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re: Are we, as a society, losing our way?

Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:14 am to
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86742 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:14 am to
quote:

And people are realizing this more and more every day.


no they aren't

people just seek affirmation

if the science backs their beliefs, its good science

if the science says something they don't like, its bad science

Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41706 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:15 am to
quote:

How do you determine what is bad information?


Facts are facts. They are correct if they are facts. If they are incorrect, they are not facts. This is pretty easy to determine.

quote:

I don't see this as a problem.


If people are using incorrect data, they become further uneducated. Increasing uneducated society is NOT a good thing.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46757 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:15 am to
quote:

Well, when it's your job on the line, I guess that's human nature. Unlike government workers, they don't get paid if they don't work.



And that's fine. Just don't be shocked when you get garbage science, and when people stop trusting scientists or experts because of it.

quote:

Correct. They need to eat, and took the job that pays them.


See above.

Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
109027 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:16 am to
quote:

The days of science for science's sake are dead. And have been for a while. Money rules scientific research just as much as it rules the corporate world.


It's still out there.

quote:

But the "we don't know" would never have made it to the public, because the study would never have happened if the scientists were being honest about their abilities and data available.


That's not necessarily true. If you look at the discussions of some of the newer research about COVID-19 right now, there's a lot of "we don't know enough yet" in those discussion sections. It's just not making it to media because they're desperate for reaction. Or to be "first" to report, so the full details don't get reported accurately.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:16 am to
quote:

The problem is, if we never had any lockdowns or restrictions at all, what would the real numbers have turned out to be?


This argument can be used for any situation, and we rarely if ever choose the most drastic measures based on unknowns. Until now, and you're criticized for questioning.

Science can tell you how bad the results could be, but politicians make these choices. Not scientists.

How do we know the lockdowns aren't more damaging to our future?
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
56227 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:17 am to
quote:

This kind of talk is where we are at now


OK, smarty pants, tell me what's wrong with my Unity Plan?

Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:18 am to
quote:

there's a lot of "we don't know enough yet"


Now maybe you'll understand that dissent isn't anti science.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46757 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:19 am to
quote:

no they aren't


Ya, they are. I mean when "top experts" come out and say X is going to happen, and it doesn't, what do you think that does to trust in our experts and scientific institutions?

quote:

if the science backs their beliefs, its good science

if the science says something they don't like, its bad science



Ok, but that's not what we're discussing here. At least that's not what I'm discussing. Specifically the result of scientific experts being spectacularly wrong on covid predictions and the resultant increase of distrust in said experts by the general populace, and the impact that has in people turning to conspiracy theories for explanations.

Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
109027 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:20 am to
quote:

Now maybe you'll understand that dissent isn't anti science.


I understand the difference in dissent based on variables outside of science and completely disregarding science because you don't understand the fluid nature of science/research and how it should be applied.

But your passive aggressiveness here kind of brings up the OPs point. Just because we disagree on the mechanism doesn't mean you have to be condescending about it.
This post was edited on 5/21/20 at 10:21 am
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46757 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:22 am to
quote:

That's not necessarily true.


Now.

quote:

If you look at the discussions of some of the newer research about COVID-19 right now, there's a lot of "we don't know enough yet" in those discussion sections.


Good. It sounds like other scientists are learning from the mistakes from the earlier ones. The problem is the entire globe's response wasn't based on the former, but the latter.

quote:

It's just not making it to media because they're desperate for reaction. Or to be "first" to report, so the full details don't get reported accurately.


Again, I'm not saying the media doesn't have some blame here. I'm not exactly known for saying kind words about the media around here.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:23 am to
quote:

But your passive aggressiveness here kind of brings up the OPs point.


You're trusting politicians who are responding to "we don't know enough yet" with draconian measures and calling it scienc

Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86742 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:23 am to
quote:

I mean when "top experts" come out and say X is going to happen, and it doesn't, what do you think that does to trust in our experts and scientific institutions?


well that is entirely dependent on your already held views

quote:

Specifically the result of scientific experts being spectacularly wrong on covid predictions and the resultant increase of distrust in said experts by the general populace, and the impact that has in people turning to conspiracy theories for explanations.


I don't think anyone really changed their mind much at all during any of this TBH

the extremes certainly did not

the "ho hum" people have shifted slightly from "some concern" to "less concern" over time, but thats about it

Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46757 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:24 am to
quote:

I don't think anyone really changed their mind much at all during any of this TBH


And I think you're incorrect in this statement.

quote:

the extremes certainly did not


Won't argue here though.

Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86742 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:25 am to
quote:

And I think you're incorrect in this statement.


you honestly think the people sharing that dumb "Plandemic" video were people that held lots of trust in the government or science before this?
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
109027 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:25 am to
quote:

You're trusting politicians who are responding to "we don't know enough yet" with draconian measures and calling it scienc


Nah. I'm trusting that the science is evolving when looking at a novel virus. That variables change. That a study in China or Italy may or may not be applicable here.

But most importantly, hindsight is 20/20 and you can only make decisions on what you know in that timeframe. It's very easy to look back and say this or that should've been done differently based on what we know now (which still isn't a whole hell of a lot).

We've seen this in almost every pandemic we've dealt with.
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
109027 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Good. It sounds like other scientists are learning from the mistakes from the earlier ones. The problem is the entire globe's response wasn't based on the former, but the latter.


Even the older research had those discussions. Like I said, it just wasn't disseminated as such to the general population. Who sadly, weren't properly taught how to really read research and determine for themselves what is/isn't valid.

It is an interesting discussion that maybe things like that should be of greater significance in K-12 education.
This post was edited on 5/21/20 at 10:29 am
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41706 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:28 am to
quote:

How do we know the lockdowns aren't more damaging to our future?


It's a question of medical damage vs economic damage. I think it's pretty easy to say that the lockdowns did help with some of the medical issues. But I think it's also very easy to say that it may have caused more economic damage than was needed.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46757 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:30 am to
quote:

you honestly think the people sharing that dumb "Plandemic" video were people that held lots of trust in the government or science before this?


I think you'd be surprised.

Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:32 am to
quote:

It's a question of medical damage vs economic damage.


Then you should at least understand there's a spectrum here and all f us have different ideas what the tradeoff should be.

I also am positive that personal sacrifice is the primary driver in the opennit up vs keep it closed debate. This se who support long term lockdowns seem to be those who have lost two months worth of income.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86742 posts
Posted on 5/21/20 at 10:33 am to
quote:

I think you'd be surprised.


and I think you are grasping
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