end. Hopefully he didn’t experience that too much and he got to see some family.
Posted on 6/20/20 at 12:48 am to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
Sorry about your grandad, they are special people
Posted on 6/21/20 at 6:50 pm to dirtytigers
quote:
On Tuesday night/Wednesday morning
quote:
She
quote:
Mid 20s very active and in great shape
So what is she?
This post was edited on 6/21/20 at 6:53 pm
Posted on 6/22/20 at 4:41 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
quote:I won't be able to make this one, got to watch my kids tonight during my wife's online class, hopefully one of you guys can take advantage.
Dr. Ioannidis is doing a Zoom webinar on the 22nd of June: LINK
Posted on 6/23/20 at 7:47 am to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
The L.A. Times trying to fight the panic?
Or maybe they're just giving the experts that are trying to fight the panic in their area a voice.
NY Times from earlier this month discussing some of the surge in border states may be from people (US nationals and green card holders) coming up from Mexico for treatment.
Or maybe they're just giving the experts that are trying to fight the panic in their area a voice.
NY Times from earlier this month discussing some of the surge in border states may be from people (US nationals and green card holders) coming up from Mexico for treatment.
This post was edited on 6/23/20 at 8:16 am
Posted on 6/23/20 at 12:02 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
Dr. Ioannidis estimated a coronavirus fatality rate of 0.1%. Official US COVID-19 deaths are around 220,000. Ioannidis is saying that 220,000,000 people have been infected in the US. Dr. Ioannidis is full of crap and his study is trash.
Posted on 6/23/20 at 12:05 pm to Whiznot
quote:Right?
Official US COVID-19 deaths are around 120,000. Ioannidis is saying that 120,000,000 people have been infected
Posted on 6/23/20 at 12:22 pm to Whiznot
quote:Wow, you really fricked that up
Dr. Ioannidis estimated a coronavirus fatality rate of 0.1%. Official US COVID-19 deaths are around 220,000. Ioannidis is saying that 220,000,000 people have been infected in the US. Dr. Ioannidis is full of crap and his study is trash.
To start, there are 120,000 covid deaths. So you only missed that mark by 100%
Also, infections have hit the elderly living communities harder as of now. So, it’s likely the current mortality rate is skewed higher than what the true mortality rate due to this
Posted on 6/23/20 at 1:07 pm to lsupride87
Press realease concerning a Penn State study that estimates that:
Used Influenza Like Illness (ILI) reports from doctor visits that were not verified to be flu, so "excess ILI," before PCR tests for SARS 2.0 were readily available (March).
From abstract:
They have supplemental material that has a graph for each state.
They estimate that between March 8 and March 28, ~6.25% of the population of Louisiana had been infected.
quote:
Initial COVID-19 infection rate may be 80 times greater than originally reported
Used Influenza Like Illness (ILI) reports from doctor visits that were not verified to be flu, so "excess ILI," before PCR tests for SARS 2.0 were readily available (March).
From abstract:
quote:
We found a surge of non-influenza ILI above the seasonal average in March 2020 and showed that this surge correlated with COVID-19 case counts across states. If 1/3 of patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 in the US sought care, this ILI surge would have corresponded to more than 8.7 million new SARS-CoV-2 infections across the US during the three-week period from March 8 to March 28, 2020. Combining excess ILI counts with the date of onset of community transmission in the US, we also show that the early epidemic in the US was unlikely to have been doubling slower than every 4 days. Together these results suggest a conceptual model for the COVID-19 epidemic in the US characterized by rapid spread across the US with over 80% infected patients remaining undetected.
They have supplemental material that has a graph for each state.
They estimate that between March 8 and March 28, ~6.25% of the population of Louisiana had been infected.
This post was edited on 6/23/20 at 1:11 pm
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