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Message
re: Inaugural Daily Betting Thread 2/3
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:13 pm to Gings5
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:13 pm to Gings5
For what it's worth on, top of the stats I provided earlier...
KenPom rankings:
UNCW vs. Elon
Overall: 216 vs. 267
Adjusted O: 221 vs. 234
Adjusted D: 194 vs. 290
Adjusted Tempo: 198 vs. 255
KenPom rankings:
UNCW vs. Elon
Overall: 216 vs. 267
Adjusted O: 221 vs. 234
Adjusted D: 194 vs. 290
Adjusted Tempo: 198 vs. 255
1
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:19 pm to Gings5
Got clarification on my Soccer bet from Barstool. I didn't realize that ALL bets are for regular time unless explicitly stated. So even if the game ends 1-0 in OT, it's doesn't count as a correct score pick. Also, picking a team to win has to be in regular time even if the match can't end in a tie. They have "Insert Team" to advance hidden deep in the bet chart.
This post was edited on 2/3/22 at 3:19 pm
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:19 pm to WigSplitta22
quote:
I think you might have a problem
It looks that way but I put in $1,000 one time early in the year and haven’t made a deposit since. I bet my account from that initial $1k up to between $5 and $6k twice and took half out both times. I’ve withdrawn over 4x what I deposited and still have about $4500 in right now.
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:21 pm to volfan30
What do you base your bets off of?
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:25 pm to volfan30
Give us all the heat
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:30 pm to volfan30
You’re my new best friend
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:31 pm to volfan30
Id like to subscribe to your newsletter
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:35 pm to Gings5
I will say I use some public betting percentage data. Use steam in some sports but CBB is too high variant for it to work imo. I try to find potential sharp angles in CBB based on the offshore openers and what they do, but you have to be very quick and have access to several books for it to work and be able to get the best number.
One thing I would caution people is following the “sharp money” on a line that’s moved multiple points is very dangerous. Basically eliminates your edge. It might have been a sharp play at -2.5 but at -4.5 it may be a square play.
Occasionally there are some public slaughtering opportunities out there like Illinois vs. Wisconsin last night. I was hesitant to play Illinois -7 because it seemed almost too easy. Providence is another other team that will probably continue to be a public darling.
And you also have to keep in mind you are going to lose almost half your bets even if you’re making money. I stay with $100 to $200 bets no matter how much is in my account.
I personally stay away from parlays but I understand they can be a lot of fun. Never tease through 0.
One thing I would caution people is following the “sharp money” on a line that’s moved multiple points is very dangerous. Basically eliminates your edge. It might have been a sharp play at -2.5 but at -4.5 it may be a square play.
Occasionally there are some public slaughtering opportunities out there like Illinois vs. Wisconsin last night. I was hesitant to play Illinois -7 because it seemed almost too easy. Providence is another other team that will probably continue to be a public darling.
And you also have to keep in mind you are going to lose almost half your bets even if you’re making money. I stay with $100 to $200 bets no matter how much is in my account.
I personally stay away from parlays but I understand they can be a lot of fun. Never tease through 0.
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:38 pm to KamaCausey_LSU
Damn, soccer sucks. Through 120 minutes of play the score is still 0-0. Last time I plan on betting on soccer.
I figured that a continent-wide tournament semi-final would have some scoring at least.
Damn, Egypt advances. That might be it for my Barstool account. One long bet open to save my Barstool account. Though if it doesn't hit at least I can gtfo of Barstool.
I figured that a continent-wide tournament semi-final would have some scoring at least.
Damn, Egypt advances. That might be it for my Barstool account. One long bet open to save my Barstool account. Though if it doesn't hit at least I can gtfo of Barstool.
This post was edited on 2/3/22 at 3:51 pm
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:41 pm to DaBeerz
quote:
Any NBA knowledge? I hate nba but can’t pass up a free 25$ caesars bet for tonight
Same. Idk shite about the NBA, but I’m gonna jump on it.
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:54 pm to HermanBoone
I just made a 2 leg parlay with +233.
D. Booker over 2.5 3pt FG
K. Thompson over 2.5 3pt FG
My longshot is in NCAAB tonight. Just trying to cash out of Caesars.
Gonzaga, Stanford, Wyoming, & BYU all win +600
D. Booker over 2.5 3pt FG
K. Thompson over 2.5 3pt FG
My longshot is in NCAAB tonight. Just trying to cash out of Caesars.
Gonzaga, Stanford, Wyoming, & BYU all win +600
Posted on 2/3/22 at 3:57 pm to lsufb1912
Pistons +7 has 3 bet signals tonight, including money, sharps, and line projection
Posted on 2/3/22 at 4:02 pm to josh336
Analytics absolutely love Western Illinois tonight. Let’s see if they’re right.
Action Pro says Elon should be favored by 2.
Sharps were all over the football natty.
22-0 in favor of Georgia.
Action Pro says Elon should be favored by 2.
Sharps were all over the football natty.
22-0 in favor of Georgia.
This post was edited on 2/3/22 at 4:13 pm
Posted on 2/3/22 at 4:23 pm to Gings5
Had the golf bets and Liberty spread earlier in the thread.
Added:
NBA -
MIA -6.5
Adebayo Pts O17.5
NCAAB-
Western Illinois +7
Northeastern -1.5
UNCW ML (-125)
Drexel/Delaware U66.5 1H
Probs will have more for the 7 PM and later slate, but first beer is needed.
Added:
NBA -
MIA -6.5
Adebayo Pts O17.5
NCAAB-
Western Illinois +7
Northeastern -1.5
UNCW ML (-125)
Drexel/Delaware U66.5 1H
Probs will have more for the 7 PM and later slate, but first beer is needed.
This post was edited on 2/3/22 at 5:02 pm
Posted on 2/3/22 at 4:23 pm to Gings5
quote:
ction Pro says Elon should be favored by 2.
Posted on 2/3/22 at 4:26 pm to Splackavellie
5 days????!?
ETA: what app is everyone using… Caesar’s is garbage
This post was edited on 2/3/22 at 4:28 pm
Posted on 2/3/22 at 4:38 pm to geauxcats10
Hope yall aint relying on betting for paying bills
Posted on 2/3/22 at 4:38 pm to geauxcats10
I've been bouncing between FD and DK. I have Caesars for the free bets but once those dried up, I havent opened it last couple of days.
Posted on 2/3/22 at 4:39 pm to Gings5
I’ll go with Elon and western Illinois then. In
Posted on 2/3/22 at 4:43 pm to volfan30
quote:
Washington State -2.5
What are you seeing here? Stanford +3 L and 10% ML play for me.
Locked in:
Troy +7 W
Portland State/N. Colorado over 150.5 W
Arizona -6 W
UNCW -1 L
Eyeing:
Russia puckline vs Sweden Pass
Norway -1.5 vs Italy (Mixed doubles curling) L
ETA: Long Beach -5 W and Pacific -4 W
This post was edited on 2/3/22 at 11:17 pm
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