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Best guess: How many total cases of COVID do you think China really has had?

Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:47 pm
Posted by CollegeFBRules
Member since Oct 2008
24261 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:47 pm
Country of 1.4 billion.

Over / under set at one million.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
48581 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:48 pm to
Over
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
65721 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:48 pm to
3.5 million

Exacree
Posted by Sidicous
Middle of Nowhere
Member since Aug 2015
17185 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:49 pm to
They got 1. One case in China.

The whole damned country!
Posted by ellishughtiger
70118
Member since Jul 2004
21135 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:49 pm to
Prob something like to 998 million
Posted by AU4real35
Member since Jan 2014
16065 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:49 pm to
750k and still growing.
Posted by Aristo
Colorado
Member since Jan 2007
13292 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:49 pm to
Probably 20 to 30%. With a lot of them recovering after a few down days.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72129 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:50 pm to
It is magnitudes higher than what they are reporting.
Posted by CollegeFBRules
Member since Oct 2008
24261 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

It is magnitudes higher than what they are reporting.


Absolutely.
Posted by Picayuner
Member since Dec 2016
3493 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:52 pm to
A million deaths easily - guaranteed
Posted by gobuxgo5
Member since Nov 2012
10028 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:52 pm to
If a million people got it and only that many died then it isn’t harmful enough to shut this country down
Posted by CollegeFBRules
Member since Oct 2008
24261 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:54 pm to
quote:

only that many died


Guaranteed there’s more dead also.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
39147 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:55 pm to
Wuhan has about 35% more people than NYC. I bet 2 million were sick before they started to show symptoms. They also seem to just bounce around the country like the rocks in the old Asteroids video game. They spread it to many more.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
64601 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:56 pm to
Take whatever number they’re reporting and triple it.

At least.
Posted by patnuh
South LA
Member since Sep 2005
6726 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:56 pm to
No idea, but you can go to YouTube and see videos of Wuhan drs and nurses having emotional breakdowns, hospital hallways look like lines to get into a football game, and the Chinese government literally welding apt doors shut. It sure are hell wasnt whatever they reported.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72129 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

Take whatever number they’re reporting and triple it.

At least.
Multiply it by 10...at minimum.
Posted by SuwMwf
Member since Jul 2012
947 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 4:03 pm to
My husband was in a meeting with owner of a large oil and gas company 4 weeks ago. Someone there reported 100k dead in China.
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
2467 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 4:11 pm to
Read a story that they are distributing 40000 urns in Wuhan over the next 10 days. Several studies have been published that 86% of symtomatic cases in Wuhan were not tested and then another 59% were asymptomatic.

I think china under reported their data by a factor of 20, then multiply that by 14 to get the light and asymptomatic cases.

I think so far about 20 million in china have had it.

I also think about 20 million in Italy have had it and about 2 million in the US have or have had it.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
30347 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

It is magnitudes higher than what they are reporting.



Precisely. 81,394 official number they just dropped a couple of zeros. more like 8,139,400. Two orders of magnitude. Lying SOBs
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
7798 posts
Posted on 3/28/20 at 4:16 pm to
Over.

Imagine that they actually tested less than 1% of people who had it.

I think only about 5% of cases in the USA, maybe less, are classified as "positive cases" because it seems that more than 9/10 here are being told to stay at home and treat unless desperate emergency.


This post was edited on 3/28/20 at 4:17 pm
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