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Jon Ham
Tulane Fan
Member since Jun 2011
20633 posts

Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
LSU is a 2.5 point favorite over UGA (edit: according to one unofficial site, waiting on official line). If UGA beats LSU by something like 10-14 points, does LSU still get in the playoffs over 12-1 Utah or 12-1 OU/Baylor?

I think they should, but since Utah, Baylor, and OU all have a decent to good strength of schedule, I don’t think it’s a 100% foregone conclusion. If UGA wins by just one score, I feel pretty confident LSU stays in the top 4.

If UGA wins, finals ranking could be something like:

1. OSU
2. Clemson
3. UGA
4. LSU/Utah/OU/Baylor

So not only would UGA slide in, but they would get to avoid OSU in round 1. Pretty nice for a team that lost at home to South Carolina.

*Edit: 12/02 update: LSU opened as 4 point favorite and is now favored by 7.
This post was edited on 12/2 at 10:14 am


SeeeeK
Missouri Fan
St.Louis
Member since Sep 2012
17349 posts
 Online 

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
quote:

LSU is a 2.5 point favorite over UGA.


Empty the f'in bank on LSU

This is an even easier lock than LSU was this year at Bama. And that was my 10 star lock, this is 25 stars and 3 moons lock!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Cosmo
Houston Astros Fan
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
95759 posts
 Online 

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
quote:

LSU is a 2.5 point favorite over UGA


Link?

No way that is the line


Jon Ham
Tulane Fan
Member since Jun 2011
20633 posts

Cosmo
Houston Astros Fan
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
95759 posts
 Online 

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
It wont let me bet that line so it isnt real


Jon Ham
Tulane Fan
Member since Jun 2011
20633 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
Yeah, no one else is showing a line. I was thinking it would be something like LSU -3.5 to LSU -6.

2.5 seems really low but let’s see...


castorinho
Oklahoma Fan
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
64442 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
quote:

Link?

No way that is the line
They had early lines out last week. Multiple places have 2.5. It is surprising but it is also in line with the odds the FPI had about two weeks ago.



To OP, LSU is in no matter what. Even with like a 17 pt loss.


UnluckyTiger
Virginia Fan
Member since Sep 2003
26825 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
(no message)
This post was edited on 12/1 at 9:40 am


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00
Jon Ham
Tulane Fan
Member since Jun 2011
20633 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
quote:

To OP, LSU is in no matter what. Even with like a 17 pt loss.


I don’t know... OU currently has the #19 SOS and that should go up after playing Baylor. Would the committee leave out a 12-1 conference champ with a top 15ish SOS for a 12-1 team that didn’t win their conference?


dawgfan24348
Georgia Fan
Cumming, Georgia
Member since Oct 2011
36452 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
Unless they get blasted probably


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castorinho
Oklahoma Fan
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
64442 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
This is the year that would happen. Invoking the "unequivocally better" line won't have any one upset. LSU is the better team, they would have the same record, just not conf championship.


Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
1608 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
There’s no way it’s 2.5. I’m not even a gambler but I’d drive to a casino in Mississippi and drop a lot.


castorinho
Oklahoma Fan
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
64442 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
Then start driving. Or you'll catch it on the other side of 3


Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
1608 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
It’s gonna be LSU -7


castorinho
Oklahoma Fan
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
64442 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
quote:

It’s gonna be LSU -7
the game has been known for one week and lines were released.
This post was edited on 12/1 at 9:56 am


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07
Bench McElroy
Member since Nov 2009
28923 posts
 Online 

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
quote:

Empty the f'in bank on LSU This is an even easier lock than LSU was this year at Bama. And that was my 10 star lock, this is 25 stars and 3 moons lock!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Everybody thought Bama was going to kill UGA last year and we saw what happened in that game. Kirby’s offenses tend to play at a much higher level in big games.


arcalades
LSU Fan
USA
Member since Feb 2014
9671 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
quote:

Kirby’s offenses tend to play at a much higher level in big games.
how well do they do without top 2 wrs?


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101
lynxcat
Rutgers Fan
Member since Jan 2008
20715 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
This is where the “need to be a conference champion” line of thinking really falls apart.


sms151t
SMU Fan
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
107329 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
They should be out if they lose. People confuse “Champion” with the best team in the CFP joke. A championship team is not always the best team and vice Versa.

What are we looking for? Best team or champ? Nobody can truly define “best team”
This post was edited on 12/1 at 10:48 am


KillerNut9
Ohio State Fan
Pearl Jam
Member since Dec 2007
26971 posts

re: Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
I think OSU and LSU are both safe if they lose. Assuming they don’t get their doors blown off.


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