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re: The Official NBA Free Agency/Offseason Thread Update: MITCHELL TO CLE

Posted on 7/19/22 at 8:47 pm to
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
104096 posts
Posted on 7/19/22 at 8:47 pm to
Their play for this season appears to be a major tank job while also looking to acquire other teams’ picks.

Sometimes this works out, like Cleveland taking an unprotected first from the Clip Show to eat Baron Davis’ contract or Portland getting a top 3 protected first from the Nets in exchange for Gerald Wallace.

Sometimes it doesn’t, like when the Celtics got two lottery picks in 1997 and the Spurs won the Tim Duncan sweepstakes instead.
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
11389 posts
Posted on 7/19/22 at 10:01 pm to
quote:

Their play for this season appears to be a major tank job while also looking to acquire other teams’ picks.



I don't know what you guys are talking about. I love the Spurs young talent and they have great pieces to build around. Poeltl and Johnson are solid starters and will fetch a nice return. They really like Primo as a lead guard, he showed flashes last year. They had an awesome draft. They have other pieces to flip and will have like 80M in cap space next summer. It is a 1 year reset, especially if they hit it big in the lottery..
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59927 posts
Posted on 7/19/22 at 10:14 pm to
Haven’t won a playoff series in 5 years and probably looking at 5 more before they can win one. Of the rebuilding teams, Both HOU and OKC have loads more talent and will obvi be ready to compete before them. Who in the west will they be better than in 2 seasons. It is hard to say anyone isn’t it.

Utah and dame- less PDX would be the 2 best choices imo
This post was edited on 7/19/22 at 10:17 pm
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
37080 posts
Posted on 7/19/22 at 10:16 pm to
Cap space is irrelevant in the current NBA, unless you are a large market, max level free agents have proven time and time again that they won’t sign with small markets. They’ll just sign a deal with their current team and demand a trade, rather than sign with a small market team with space. It’s a fricked up system but there are a few years before we’ll have any changes.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
104096 posts
Posted on 7/19/22 at 10:30 pm to
Advantage of cap space for a lot of teams has become a way to get picks and prospects to eat a bad contract.

Look at Detroit this offseason. They got a good amount to eat the Knicks’ crap deals so they could overpay Brunson. Or what OKC does most offseason.
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
11389 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 2:07 am to
quote:

Both HOU and OKC have loads more talent and will obvi be ready to compete before them.


I would take that bet. The Spurs are better at developing players. They have 7-8 guys that should round into solid NBA starters. They don't have positional overlap and seem to have a cohesive plan to build.

quote:

Who in the west will they be better than in 2 seasons. It is hard to say anyone isn’t it.


Many many teams. Especially the way rosters turn over. I don't see how the Lakers will be good in two years. Same with the Clippers. They are going to reach a point where it all comes crashing down due to payroll. I believe the Warriors make a panic move soon and move a bunch of their youth for a last push, which would kill their future.

I can see the Spurs being a bottom 5 team this year. Then a year by year progression over the next two. Should be contenders in 3 years.
Posted by higgsBoson
Democratic Party
Member since Jan 2012
1612 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 4:22 am to
quote:

I can see the Spurs being a bottom 5 team this year. Then a year by year progression over the next two. Should be contenders in 3 years.


Contenders? For what? The play in? They don’t have serious talent right now. Unless they get lucky next lottery in a big way I don’t see it.
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
11389 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 5:31 am to
quote:

Contenders? For what? The play in? They don’t have serious talent right now. Unless they get lucky next lottery in a big way I don’t see it.


1-2 years in the deep lottery plus the young core they already possess should allow them to build into an upper tier team. I have seen that organization turn over talent repeatedly. Its what they do and they have the structure to rebound.

The Spurs are the most successful franchise over the past 25 years and its not particularly close. They are organizationally strong and always have a plan. Pop will be stepping down and a new coach will be taking over soon (Duncan?). There will be a plan for a quick turnaround..
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59927 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 7:47 am to
The competitive advantage they had in international scouting to allow them to land Parker and ginobili is gone. The winning culture ain’t there anymore. They really don’t draft well, and if they develop so well, why are they losing so much. On top of that the legendary shooting coach, chip engelland is leaving .
This post was edited on 7/20/22 at 7:49 am
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59927 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 8:15 am to
If you put their last decade + of drafts against any other franchise in the nba you would almost guaranteed to choose the other squad.



2021 NBA 1 12 Joshua Primo Alabama
2021 NBA 2 41 Joe Wieskamp Iowa
2020 NBA 1 11 Devin Vassell Florida State
2020 NBA 2 41 Tre Jones Duke
2019 NBA 1 19 Luka Šamani
2019 NBA 1 29 Keldon Johnson
2019 NBA 2 49 Quinndary Weatherspoon Mississippi State
2018 NBA 1 18 Lonnie Walker Miami (FL)
2018 NBA 2 49 Chimezie Metu USC
2017 NBA 1 29 Derrick White Colorado
2017 NBA 2 59 Jaron Blossomgame Clemson
2016 NBA 1 29 Dejounte Murray Washington
2015 NBA 1 26 Nikola Milutinov
2015 NBA 2 55 Cady Lalanne UMass
2014 NBA 1 30 Kyle Anderson UCLA
2014 NBA 2 58 Jordan McRae (?PHI) Tennessee
2014 NBA 2 60 Cory Jefferson (?BRK) Baylor
2013 NBA 1 28 Livio Jean-Charles
2013 NBA 2 58 Deshaun Thomas Ohio State
2012 NBA 2 59 Marcus Denmon Missouri
2011 NBA 1 29 Cory Joseph Texas
2011 NBA 2 59 Ádám Hanga
Posted by Bronc
Member since Sep 2018
12646 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 8:20 am to
Very hard to rebuild as a small market without multiple top 5 picks.

