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re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...
Posted on 7/3/24 at 8:17 pm to SWLA92
Posted on 7/3/24 at 8:17 pm to SWLA92
quote:
I’ll give it to the ICON it’s consistent for sure, it’s been from Freeport to the Tx/LA stateline the past few days. It’s either going to look real good or fail big time. My money is on failing.
To me, ICON is like the boost mobile of weather models. Hope my initial impression bares out
2
Posted on 7/3/24 at 8:27 pm to Dire Wolf
Between battling the land interaction and the shear Beryl is a tenacious little storm, in regards to it's size.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 8:39 pm to Dire Wolf
Space city weather bros are very confident it’s hitting Mexico. The most north they said should worry is corpus.
Making me feel better
Making me feel better
Posted on 7/3/24 at 8:39 pm to sparesomechange
quote:
I'm assuming a week trip to San antonio next week is a bad idea with kids. Am I right?
Maybe, maybe not.
It really could go either way at this point. This is a tough one to plan anything around.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 8:48 pm to CoonassatTEXAS
quote:
Space city weather bros are very confident it’s hitting Mexico. The most north they said should worry is corpus.
Brownsville is center of the cone I suppose
But yeah north of corpus seems <10% at this point
And of note all models have no significant strengthening after crossing yucatan now, even HWRF gave up on that
Cat 1 looks like the ceiling for Texas
Posted on 7/3/24 at 8:53 pm to Cosmo
Ironically the 18z Euro shows it was strengthening decently at least the pressure
Posted on 7/3/24 at 9:02 pm to lsuman25
Posted on 7/3/24 at 9:10 pm to LegendInMyMind
Yeah once they have a well defined center of circulation they are really good.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 9:24 pm to LegendInMyMind
that’s pretty incredible
Posted on 7/3/24 at 9:25 pm to LegendInMyMind
Pretty freaking cool.
Amazing what American know how can do!
Amazing what American know how can do!
Posted on 7/3/24 at 9:37 pm to CoonassatTEXAS
Does Corpus still take their personal boats out of water and dig holes in the flat land below the city to place the boats in for protection until the storm is passed?
Posted on 7/3/24 at 9:39 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Not too bad at all.
The best of the best work for the NHC.
Posted on 7/3/24 at 9:43 pm to rds dc
Are you sure?
Posted on 7/3/24 at 9:50 pm to SW2SCLA
quote:
Amen brother. I want Beryl much farther south
Bastardi was pointing out what Edith did in 1971, similar track to Mexico/Brownsville then off to the east with another landfall around Cameron, LA as a Cat 2
Posted on 7/3/24 at 10:18 pm to real turf fan
Looks like the one after Beryl will be the one to watch (96L)
Posted on 7/3/24 at 10:24 pm to Mr Roboto
Everything I’ve seen looks like it fizzles out around the Yucatan. You seeing something different?
Posted on 7/3/24 at 10:31 pm to real turf fan
Idk I wonder if they have a blue shed like Harvey was that Galveston? It was like a blue shed at a car wash or something
Posted on 7/3/24 at 10:38 pm to LegendInMyMind
That's what we're thinking. Looking at other options but would rather loose the money than travel 7 hours to ride out a hurricane when I can do that at home. ??
Posted on 7/3/24 at 10:46 pm to rds dc
quote:
The best of the best work for the NHC.
They’ve come a very long way since their roots - I just finished reading Issac’s Storm actually. Has to be the most trusted U.S. government agency these days along with NOAA/NWS (individual local offices maybe not as much). Absolutely brilliant minds there at the NHC.
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