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re: Anthropic just studied which jobs AI can be theoretically replaced.
Posted on 3/6/26 at 9:18 pm to GREENHEAD22
Posted on 3/6/26 at 9:18 pm to GREENHEAD22
quote:
Companies will/are leaning into AI hard chasing earnings and stock price. Upper middle and lower upper class, white collar jobs are about to get slammed. I am very pessimistic and see major deflation in our future.
I would be on the first thing smoking back to the field if I didn't have a 3yr and 7yr old at the house.
I think private tech unless you are modeling God is going to go through a bloodbath.
But...at some point everywhere, its going to get hairy really fast and anybody with any major debugging/programming history from the "dinosaur days" will be worth their weight in Gold.
If that group decides to say frick it? Good luck finding vibe coders that will know what the frick AI is imagining.
And then like mentioned earlier, security whew we are really lazy about that given the exponential growth in AI
1
Posted on 3/6/26 at 9:36 pm to gaetti15
We have already course corrected and moved back to hiring junior developers. Need that pipeline going because management finally realized that the actual code writing part was mostly the easy part.
Without real hard skills by their engineering team, been some major issues with design, security, and just general maintenance. AI is just really terrible at fixing corner cases, which is mostly what you pay your software team to fix.
We can create large software products quicker than ever, but we are also increasing the surface area of issues.
90% of the time software guys were fixing intermittent difficult problems in code they mostly wrote. Now with large sections completely unknown. Time to close tickets is increasing.
I think if you work on slop SW products that you don't have to worry about security or quality though. It's perfect
Without real hard skills by their engineering team, been some major issues with design, security, and just general maintenance. AI is just really terrible at fixing corner cases, which is mostly what you pay your software team to fix.
We can create large software products quicker than ever, but we are also increasing the surface area of issues.
90% of the time software guys were fixing intermittent difficult problems in code they mostly wrote. Now with large sections completely unknown. Time to close tickets is increasing.
I think if you work on slop SW products that you don't have to worry about security or quality though. It's perfect
This post was edited on 3/6/26 at 9:38 pm
Posted on 3/6/26 at 9:40 pm to UltimaParadox
quote:
We have already course corrected and moved back to hiring junior developers.
That's really good to hear. Wish it were more common.
Thankfully I learned in the dark times
I've noticed the steep decline in quality of skills in this age of AI. Hopefully some of us can train the new folks at least the core basics of those logic skills we learned in the hey day
This post was edited on 3/6/26 at 9:42 pm
Posted on 3/6/26 at 10:00 pm to gaetti15
quote:
I've noticed the steep decline in quality of skills in this age of AI.
I don't write software on my day to day anymore. But it's become very apparent that new hires actually need to be cut off completely from AI.
It will never happen, but they have no idea how to troubleshoot anymore.
We are not going to pay anyone to write code anymore. Fixing code will be what software engineers will have to be really skilled in. AI just can't fix these very odd corner cases. It can be helpful to find solutions. But AI models don't really think, they rely on what they think is the answer. Most of these issues are never solved on stack overflow. So AI answers are not even close. Granted these are custom code bases that will never be shared
I have no idea how bad it's going to get if most companies don't keep training SW engineers looking at short term profits
I'm fortunate we have been around a long time working on some closed systems that have to work 100% of the time
This post was edited on 3/6/26 at 10:03 pm
Posted on 3/6/26 at 10:22 pm to UltimaParadox
quote:
Most of these issues are never solved on stack overflow. So AI answers are not even close. Granted these are custom code bases that will never be shared
So true
Posted on 3/6/26 at 11:23 pm to olemc999
quote:
Grounds Maintenance finna eat!
Who’s going to hire them? Bus drivers?
Posted on 3/6/26 at 11:45 pm to Ingeniero
quote:
Agreed. Eliminating some drafting, using it as a tool to check specifications, make the workflow better, sure. But as long as licensing and stamps are required it won't "replace" engineering in that sense.
I think people are misconstruing the issue.
AI doesn’t have to replace everything you do in order to have a huge disruptive effect on your profession. It doesn’t necessarily even have to replace anything you do in your specific role, for that matter.
It simply has to replace a significant amount of what people with similar qualifications do. Take engineering: I agree that licensing and stamps aren’t going anywhere. But what percentage of time among the entire population of PE’s is actually spent reviewing designs and stamping drawings?
Let’s say you’re a mechanical engineer with your PE who actually does spend the majority of your time on design work that can’t be automated. At first glance, you can’t be replaced. But outside of your role, productivity increases dramatically and it causes demand for engineers to drop. All of a sudden there’s going to be a lot more competition for your specific role. You might also have an influx of qualified people taking the PE exam who didn’t want or need a PE license previously. All of this is going to drive down wages and make it harder to find jobs.
