Started By
Message

re: Category 5 Hurricane Melissa - 185 mph, 892mb, Top 3 in Recorded History

Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:25 pm to
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
128106 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:25 pm to
quote:

Melissa has the potential to be one of the all-time most devastating storms in the WCAB.


Whoa. You saying this is wild

It’s gonna be that powerful a storm?
Posted by Herschal
Land of the Free
Member since Sep 2011
2126 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 8:37 pm to
UGK4LIFE
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21059 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 9:16 pm to
quote:

It’s gonna be that powerful a storm?


If it gets into the far western WCAB, then it has very high-end potential. The biggest threat is a stall/slow movement near the islands, which could produce catastrophic flooding.

The best case scenario would be something like the 18z HFAS models, which move it SW quicker. However, that would have the greatest potential for long-term intensity. A Cat 5 accelerating off to the NE across the islands is probably preferable to a stall/slow movement solution that drops 50" plus on someone.

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
72009 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 9:18 pm to
This looks bad for Haiti/DR. That cone is a perfect circle.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21059 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

This looks bad for Haiti/DR. That cone is a perfect circle


I wouldn't be surprised to see some SW shifts in the NHC forecast as Melissa is staying pretty disorganized.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
72009 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 9:33 pm to
quote:

It’s gonna be that powerful a storm?

Gonna dump a massive amount of water wherever it tracks.
Posted by Spankum
Miss-sippi
Member since Jan 2007
60662 posts
Posted on 10/21/25 at 10:12 pm to
Rds, what is causing the various models to be so inconsistent from model to model?
Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
8775 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 1:14 pm to
Latest Canadian model is basically Sandy part II

Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
128106 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 1:14 pm to
SUPER DUPER MEGA HALLOWEEN STORM MELISSA THE TERRIBLE
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13801 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 3:29 pm to
The latest HAFS-B gets Melissa to 199 mph and 884 mb to the SW of Jamaica.
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
73904 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 3:30 pm to
Drives like a woman.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36439 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 7:02 pm to
That WSW turn.

Hurricane models are pinging on elite intensity potential. Which, given the depth and warmth of the water and a nice anticyclone over the top, makes sense.

Plus east coast has to watch closer with it getting farther west.
This post was edited on 10/22/25 at 7:04 pm
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
22151 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 7:11 pm to
Man that sucks. It's going to turn into a major storm then just sit over Jamaica for days? How does that happen?
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6831 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 7:38 pm to
The Gulf of M’erica is undefeated against hurricanes.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
72009 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

How does that happen?

Steering has broken down, there's nothing to move it.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129642 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 7:56 pm to
Mark is lying. He would love that to happen
Posted by BritLSUfan
Member since Jan 2012
691 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 8:06 pm to
Weather nerds...

Just found this tool // website:

LINK to deepmind weather lab

Fascinating insight into various model data sets

Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78304 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 8:24 pm to
That's the post of an a-hole. What a sensationalistic bitch.
This post was edited on 10/22/25 at 8:25 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21059 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 8:39 pm to
quote:


That WSW turn.

Hurricane models are pinging on elite intensity potential. Which, given the depth and warmth of the water and a nice anticyclone over the top, makes sense.

Plus east coast has to watch closer with it getting farther west.


I posted earlier that this had high-end potential; it could make a run at Wilma and Gilbert. There really isn't anything in the modeled setup that would prevent it from busting the all-time records. It will come down to inner core dynamics and how long it can hold on before an ERC.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
14819 posts
Posted on 10/22/25 at 8:44 pm to
quote:

posted earlier that this had high-end potential; it could make a run at Wilma and Gilbert. There really isn't anything in the modeled setup that would prevent it from busting the all-time records. It will come down to inner core dynamics and how long it can hold on before an ERC.


Funny how nature eventually finds a way to transfer insane heat away from an area
Jump to page
Page 1 2 3 4 5 ... 36
Jump to page
first pageprev pagePage 2 of 36Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram