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Is LSU still in with a SECCG loss by more than one score?
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:26 am
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:26 am
LSU is a 2.5 point favorite over UGA (edit: according to one unofficial site, waiting on official line). If UGA beats LSU by something like 10-14 points, does LSU still get in the playoffs over 12-1 Utah or 12-1 OU/Baylor?
I think they should, but since Utah, Baylor, and OU all have a decent to good strength of schedule, I don’t think it’s a 100% foregone conclusion. If UGA wins by just one score, I feel pretty confident LSU stays in the top 4.
If UGA wins, finals ranking could be something like:
1. OSU
2. Clemson
3. UGA
4. LSU/Utah/OU/Baylor
So not only would UGA slide in, but they would get to avoid OSU in round 1. Pretty nice for a team that lost at home to South Carolina.
*Edit: 12/02 update: LSU opened as 4 point favorite and is now favored by 7.
I think they should, but since Utah, Baylor, and OU all have a decent to good strength of schedule, I don’t think it’s a 100% foregone conclusion. If UGA wins by just one score, I feel pretty confident LSU stays in the top 4.
If UGA wins, finals ranking could be something like:
1. OSU
2. Clemson
3. UGA
4. LSU/Utah/OU/Baylor
So not only would UGA slide in, but they would get to avoid OSU in round 1. Pretty nice for a team that lost at home to South Carolina.
*Edit: 12/02 update: LSU opened as 4 point favorite and is now favored by 7.
This post was edited on 12/2/19 at 10:14 am
23
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:27 am to Jon Ham
quote:
LSU is a 2.5 point favorite over UGA.
Empty the f'in bank on LSU
This is an even easier lock than LSU was this year at Bama. And that was my 10 star lock, this is 25 stars and 3 moons lock!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:29 am to Jon Ham
quote:
LSU is a 2.5 point favorite over UGA
Link?
No way that is the line
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:30 am to Cosmo
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:33 am to Jon Ham
It wont let me bet that line so it isnt real
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:36 am to Cosmo
Yeah, no one else is showing a line. I was thinking it would be something like LSU -3.5 to LSU -6.
2.5 seems really low but let’s see...
2.5 seems really low but let’s see...
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:38 am to Cosmo
quote:They had early lines out last week. Multiple places have 2.5. It is surprising but it is also in line with the odds the FPI had about two weeks ago.
Link?
No way that is the line
To OP, LSU is in no matter what. Even with like a 17 pt loss.
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:39 am to Jon Ham
(no message)
This post was edited on 12/1/19 at 9:40 am
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:41 am to castorinho
quote:
To OP, LSU is in no matter what. Even with like a 17 pt loss.
I don’t know... OU currently has the #19 SOS and that should go up after playing Baylor. Would the committee leave out a 12-1 conference champ with a top 15ish SOS for a 12-1 team that didn’t win their conference?
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:42 am to Jon Ham
Unless they get blasted probably
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:43 am to Jon Ham
This is the year that would happen. Invoking the "unequivocally better" line won't have any one upset. LSU is the better team, they would have the same record, just not conf championship.
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:48 am to castorinho
There’s no way it’s 2.5. I’m not even a gambler but I’d drive to a casino in Mississippi and drop a lot.
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:52 am to Allthatfades
Then start driving. Or you'll catch it on the other side of 3
Posted on 12/1/19 at 9:56 am to Allthatfades
quote:the game has been known for one week and lines were released.
It’s gonna be LSU -7
This post was edited on 12/1/19 at 9:56 am
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:10 am to SeeeeK
quote:
Empty the f'in bank on LSU This is an even easier lock than LSU was this year at Bama. And that was my 10 star lock, this is 25 stars and 3 moons lock!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Everybody thought Bama was going to kill UGA last year and we saw what happened in that game. Kirby’s offenses tend to play at a much higher level in big games.
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:19 am to Bench McElroy
quote:how well do they do without top 2 wrs?
Kirby’s offenses tend to play at a much higher level in big games.
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:22 am to Jon Ham
This is where the “need to be a conference champion” line of thinking really falls apart.
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:46 am to lynxcat
They should be out if they lose. People confuse “Champion” with the best team in the CFP joke. A championship team is not always the best team and vice Versa.
What are we looking for? Best team or champ? Nobody can truly define “best team”
What are we looking for? Best team or champ? Nobody can truly define “best team”
This post was edited on 12/1/19 at 10:48 am
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:51 am to Jon Ham
I think OSU and LSU are both safe if they lose. Assuming they don’t get their doors blown off.
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