The good outcome would be that demand for engineering services increases along with productivity, and we actually see an economic boom. But some industries/fields will get hit harder than others, and those fields could suffer big time.
I’m not really an AI “doomer.” However, I do think a lot of people are far too quick to write off the potential of the technology entirely based on their perception of today’s commercial models. I think we’re probably just scratching the surface of capabilities, but I have some doubt about the ability to roll game-changing capabilities out at scale, given the infrastructure/compute requirements. In any case, I think it’s a bit unwise for folks to ignore the potential for disruption.
Posted on 3/7/26 at 6:51 am to lostinbr
quote:
Most of my job is coordination rather than drafting. I haven’t seen an agentic AI that can communicate across so many different teams and workflows. We’ll see
I think this is a pretty common viewpoint. But consider that part of the reason we spend so much time on communication/coordination is that we (humans) do not share information efficiently. AI agents can theoretically share information extremely efficiently with other AI agents.
In other words, the more those other workflows adopt AI, the less important the human coordination aspect becomes. Past a certain adoption threshold, it’s possible that human coordination actually becomes a net negative. That’s probably all theoretical at this point, though.
It's a good point, but consider that machine communication is very literal and has to be precise to get the result that you want. Human communication is much more nuanced, flexible and changing--and dependent on context. This is not to say that AI won't improve,
I'm just impressed, maybe even concerned, about how fast Ai is improving.
Posted on 3/7/26 at 6:55 am to lostinbr
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.This post was edited on 3/7/26 at 7:09 am
Posted on 3/7/26 at 8:19 am to Sl0thstronautEsq
Dario is full of shite.. every six months we are six months from the end of humanity.
Posted on 3/7/26 at 9:22 am to UltimaParadox
Anytime he has a public perception problem he busts out the AI consciousness routine.
The fear of missing out and enshittification will continue until companies realize that people that are needed are ones who actually understand how their systems work instead of just throwing stuff against the wall and seeing what sticks; that's what AI promotes heavily.
I'm not impressed by the AI agents talking to other AI agents at all, it looks like your typical over-engineered Rube Goldberg setup that is doing a lot of work, but not really accomplishing anything.
Either way, I'll be here to fix what breaks.
The fear of missing out and enshittification will continue until companies realize that people that are needed are ones who actually understand how their systems work instead of just throwing stuff against the wall and seeing what sticks; that's what AI promotes heavily.
I'm not impressed by the AI agents talking to other AI agents at all, it looks like your typical over-engineered Rube Goldberg setup that is doing a lot of work, but not really accomplishing anything.
Either way, I'll be here to fix what breaks.
Posted on 3/7/26 at 9:24 am to GetMeOutOfHere
“Healthcare support” not being touched is hilarious. I suppose AI can replace accountants, engineers, lawyers, etc but may not replace the 12 women in clinic offices drinking big gulps and ignoring patients.
Posted on 3/7/26 at 9:42 am to gaetti15
quote:
I've noticed the steep decline in quality of skills in this age of AI. Hopefully some of us can train the new folks at least the core basics of those logic skills we learned in the hey day
That's my biggest concern with this entire AI infiltration. The overall diminished skillset that alot of younger talent will have because they are overly reliant on AI. Can anyone "code" with it? Sure, but how many of those same people can also troubleshoot their AI generated code when it breaks down and AI itself can't find the problem?
Maybe some of us gray beards will become the new version of Cobol developers and cash in when none of the younger talent can properly code and debug anymore.
Posted on 3/7/26 at 9:44 am to jdd48
quote:
Maybe some of us gray beards will become the new version of Cobol developers and cash in when none of the younger talent can properly code and debug anymore
That's what im counting on
Posted on 3/7/26 at 9:46 am to NIH
quote:
“Healthcare support” not being touched is hilarious. I suppose AI can replace accountants, engineers, lawyers, etc but may not replace the 12 women in clinic offices drinking big gulps and ignoring patients.
Posted on 3/7/26 at 9:50 am to SlowFlowPro
Wife works in the healthcare admin field, read that to her and she laughed real hard
Posted on 3/8/26 at 8:47 am to UltimaParadox
quote:
Dario is full of shite.. every six months we are six months from the end of humanity.
Pretty much all of them are. This guy covers it pretty well IMO.
AI Lies
Posted on 3/8/26 at 9:15 am to magildachunks
quote:
Member when posters ridiculed me for saying lawyers would be in danger of replacement?
Lawyers will place legal and licensing obstacles for AI use in their field.
Posted on 3/8/26 at 10:12 am to TheHarahanian
What manpower is building all the massive space ships we see in Star Wars and Star Trek? Are we suddenly capable of construction and operation on that level with AI?
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