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Started By
Message
re: Anyone really believe we’re going back to even semi-normal on May 1st?
Posted on 4/4/20 at 12:29 pm to usc6158
Posted on 4/4/20 at 12:29 pm to usc6158
Logical arguments and developments on the ground will predicate when things start to loosen up
The Admiral in charge of distributing supplies was interviewed yesterday on Fox. He said the testing to see if you have already had the King Flu is very much on a fast track with massive distribution in the next two weeks. The Abbott tests to see if you are positive are being generated at 250k per week and the Feds are sending out like 20k of the test readers to health care providers all over the country
People who have already had the virus and were generally not that sick can be documented. Those people would be 100% safe to return to work
The Abbott test should help catch people earlier where they can be treated and not become chronic before receiving drug cocktail treatment
Hopefully in the next few weeks people will be able to see if they have already had it and in more and more cases get quick testing results to improve their chance of survival
Remember; the vast majority who get this do not die. If we can get these testing and treatment protocols fast tracked I suspect the vast majority can be back to work by June. Remember, the Grants we are applying for give 2.5 months of payroll relief. That ends about June 15
The Admiral in charge of distributing supplies was interviewed yesterday on Fox. He said the testing to see if you have already had the King Flu is very much on a fast track with massive distribution in the next two weeks. The Abbott tests to see if you are positive are being generated at 250k per week and the Feds are sending out like 20k of the test readers to health care providers all over the country
People who have already had the virus and were generally not that sick can be documented. Those people would be 100% safe to return to work
The Abbott test should help catch people earlier where they can be treated and not become chronic before receiving drug cocktail treatment
Hopefully in the next few weeks people will be able to see if they have already had it and in more and more cases get quick testing results to improve their chance of survival
Remember; the vast majority who get this do not die. If we can get these testing and treatment protocols fast tracked I suspect the vast majority can be back to work by June. Remember, the Grants we are applying for give 2.5 months of payroll relief. That ends about June 15
0
Posted on 4/4/20 at 12:42 pm to dukke v
quote:We shut things down for a “few more months”, we WILL see unemployment explode to unseen levels.
It's gonna be a rough few months. We WILl recover but when???????
You are calling for economic slowdown/shutdown for nearly half a year.
Look, if you don’t recognize that that would be more globally harmful than this entire pandemic, I don’t know what to tell you because that is insane.
This post was edited on 4/4/20 at 12:43 pm
Posted on 4/4/20 at 12:49 pm to StringedInstruments
I believe May 1st is very doable in New Orleans. We are peaking right now - much earlier than was predicted. Every ICU doctor I speak to (just 3 or 4, so not a great sample) is saying work is a little hectic but not overwhelming. They have plenty of supplies, too.
Two more weeks will see us completely past the peak, with cases declining. At that point, they can’t keep us cooped up for more than two more weeks. So yes, we’ll be out and about, with restaurants open.
Other parts of the country will still be locked down, though.
Two more weeks will see us completely past the peak, with cases declining. At that point, they can’t keep us cooped up for more than two more weeks. So yes, we’ll be out and about, with restaurants open.
Other parts of the country will still be locked down, though.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 12:51 pm to StringedInstruments
I guess I'm an outlier, I was hoping for April 15 as the Great Breakout.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 12:52 pm to JBeam
quote:
In April, I expect it to put rural areas in its crosshairs. Which is really going to be a frightening situation day to day.
The reproductive factor is higher in dense cities. In rural areas it will never be much of a problem as long as you keep them out of churches and ball games.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 12:57 pm to StringedInstruments
quote:
What is going to be the reasoning the government uses to lift the orders?
Same reason Sweden never issued the order.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 12:59 pm to ell_13
quote:
If they shutdown with 10 deaths a day, how can they justify opening things up with 100?
Because that is a meaningless metric. The important metric is the reproductive number. It was above 3 when we had 10 deaths per day rising, and it will be well below 1 when we have 100 deaths per day falling.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:00 pm to StringedInstruments
If you're in Alabama, you will be one the last states to get back to normal.
Louisiana will be one of the first. I'm optimistic that Louisiana begins to reopen non-essential business the first week in May with some significant social distancing measures.
Trying to view this on the national level is worthless.
Louisiana will be one of the first. I'm optimistic that Louisiana begins to reopen non-essential business the first week in May with some significant social distancing measures.
Trying to view this on the national level is worthless.
This post was edited on 4/4/20 at 1:03 pm
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:03 pm to The Spleen
quote:
Problem is, we acted too late in some areas and that burden is happening now.
Outside of New York where did we act too late? This is under control in NOLA, and that’s about the second worst in the country.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:09 pm to Penrod
quote:
it will never be much of a problem as long as you keep them out of churches and ball games
I would worry about Louisiana being able to stay ahead of the game here...the mega church environment was the literal bomb for South Korea.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:10 pm to blueridgeTiger
quote:
Some decent interactive charts on this website:
That chart is crap! It predicted 6,000 patients in Louisiana hospitals with 1,000 on ventilators. The actual numbers are 1726 and 571. They are not just wrong, they are embarrassingly wrong.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:18 pm to HubbaBubba
quote:
I'm researching and clearing out my investment portfolio of any investments in China, period. If a company has any manufacturing there, I am done with them.
No you’re not
Most of the products you buy are made in China or else their components are. For starters, when you research this...don’t use your iphone.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:26 pm to BRIllini07
quote:
I would worry about Louisiana being able to stay ahead of the game here...the mega church environment was the literal bomb for South Korea.
Yeah, some churches tip towards cults. They can’t be reasoned with.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:29 pm to Penrod
quote:They started this on public perception. It won’t end using logic.
Because that is a meaningless metric. The important metric is the reproductive number. It was above 3 when we had 10 deaths per day rising, and it will be well below 1 when we have 100 deaths per day falling.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 5:08 pm to Penrod
quote:I won't invest in them and my phone, an LG V40, was made in South Korea.
No you’re not
Most of the products you buy are made in China or else their components are. For starters, when you research this...don’t use your iphone
Posted on 4/4/20 at 5:36 pm to MusclesofBrussels
quote:
People guessing that stay at home orders will last 3 more months are insane.
I just don’t see that happening either
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