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Registered on:9/10/2007
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quote:

My comment was not meant as a subtle brag, but more just trying to head off lectures
Interesting, b/c you could have just asked:
quote:

Who among you would be adding at these levels?
without any of the commentary, and completely avoided any lectures... :dunno:

re: Spec Play - HGRAF

Posted by NaturalBeam on 4/9/26 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

based on the potential of 500 hyperions producing a total of 5,000 metric tons per year generating $1b in profits
I would take this.
quote:

and a P/E multiplier of 10
Because no way it doesn't trade much higher than this.
quote:

OT hates the Masters but Shreveport boy in the lead
FIFY

re: Spec Play - HGRAF

Posted by NaturalBeam on 4/9/26 at 8:51 am to
Maybe I'm reading too much into this (there's not much else to go on), but this video could be telling in multiple ways.

We've all been speculating as to why there has been no news. The pessimists (usually me) are worried that this is stalling out, with delayed timelines, and lack of demand and customers.

The optimists have speculated that maybe they are doing a lot behind the scenes, and have been too busy developing product and customers to bother with giving us frequent updates.

But KB posting just a 9-second video with no context, after weeks of silence, gives me hope that the latter is true. Moving a completed hyperion into their new hq is a big deal (we weren't even sure if the hq was open yet). The fact that this wasn't some bigger announcement suggests they aren't worried with updating us as to everything they're doing, but they have obviously been moving the ball down the field this whole time. :cheers:

re: Spec Play - HGRAF

Posted by NaturalBeam on 4/8/26 at 2:58 pm to
And the guy in red is taking a picture of whatever it is, so hopefully it's a big deal :cheers:

re: Spec Play - HGRAF

Posted by NaturalBeam on 4/8/26 at 2:31 pm to
KB posted a video to IG a couple of hours ago. It's only a couple of seconds long, but it shows a truck making a delivery of a large piece of equipment to a facility (presumably in Austin). Can't tell what the equipment is because it's covered, but maybe a hyperion?
Paul, come on down. You obviously still read this thread. You pop in every time there's a bad day, so I expect you to say hello on a good day.

Fair is fair, unless you're rooting against this stock for some reason.

re: Spec Play - HGRAF

Posted by NaturalBeam on 4/7/26 at 9:02 pm to
I’m still in but my cost basis is $2.50 so it’s easier to hang in while still comfortably in the green.

I am getting more and more nervous with this management team though. I would love for some of those optimistic possibilities to be true, and I’ll gladly eat crow if I’m wrong, but I’m not getting the warm and fuzzies about this being the next huge company.

The deadlines continually being pushed to the right is taking its toll. If we approach the end of Q3 and KB starts talking about Q4 or 2027 for NASDAQ, with no appreciable increase in tonnage capacity, I may lower my exposure. That’s when most of my shares would convert to long-term anyhow.

I think the science and infrastructure is good enough to support the stock for awhile so I don’t think it will totally tank. Which is why I haven’t sold anything…yet.

re: Spec Play - HGRAF

Posted by NaturalBeam on 4/7/26 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

What single piece of news would you be most happy with (aside from a contract for 1000s of tons)?
A buyout :lol:

re: Spec Play - HGRAF

Posted by NaturalBeam on 4/2/26 at 9:14 am to
quote:

This is the punch in the gut for me.
Last year she said If they ever need more capital it will be small.
Now she is saying they will need to raise again after just raising money last month.
TBF, she was outlining the upcoming catalysts in the next 1-2 years, with the increased demand and the Army Research Lab, and then said that "eventually" they will need to raise more funds. But that they don't have their sights set on that right now as they have significant capital right now from the previous 2 financings.

re: Spec Play - HGRAF

Posted by NaturalBeam on 4/2/26 at 9:09 am to
I agree with that. My outlook hasn't changed, it's just been pushed to the right. It's still important to keep in mind that we are pre-revenue.

I thought we'd see double digits by summer. Now I think EOY is more in play.

My biggest concern now is if we don't get the uplisting. I know we have to stay above $4, but can we dip beneath that for an hour, day, short period of time, and still get it? I don't know how it works.

The glass-half-full approach would say that a delayed uplisting could be better for us and allow for some contracts to come first. An uplisting with no revenue probably wouldn't do much for the stock.

re: Spec Play - HGRAF

Posted by NaturalBeam on 4/2/26 at 8:48 am to
Yep. You can sense some frustration in her voice with the process, which sounds like inexperience.

I'm still encouraged overall by the interview and the increasing demand for the product, but the management team continues to overpromise/underdeliver on timelines. Even if those factors are outside of their control, they need to learn some lessons from it.

re: Spec Play - HGRAF

Posted by NaturalBeam on 4/2/26 at 8:36 am to
New interview with KB

She says that in the last 12 months, the defense industry has rapidly changed to become their largest demand (23:00).

Starts talking about the investment interest into HG (24:30). Eventually will need to raise more capital in the next 1-2 years. Seeking to uplist to NASDAQ, but may stay on the CSE even after uplisting. In the process of re-domiciling to the US, and expect uplisting to happen shortly after re-domiciling is complete. Now looking at July for uplisting, and if not July, then within Q3. Expects revenue this year.

There are some good and some not-so-good takeaways here.

re: Spec Play - HGRAF

Posted by NaturalBeam on 3/30/26 at 2:20 pm to
All those people wishing they had gotten in when it was between $1-2 may get their wish by the end of the week... :wah:
I don't ever expect to win a championship.

I do expect to be in the playoffs more years than not. And of those years we're in it, I expect to win a game or 2 in some of those years (i.e., not be a perennial one-and-done team).
quote:

Ask the attorney who said that when he had no defense, he would attack cops not following procedure. To me, that's "yeah he's on camera killing that guy, but the CSI on scene picked up a casing without gloves on". Something like that isn't reasonable doubt, it's fishing for technicalities
But that's not how it works. In that scenario, that's likely to be a harmless error and a conviction would be upheld. Because you've got other evidence beyond a reasonable doubt.

Maybe a better scenario for you is where the only evidence a DA has is a potentially coerced confession. Or a confession without the guy being Mirandized. Those are probably the "technicalities" you're referring to.

But do we want to convict people with that evidence alone? If the government has some other clear cut evidence beyond a reasonable doubt, then put it up.

If he repeats his previous level of success, I'll be happy with that - i.e. crack top 1/3 of the SEC and regularly make the NCAAT. All I need.

Just dipped my toes in for 200 shares.

BB hasn’t led me astray yet! :cheers: