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re: Any possible way we can make a move for Steven Adams?

Posted on 11/28/20 at 3:23 pm to
Posted by Townedrunkard
Member since Jan 2019
13790 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

Nice. You named 2 players out of how many over how many years?



Siakam, Brogden, monte Morris, Montez Harrell, josh Hart, Kuzma, devontae Graham. All very late first, or 2nd round. And that was only over 3-4 drafts.

All throw aways right? Siakam is only the face of the raptors franchise, like Jokic is for Denver and Butler for Miami.
This post was edited on 11/28/20 at 3:27 pm
Posted by bonethug0180
Avondale
Member since Jul 2018
4901 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 3:36 pm to
So 9 out of 150 (late first + 2nd over 4 years). And of varying quality.

Yeah you really showed me. That's a 6% hit rate just to get a guy that is more than bench fodder or better.

I'd much rather take Adams than a 12% chance of getting another Josh Hart, and I love Josh Hart. But those odds are too low and that is exactly my point.

The odds say the majority of the time a 2nd round pick is bench fodder.
This post was edited on 11/28/20 at 3:37 pm
Posted by Dantheman504
N/A
Member since Jun 2013
5826 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 3:43 pm to
The problem with your logic is that this can be viewed differently for every team and every year. Most of the players you listed were drafted to teams with several open roster spots or needing to fill their roster at the time.

The Pelicans have 2 future stars to build on and several role players. At this point we are trying to form a certain roster/ skill set and don't need to play guessing games.

If a team does not value 2nd rd draft picks in a certain season than it is still okay. Those same teams can still take a chance on 2 way contracts. Those teams also will be able to pick up other players who were cut for 2nd rd picks or higher salary players.

For example we now have:

Naji Marshall

Wenyen Gabriel


I really like both of those guys and they have just as much potential as a 2nd rd pick, if not more considering Gabriel.


This post was edited on 11/28/20 at 3:45 pm
Posted by Townedrunkard
Member since Jan 2019
13790 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

Yeah you really showed me. That's a 6% hit rate just to get a guy that is more than bench fodder or better


You complained because I only named two, so then I name a bunch of starters and impact players taken around where the picks we gave up will be which is bottom of the first and the two 2nds will be early since they coming from crappy teams.

You including the entire second round to skew the stats when most of the guys I named were taken in the front half of the second round. I’m sure I could take a block of the middle first round and show how low the hit rate is low and how having a middle first round pick is worthless and should be traded if I wanted.

You wanted me to name impact players around where the picks we traded were drafted and I named a bunch....
This post was edited on 11/28/20 at 3:53 pm
Posted by bonethug0180
Avondale
Member since Jul 2018
4901 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 3:55 pm to
I actually argued that mid to late firsts do have a low hit rate, which is why the protected first isn't high value either.

More valuable than the 2nds for sure, but outside the top 10 is hard to find good players (compared to the hit rate inside the top 10, or the top 3-4 especially).
Posted by Dantheman504
N/A
Member since Jun 2013
5826 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 4:05 pm to
Everybody just needs to chill. 1st rd picks have a lot more value than 2nd rd picks. We have 6 or 7 1st rd picks in the next 4 years... If Kira Lewis is a solid player then I'm not sure we will have space for more than 6 rookies coming in. That's NOT including any 2nd rd picks.

Stop arguing about 2nd rd picks. We have free agency, trades, and an already solid roster.
This post was edited on 11/28/20 at 4:07 pm
Posted by Bronc
Member since Sep 2018
12646 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 5:16 pm to
quote:

I just gave you my list of those better.

Saying KAT is statistically better at everything besides shooting shows you do no research. Look up per 36.




You have neither provided that list nor backed anything you have said up: go look up vague X or Y thing is not an argument.



What exactly was this supposed to magically do in supporting your argument that Adams is a better center than Towns and "all Towns can do better than Adams is shoot the three"

???

Because like I said, Towns is statistically better than Adams at basically everything besides defense(and screen setting).

And like I said in a prior discussion on this, if you go look at the advanced tracking metrics for each player on NBA.com, Towns is superior at boxing out as well(Towns commands a 90% team Reb rate when he is boxing out vs Adams 80%, Adams has more succesful box outs with his team recovering the ball per game, but not enough to close the gap with Towns in overall Rebounding production). And when you look at screen assists the difference between Adams and Towns a game is about 2 points. But Towns eliminates that gap completely by actually assisting at a higher rate as a facilitator.
This post was edited on 11/28/20 at 5:19 pm
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112624 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 5:29 pm to
quote:

I've stated multiple times what the criteria is,
Steven Adams is a top 5 center as long you as you don't rank him against all centers and only rank him on made up criteria I create to remove actual centers that are better than him so I can then rank him in my top 5 made up centers ranking.

Nailed it!
Posted by Soggymoss
Member since Aug 2018
17355 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 6:13 pm to
Player A:
Total rebound 16.8%
Assist 22.8%
Steal 1.3%
Blk 2.9%
Turnover 13.2%
OWS 3.7
DWS 1.3
WS 5.1

Player B:
Total rebound 19.2%
Assist 13.2%
Steal 1.5%
Blk 3.4%
Turnover 14.2%
OWS 3.8
DWS 2.7
WS 6.5

Which player would you rather have?
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112624 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 8:23 pm to
quote:

Which player would you rather have?