SAS certainly is not the elite drafting franchise they were when they found a market advantage in international scouting, but it is very hard to build a team when you are trying to fill out a roster with only picks in the mid teens to 20's.

Considering where they drafted, I'd say they are still above average
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
37080 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 8:26 am to
quote:

If you put their last decade + of drafts against any other franchise in the nba you would almost guaranteed to choose the other squad.

They probably have close to the fewest lottery picks in that timespan, and zero top 10 picks
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
11389 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 8:35 am to
quote:

They really don’t draft well, and if they develop so well, why are they losing so much


They were in the playin the last two years and in the playoffs in 2019. They have never bottomed out.

In the past 4 drafts they got 6-7 good-great prospects. They have four 19 year olds that are going to play major minutes for them this year.

quote:

The winning culture ain’t there anymore.


I don't know about this. They had a lull and were stuck in that .500 range with some difficult pieces that didn't fit. They keep breeding new coaches and front office staff. They have always had a strong culture. They are focused on the draft and development. That model usually pays off.

They will be bad this year intentionally. But the cupboard is not bare..
Posted by Boomshockalocka
Member since Feb 2004
59927 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 8:36 am to
Not much to show for it. Which flies in the face of the reverence held for them by many and the poster in this thread. that franchise is toast.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
62446 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 8:41 am to
quote:

Not much to show for it.


Because they never bottomed out. Where they have been drafting they should have been the Kings or worse, but they've been on the playoff bubble the entire time.

They've been stuck in NBA purgatory, the Rockets were there for a while if you remember back to before they traded for Harden because their owner wouldn't let them hit the reset button. When you don't bottom out to get top talent it's hard to be anything more than a back end of playoffs team.
Posted by whatiknowsofar
hm?
Member since Nov 2010
27594 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 8:46 am to
quote:

Which flies in the face of the reverence held for them by many and the poster in this thread. that franchise is toast.


Yeah it's really crazy. Kawhi screws over the Spurs and ruins that team by forcing a trade while they still had pieces, get derozan and eventually fade

Jim screws over the Rox by getting shite players on his team and Rox are able to trade him for picks and go full tank mode.

Gotta give it to Jim to do right by the Rox and make sure the team is shitty BEFORE demanding a trade.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
104096 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 8:51 am to
How many teams had a stretch of playoff runs for 20 years in the modern era?

While they potentially hit the skids for a long period like the Celtics did between the early 90s and the KG trade, they haven’t had a lot of the issues that got the Celtics to that spot.


Biggest killers for the Celtics were Len Bias dying of an OD, Larry Bird’s back, and Reggie Lewis dropping dead of a heart attack.

Bias’ death cost them a guy who should have been their next franchise player along with the 2nd overall pick spent on him. It didn’t hurt them that season but the accumulated wear on Bird and others cost them down the road.

Bird’s back troubles killing his career were the major issue because Bird was one of the best players ever and was THE star of the team. He doesn’t get appreciated as much as he should because he and Magic helped bring the league back into the spotlight but both were retired by the time Jordan really came into his own by winning titles. Losing him to a back injury turned them from a title contender to a mid tier playoff team.

Reggie Lewis’ death was the dagger to that team for years because they had no real stars anymore and never could pull it together in the draft or free agency even when they did get a guy who became great like Chauncey Billups. They desperately wanted Tim Duncan and got Billups instead then gave up on him way too early.


The Spurs?

Arguably their downfall was not getting more for Kawhi once Kawhi forced his way out.

They have still brought in players and done reasonably well, but Kawhi was their last superstar and they haven’t been able to replace him since then despite overachieving with mid-late firsts like Dejounte Murray.


If the team either wins the lottery this year or drafts well if they don’t go first and get Wematanye, as I refer to him, then they may be able to recover in 2-3 years to playoff level then potentially structure things to compete.

If they blow a pick or the draft class just outright sucks like the 2000 class did, they are probably fricked for quite a while.
Posted by Bronc
Member since Sep 2018
12646 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 8:52 am to
quote:

Not much to show for it. Which flies in the face of the reverence held for them by many and the poster in this thread. that franchise is toast.




Again, you are doing that thing where you deliberately ignore context repeatedly to make your arguments fit.

You can count on one hand the number of teams that drafted primarily in the teens and 20's over the same period that have had better success than the Spurs picking in that range. And it is basically Memphis, Denver, and Toronto.

2021 NBA 1 12 Joshua Primo Alabama
2020 NBA 1 11 Devin Vassell Florida State
2019 NBA 1 19 Luka Šamani
2019 NBA 1 29 Keldon Johnson
2018 NBA 1 18 Lonnie Walker Miami (FL)
2017 NBA 1 29 Derrick White Colorado
2016 NBA 1 29 Dejounte Murray Washington


Luke Samani is the only one on that list that is actually a bust. None in the top 10. 5 of the 7 picks 18 or later.

I don't think you could name a single team in the league that managed to build a roster from that scenario?
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130326 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 8:55 am to
If I was an owner, I personally would see being a treadmill team as the worst possible outcome, especially if I was a small market.

Either be very good or suck.
Posted by Pelefraan 1
Member since Jan 2018
6706 posts
Posted on 7/20/22 at 8:59 am to
You need to put bums on seats when you're a small market team.

20 years ago tanking was a death knell, but I think fans are much more savvy these days and will still come as long as there is a definite direction that can be seen
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