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Black people are less likely to be shot by cops (research inside)

Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:13 am
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:13 am
When you just look at population level statistics it’s easy to say a higher percentage of black people are shot. When you control for variables you get a very different picture.

Harvard study - Fryer

quote:

I find, after controlling for suspect demographics, officer demographics, encounter characteristics, suspect weapon and year fixed effects, that blacks are 27.4 percent less likely to be shot at by police relative to non-black, non-Hispanics.


Michigan State Research

quote:

race-specific violent crime rates strongly related to the race of the citizen shot. The greater number of crimes committed by Whites in a county, the more likely the person shot was White. The greater number of crimes committed by Blacks in a county, the more likely the person shot was Black citizen. And the greater number of crimes committed by Hispanics in a county, the more likely the person shot was Hispanic.


Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
35179 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:14 am to
They’re quicker.
Posted by uscpuke
Member since Jan 2004
5018 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:15 am to
Facts don’t matter.
Posted by arcalades
USA
Member since Feb 2014
19276 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:17 am to
liberals are using blacks to create chaos. simple as that. cops suck but it's not a race issue.
Posted by tankyank13
NOLA
Member since Nov 2012
7722 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:18 am to
“Stats that are made up by white men”.

This would be the response from mist SJW’s.
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
113964 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:20 am to
But who is more likely to get a knee to the throat?

Seriously, does this research include shooting that were not a threat to police? I am not trying to be a smart arse, I am being serious.

I think the situation in which they shoot someone matters not to mention you have to account for other ways someone dies at the hands of police.
Posted by PrimeTime Money
Houston, Texas, USA
Member since Nov 2012
27305 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:23 am to
I came to this conclusion years ago when looking at stats. Probably made a thread about it with my own original research.

It only makes logical sense that crime leads to police interaction. That increases the chances that the end result is a police killing.

Measuring by population only is simple-minded. Crime is the driver, not population.
This post was edited on 5/31/20 at 9:24 am
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82033 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:23 am to
quote:

I think the situation in which they shoot someone matters not to mention you have to account for other ways someone dies at the hands of police.
so you post these long arse OPs all the fricking time, yet can't read?
quote:

I find, after controlling for suspect demographics, officer demographics, encounter characteristics
Posted by Triggerr
Member since Jul 2013
1891 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:29 am to
There are non stats or studies that matter here. There is a group at work here that are trying to divide this country any way they can. Covid did not get the job done for them so they are ramping up their efforts. These people causing these protests to turn destructive and violent are not just local people coming out of their houses. There are hundreds of paid/ trained agitators going in these cities in a coordinated effort to stoke the violence bc they know that if they start the ball rolling the stupid local people will follow. Look at these crowds, most on the front line stirring things up look like they are dressed as professional rioters, all black clothing, back packs, bandanas over their face etc.
Posted by Aubie Spr96
lolwut?
Member since Dec 2009
41149 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:31 am to
quote:

race-specific violent crime rates strongly related to the race of the citizen shot. The greater number of crimes committed by Whites in a county, the more likely the person shot was White. The greater number of crimes committed by Blacks in a county, the more likely the person shot was Black citizen. And the greater number of crimes committed by Hispanics in a county, the more likely the person shot was Hispanic.



Well no shite?
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
68689 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:33 am to
I read a similar article. Most police killings happen within the same race.

This is from the second link.

quote:

Overall, officer demographics such as sex and experience were not related to racial disparities in fatal shoot-ings. Although officer race was related to racial disparities, the fact that Black and Hispanic civilians were more likely to be shot by same-race officers was largely explained by similarities between officer and county demographics. Because racial dis-parities in FOIS do not vary based on officer race, hiring more diverse officers may not reduce racial disparities in FOIS. This is not to say that increasing officer diversity is without merit, as increasing officer diversity may broaden understanding of diverse communities and increase trust in law enforcement. However,these data suggest that increasing racial diversity would not meaningfully reduce racial disparity in fatal shootings (32).
This post was edited on 5/31/20 at 9:49 am
Posted by 13SaintTiger
Isle of Capri
Member since Sep 2011
18315 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:34 am to
Just what exactly are you trying to convince this echo chamber of a website of?
Posted by SoloTiger
Member since Aug 2016
9510 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:37 am to
I've heard that Chauvin and Floyd knew each other from working security detail together. Bizarre.

I'm sure there is a lot more to the story that hasn't come out yet, but one of the things we do best in this country (thanks in large part to mainstream media) is rush to judgement.
Posted by PrimeTime Money
Houston, Texas, USA
Member since Nov 2012
27305 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:39 am to
I think the club owner said Chauvin worked security there for 17 years and Floyd worked there in a different capacity for less than a year. He said it’s very possible they didn’t even know each other.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:45 am to
One statistic that probably sums it up best...


As a percentage of murders of a specific race:

12% of all murders of white people are due to police
7% of all murders of black people are due to police


If we use murder as the indicator of violence here we see that per murder less black people will be killed by the police.

I use murder because it’s a very hard statistic to manipulate or misinterpret
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:47 am to
quote:

Just what exactly are you trying to convince this echo chamber of a website of?


There’s about 30% downvotes already

Maybe it’s not as much of an echo chamber as you think.

But no one has offered any argument to dispute these findings.
Posted by MoarKilometers
Member since Apr 2015
17940 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:49 am to
quote:

race-specific violent crime rates strongly related to the race of the citizen shot. The greater number of crimes committed by Whites in a county, the more likely the person shot was White. The greater number of crimes committed by Blacks in a county, the more likely the person shot was Black citizen. And the greater number of crimes committed by Hispanics in a county, the more likely the person shot was Hispanic.

What sort of wizardry is this? It's the most common sense statements I've ever seen in one of these studies... but damn why did it have to be Michigan state
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
34776 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:53 am to
quote:

Seriously, does this research include shooting that were not a threat to police? I am not trying to be a smart arse, I am being serious.
Certain cops treat people like shite regardless of race. Seen this happen myself. Some are just power hungry pieces of shite the race really doesn't matter to them
Posted by 13SaintTiger
Isle of Capri
Member since Sep 2011
18315 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:53 am to
quote:


Maybe it’s not as much of an echo chamber as you think.


Are you choosing to not read the threads and posts? You can’t be this obtuse
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 5/31/20 at 9:57 am to
quote:

Are you choosing to not read the threads and posts? You can’t be this obtuse


Do you have anything constructive to add to the conversation?

I’m open to changing my mind if there is evidence.
This post was edited on 5/31/20 at 10:02 am
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