I'd take the one named KAT over the one named Steven Adams, along with 99.99999% of other NBA folks.


YOu also were very intentionally disingenuous here just picking stats that helped your cause.

Why did you leave out PER?

Why did you use WS and not WS/48?

Why did you leave out BPM?

Why did you leave out VORP?



FYI, KAT has more WS in 5 seasons than Adams has in 7 seasons, since you want to call out WS.

Which player would you rather have, the one with more WS in 5 seasons, or the one with less in 5 seasons?
This post was edited on 11/28/20 at 8:25 pm
Posted by Dantheman504
N/A
Member since Jun 2013
5826 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 8:41 pm to
Again this is another pointless argument. Steven Adams is easily a top 10 center. He is good enough to be in the talks for top 5 center. So far his 2 yr 35 mil extension and his 1 year with us will probably make him a top 3 center per contract/ output easily.

Would you rather KAT for 33 mil over Adams for 17.5?? Hell no.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112624 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 9:02 pm to
quote:

He is good enough to be in the talks for top 5 center.
There's quite literally zero argument for him as a top 5 center.

quote:

So far his 2 yr 35 mil extension and his 1 year with us will probably make him a top 3 center per contract/ output easily.
Is Andrew Wiggins a top 5 or whatever wing? Where a player ranks in salary is irrelevant to how good he is and whether he's top 5.

quote:

Would you rather KAT for 33 mil over Adams for 17.5?? Hell no.

Kat, all day. Very easily.

Also, you interestingly used all 3 of Adams' years to in 1 point, then only 2 of his years to compare him to KAT on your next point. That's a bit disingenuous. It's not $17.5 for Adams, it's 3 years and I think around $64mil
This post was edited on 11/28/20 at 9:06 pm
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
36389 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 9:23 pm to
In a vacuum KAT is better, but for this team? Give me Adams. This team needs a defensive center next to Zion.

I would say Adams is around 10th in terms of center rankings.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112624 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 9:31 pm to
quote:

I would say Adams is around 10th in terms of center rankings.

Agreed
quote:

In a vacuum KAT is better, but for this team? Give me Adams. This team needs a defensive center next to Zion.

I hear ya on a defensive center, but at some point, a guy is just too good to pass up, and KAT is pretty obviously that good.

KAT would also instantly be the best shooter on our team, something we need.

I'll put it this way, since you say we need defense more, does that mean you'd still want Adams over Jokic?
This post was edited on 11/28/20 at 9:34 pm
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
31895 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 9:34 pm to
KAT is an amazing offensive center, but dude is absolutely horrid defensively.

For this team or any team with 2 or more offensive talents, you gotta go with Adams.

To start a fresh team? Give me KAT
This post was edited on 11/28/20 at 9:36 pm
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112624 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

KAT is an amazing offensive center, but dude is absolutely horrid defensively.

For this team or any team with 2 or more offensive talents, you gotta go with Adams.
So you'd take Adams over Jokic too?

Jokic is bad defensively, but they're ain't no way any one of you can say with a straight face you'd take Adams over Jokic because Jokic sucks defensively.
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
31895 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 9:44 pm to
To me, there's 3 kinds of 'bad defense'

Effort, iq, and lack of athleticism.

Jokic is slow footed but he makes the right defensive rotations, switches, and isn't losing guys often. When he gets beat it's because he's not athletic enough.

KAT is iq and effort. Dude loses guys often and he's lazy as frick defensively. It's why butler HATED him and Wiggins.

Giving up easy layups play after play is different than being beat because a guy takes the corner on you every now and then. It's like would you rather KAT or Jokic? Give me Jokic despite offensive numbers saying KAT is better.
This post was edited on 11/28/20 at 9:46 pm
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
36389 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

I'll put it this way, since you say we need defense more, does that mean you'd still want Adams over Jokic?


I would take Jokic, but he’s not as horrendous as KAT is on the defensive side of the ball. He also adds some playmaking on the offensive side of the ball that KAT doesn’t. I just don’t think KAT plays winning basketball. He’s like the Carmelo Anthony of centers.

quote:

KAT would also instantly be the best shooter on our team, something we need.
JJ?
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112624 posts
Posted on 11/28/20 at 10:01 pm to
quote:

JJ?
shite, yes my bad. Dumb take there, forgot about that guy.
This post was edited on 11/28/20 at 10:02 pm
Posted by Soggymoss
Member since Aug 2018
17355 posts
Posted on 11/29/20 at 5:11 am to
PER has Hassan Whiteside, Mitchell Robinson, Montrezl Harrel, John Collins, Christian Wood etc as top 20 players in the NBA. I guess we should just call them that then?


You literally said KAT is better at everything besides defense and screening. Advamced metrics don't show that though.

Shooting KAT
Screens Adams
Passing slight edge KAT
Rebounding Adams
Defense Adams
Blocks Adams

I'll even add in BBIQ Adams>>>>>KAT

Now of you want to ask a list of who's better for this particular Pelicans team, then my list would look more like yours
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