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re: LSU -12.5 has to be a lock

Posted on 12/19/19 at 7:19 pm to
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
86827 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 7:19 pm to
But Florida has a legit defense, Oklahoma doesn't.
Posted by NaturalBeam
Member since Sep 2007
14644 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 7:19 pm to
Vegas Insider has us 8-4-1 this year ATS

Granted, several of those losses were razor thin so you could’ve been 12-1 if you caught the right lines. But that’s still pretty generous.
Posted by UncleRuckus
Member since Feb 2013
8737 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 7:22 pm to
I’m guessing smart money will actually be on OU. A good team getting 12.5 would be hard to pass up
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112432 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 7:24 pm to
quote:

all I need to know. Thanks.
Careful, that's not correct.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
87847 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

Lsu is 12-1 vs the spread this year

They have torched Vegas.






Sweet jinx OP
Posted by RandySavage
Member since May 2012
33585 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 7:37 pm to
Terrible logic, I guess you think Auburn is double digits better than OU?
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
84625 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

Not kidding here but healthy CEH = 14-17+ point win

No CEH (or limited) = 7-10 point win

Just my thoughts. Although the OU suspensions are a big deal too.

CEH is not 7 point swing. That's ridiculous. Burrow opens up the run game. He's shifty as frick. But those holes opened up by the passing offense will not suddenly disappear.
Posted by FightinTigersDammit
Louisiana North
Member since Mar 2006
41806 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

But Florida has a legit defense, Oklahoma doesn't.


And their best pass rusher is out.
Posted by John McClane
Member since Apr 2010
37109 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 8:19 pm to
quote:

famous last words


Exactly.

Everyone is looking past OU. Hopefully the Tigers aren’t.

I think it will be closer than expected and hopefully LSU pulls it out.
Posted by Boomdat
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2012
478 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 8:45 pm to
There is that lock jinx. Give me OU Moneyline.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
104446 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 8:47 pm to
quote:

Terrible logic, I guess you think Auburn is double digits better than OU?




You have to be smarter than looking at just box scores if you want to be a gambler....

If not, you lose your arse

LSU had 14 more first downs and 220 more yards. As a betting man, you have to view that game as a dominating “blowout”, not a close game for future betting decisions

If not, it will have you making mistakes and picking Uga against LSU....
This post was edited on 12/19/19 at 8:48 pm
Posted by theOG
Member since Feb 2010
10691 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 8:52 pm to
Yes, LSU -12.5 is a lock.
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
41921 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

CEH is not 7 point swing. That's ridiculous. Burrow opens up the run game. He's shifty as frick. But those holes opened up by the passing offense will not suddenly disappear.


Maybe not. But I think CEH is one of the more underrated player in NCAA football right now. He has been an all purpose monster for LSU. 1700 all purpose yards and what 15 TDs? Tremendous pass catcher out of backfield.

I suppose it’s easier to put a game plan together when you have 10 days to prepare without him but this is a big deal.
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
31166 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 9:18 pm to
quote:

LSU -12.5 has to be a lock


Don't gamble much, eh?
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
84625 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 9:22 pm to
It is a big deal for sure. But what I'm saying is Burrow is such a headache that whoever the RB is will have holes to run through.
Pass protection might be an issue because that's a CEH attribute that may not translate to the next guy, I'm not sure how good Davis-Price is there.
Posted by SprintFun
Columbus, OH
Member since Dec 2007
45829 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 9:40 pm to
quote:

LSU -12.5 has to be a lock


Time to double up that Christmas money then
Posted by Hurricane Mike
Member since Jun 2008
20059 posts
Posted on 12/19/19 at 10:40 pm to
quote:

whoever the RB is will have holes to run through.


This is the least of the concerns with CEH being out
Posted by PhilipMarlowe
Member since Mar 2013
21122 posts
Posted on 12/20/19 at 2:32 am to
This game will get ugly af. Corndog wins by no less than 21. ou is trash.
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
46943 posts
Posted on 12/20/19 at 5:16 am to
This game screams backdoor cover (OU trailing 45-27 and gets a TD in the final minute to cover the spread).
This post was edited on 12/20/19 at 5:18 am
Posted by Overbrook
Member since May 2013
6250 posts
Posted on 12/20/19 at 7:31 am to
Too obvious.
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