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re: Clancy trial verdict predictions

Posted on 9/3/26 at 3:57 pm to
Posted by DrrTiger
Gulf of America
Member since Nov 2023
2742 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

Again, how on Earth could he possibly know this?


We know that one juror is holding out. We also know that this jury consists of 9 women from MASSACHUSETTS. So logically, do you think that one holdout is pro-baby killer or anti-baby killer?
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
80866 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 3:59 pm to
quote:

And that to me would be worth uproar definitely. I don’t like that she would be going to a mental institution and I don’t like that there would be any chance that she would get out at all. So I understand that. But people need to understand that nobody just walks out of the courtroom after they do something like this. Highly unlikely yes. Like, less than 1%. Andrea is still in confinement from 2006. I just want everyone to understand that.

What is new about this case is the women going crazy on TikTok. But the case itself, this is all pretty normal.


This issue is how NGRI is set up in Massachusetts. Yates is in Texas. It's a massive difference.
Posted by DustInTheWind
Member since Sep 2016
1584 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

This issue is how NGRI is set up in Massachusetts. Yates is in Texas. It's a massive difference.
what’s the difference?

It’s pretty much the same. You can actually look this up.
This post was edited on 9/3/26 at 4:05 pm
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
78418 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

She ain't WALKING out anywhere!
She probably spend only a few years in a mental institution if found NGRI.
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
76185 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

what’s the difference?


The same three letters do not mean the laws are identical.

In Texas, Yates had to prove that a severe mental disease left her unable to know that killing her children was wrong. Being mentally ill or unable to control herself wasn’t enough if she still understood that her actions were wrong.

Posted by DustInTheWind
Member since Sep 2016
1584 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:08 pm to
Look up the rules. They are the same. They are very easy to look up. We have access to all these things now. Look at the differences between the two. It’s not that hard to find.

I can post it if you want.
This post was edited on 9/3/26 at 4:10 pm
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
76185 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:10 pm to
Please do. Because I actually looked them up, and they are not the same.

Texas: The defendant must prove that a severe mental disease left her unable to know her conduct was wrong.

Massachusetts: The defendant can be found NGRI if she lacked the substantial capacity either to appreciate that her conduct was wrong or to conform her conduct to the law.

That second part is completely absent from Texas law. The burden is also different. Insanity is an affirmative defense in Texas. In Massachusetts, once it’s properly raised, the Commonwealth must prove criminal responsibility beyond a reasonable doubt.

Those are plainly different standards. But sure, post whatever you found.
Posted by baybeefeetz
Member since Sep 2009
33038 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:12 pm to
Bigly different. She walkin.
Posted by AirbusDawg
Milton, Ga
Member since Jan 2018
3106 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

Prosecutions have a better chance at retrials than defense when they decide to retrial.


If she's found not guilty by reason of insanity, there can't be a retrial
Posted by DustInTheWind
Member since Sep 2016
1584 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:13 pm to
Are you talking about how she’s found not guilty by reason of insanity or after she’s found guilty by reason of insanity and the process? I’m talking about the processes after the verdict. They’re the same.
This post was edited on 9/3/26 at 4:14 pm
Posted by DustInTheWind
Member since Sep 2016
1584 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

Bigly different. She walkin.
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
76185 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:17 pm to
Hmmm. If your point is simply that both states can commit someone after an NGRI verdict and later release them if they’re no longer mentally ill or dangerous, then yes, broadly speaking....that part is similar.

But the processes still aren’t exactly identical. Massachusetts begins with an evaluation, a possible six-month commitment, and then annual recommitments. In Texas, the court can retain jurisdiction over someone acquitted of dangerous conduct for up to the maximum possible sentence and controls any discharge or conditional release.

More importantly, the legal standard for reaching NGRI is different, which is fairly relevant when we’re discussing whether Clancy will be convicted in the first place.

So yes, the general idea after the verdict is similar. The actual standards and procedures are not the same.
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
72050 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

She ain't WALKING out anywhere!


Until I see her react to a knife in her leg, I'll believe she has Ricky Bobby paralysis
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148138 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

If she's found not guilty by reason of insanity, there can't be a retrial

They're talking about a mistrial... which allows for another trial... which favors the prosecution
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
148138 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

Until I see her react to a knife in her leg, I'll believe she has Ricky Bobby paralysis

Shake n bake
Posted by AirbusDawg
Milton, Ga
Member since Jan 2018
3106 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

They're talking about a mistrial... which allows for another trial... which favors the prosecution


OK, I was responding to the reply that someone had made that the prosecution should let them replace the one juror that is holding out and take their chances on a retrial. If they remove the one holdout, whom we probably think is the only guilty vote left, then she would be most likely found not guilty. If that's the case, there would be no retrial.
Posted by MSUDawg98
Bear the F Down
Member since Jan 2018
14196 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:27 pm to
I don't think the holdout makes it past tomorrow. It sounds like the judge is going to inquire whether his charge about reasonable doubt is being abided by. That may be enough to coerce him into giving in. If not, I think he's probably replaced and the jury starts from scratch on Monday.
Posted by baybeefeetz
Member since Sep 2009
33038 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:27 pm to
Wait she is paralyzed?
Posted by TheHarahanian
Actually not Harahan as of 6/2023
Member since May 2017
24472 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:29 pm to

Verdict: Insane, but death penalty anyway.
Posted by DustInTheWind
Member since Sep 2016
1584 posts
Posted on 9/3/26 at 4:29 pm to
Yes. I understand. They are not identical. But in both states a judge, a prosecutor, doctors, they’re all involved into whether or not they are released. The time frames are pretty close to the same. They’re both decided every year. Both states involve the courts and the doctors.

I understand they’re not identical. I’m not here to argue whether or not they are identical. I’m here to tell you that they pretty much the same. A prosecutor is not going to let her just walk out the door in a year. People need to understand this.
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