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re: Category 5 Hurricane Melissa - 185 mph, 892mb, Top 3 in Recorded History

Posted on 10/27/25 at 7:31 am to
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
112843 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 7:31 am to
quote:

Same words were said about another 3rd World locale after a hurricane in 2005.


True, but TPTB bowed to the race hucksters and consciously refused to try and improve the place when the opportunity was presented.
Posted by Turnblad85
Member since Sep 2022
4694 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 8:19 am to
quote:

Same words were said about another 3rd World locale after a hurricane in 2005.



Thankfully we have a leader who won't import thousands of Jamaicans under the guise of "climate change disaster refugees".
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
32270 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 8:31 am to
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13811 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 9:22 am to
Dropsonde measured 151 knot (173.8 mph) winds at surface in NE eyewall. I wonder if they officially go with 150 knots at next advisory.

Incredible storm.

>
This post was edited on 10/27/25 at 9:27 am
Posted by Disco Ball
Denham Springs
Member since May 2025
837 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 9:30 am to
Look at these dropsonde readings
210 kt at 907mb
Not a record though. Katrina had a reading of 234 kt
AF Recon plane just completed a center pass. New data is arriving now.
909.5mb extrap pressure. She's getting angry



Posted by CarolinaGamecock99
Member since Apr 2015
24604 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 9:51 am to
(no message)
Posted by CarolinaGamecock99
Member since Apr 2015
24604 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 9:52 am to
165mph, 908 mb is nuts
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30422 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 9:56 am to
That is insane
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13811 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 9:58 am to
quote:

Hurricane Melissa Discussion Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025
1100 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025

Melissa has the classic strong hurricane appearance in satellite
imagery this morning, with a well-defined 10-nm wide eye embedded
in a central dense overcast with cloud tops colder than -80C. The
hurricane also has a large complex of outer banding over the
eastern semicircle and a circulation that covers most of the
Caribbean west of 70 degrees west longitude. Reports from NOAA and
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate the central
pressure has fallen to near 908 mb, with both aircraft releasing
dropsondes in the northeastern eyewall that support an initial
intensity of 145 kt. The NOAA aircraft left the storm early after
experiencing severe turbulence in the southwestern eyewall.


The eye is wobbling around due to the slow motion, but the best
estimate of the initial motion is 270/3 kt. The mid-level ridge
north of Melissa is weakening as a deep-layer mid-latitude trough
moves eastward through the southeastern United States. This should
cause the hurricane to turn northward during the next 12 h or so at
a continued slow forward speed. After 24 h, Melissa should turn
northeastward with some increase in forward speed as the
mid-latitude westerly flow becomes the dominant steering
mechanism. This general motion should continue for the rest of the
forecast period. On the forecast track, the center of Melissa will
be near or over Jamaica late tonight or early Tuesday, cross
eastern Cuba Tuesday night or early Wednesday, and then move near
or over the Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos on Wednesday. After
that, the cyclone could reach the vicinity of Bermuda on Thursday
night. The new forecast track has some minor adjustments from the
previous track and is a blend of the HFIP Corrected Consensus, the
Google DeepMind ensemble mean, and the other consensus models
.

Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next 12-24 h
due to the possibility that Melissa will start an eyewall
replacement cycle. However, this is unlikely to weaken Melissa
significantly, and there is no practical difference in Melissa
making landfall in Jamaica at category 4 or 5 intensity
, since both
categories produce catastrophic wind damage. After reaching Jamaica,
a combination of land interaction and increasing southwesterly shear
should cause some weakening, although Melissa is still forecast to
be a major hurricane when it reaches Cuba. Once over the Atlantic,
stronger shear should cause more substantial weakening, and Melissa
is expected to become extratropical by the end of the forecast
period. The new intensity forecast has minor adjustments from the
previous and follows the trend of the intensity consensus.
Posted by Disco Ball
Denham Springs
Member since May 2025
837 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 10:03 am to
The only silver lining in all this is that she did not turn northerly when expected and continued much farther west sparing Kingston from the direct hit that was predicted.
Posted by weagle1999
Member since May 2025
1917 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 10:05 am to
quote:

The only silver lining in all this is that she did not turn northerly when expected and continued much farther west sparing Kingston from the direct hit that was predicted.


Not a silver lining for the US media that wants to make money off reports on the devastation.
Posted by HogPharmer
Member since Jun 2022
3437 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 10:12 am to
Don't worry, I'm sure the Clinton Foundation will step in to provide relief with your donations.
Posted by 91TIGER
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2006
19286 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 10:15 am to
quote:

165mph, 908 mb is nuts


and all of those people on the southern coastline that are staying to "protect their property from thieves" are going to drown. I guess they don't realize there will be nothing left to protect when a 165 MPH tornado, moving at 5 mph, and 20 foot wall of water hits them. Gilbert came in from the east and cut across the island, this one is pushing a wall of water directly at them. Lord have mercy on those poor people !
Posted by Turnblad85
Member since Sep 2022
4694 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 10:23 am to
quote:

Not a silver lining for the US media that wants to make money off reports on the devastation.




The most terrifying thing for meteorologists and news networks is it heading into the atlantic and not the Gulf.

Posted by weagle1999
Member since May 2025
1917 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 11:06 am to
quote:

The most terrifying thing for meteorologists and news networks is it heading into the atlantic and not the Gulf.


Exactly.

Although they will be happy to show scenes of devastation from Jamaica.
Posted by TT9
Seychelles
Member since Sep 2008
90720 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 11:08 am to
quote:

165mph, 908 mb 


Posted by T1gerNate
Member since Feb 2020
2438 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 11:16 am to
Jamaica is in a lot of trouble. Man oh man. Prayers.
Posted by TT9
Seychelles
Member since Sep 2008
90720 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 11:17 am to
Sure as shite are, sending prayers that way.
Posted by Wally Sparks
Atlanta
Member since Feb 2013
32509 posts
Posted on 10/27/25 at 11:37 am to
Damn this is gonna suck for Jamaica
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