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re: How in the world is ND favored by ~5 points against Miami?
Posted on 11/3/26 at 5:11 pm to BregmansWheelbarrow
Posted on 11/3/26 at 5:11 pm to BregmansWheelbarrow
If you don’t think Vegas knows something you are ignorant.Miami has struggled in their only tough games.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 8:17 pm to RGT
But they win the big games. Notre dame loses every big game they play.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 9:27 pm to BregmansWheelbarrow
Under Brian Kelly, they got their doors blown off consistently in big games. Freeman has fared a lot better than Kelly, beating Georgia in the Sugar Bowl and Penn St in the Orange Bowl 2 years ago.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 8:03 am to bayoujd
quote:
Under Brian Kelly, they got their doors blown off consistently in big games. Freeman has fared a lot better than Kelly, beating Georgia in the Sugar Bowl and Penn St in the Orange Bowl 2 years ago.
That's true, and beyond that, he's never been completely embarrassed in a big game like BK was regularly.
However, since the 2024 playoff run, he's 0-3 in big games. (If you want to squint and call 2025 USC a big game, I guess you can, but it's a stretch and would still be 1-3.) All of those 3 came down to the wire (ND was tied or leading with under two minutes remaining in all of them), but they were still all losses. He needs to win Saturday.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 9:37 am to GeneralLee
quote:
Put me down for Miami 35 ND 24. ND is garbage against teams with a pulse and got their s*** pushed in for a full half last week against Navy.
The one thing I've witnessed over many years about gambling with points spreads is--------If it looks too good to be true, it usually is. The folks that make those betting lines almost always have the right team favored.
Go ahead and bet the house on Miami if it looks that good of a bet.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 9:53 am to UFFan
Notre Dame has a great defense.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 10:02 am to GeneralLee
ND is winning this game. Refs are in on the fix.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 10:54 am to eaglegator92
quote:
ND is winning this game. Refs are in on the fix.
It’s ACC refs, genius.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 10:56 am to Buckeye Fan 19
Vegas is suckering the U fans to bet them,ND by 10.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 12:24 pm to GeneralLee
Let’s see your ticket
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:00 pm to WillieD
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:05 pm to Honkus
Wow, that would derail their entire season. He is their engine with Mensah.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:21 pm to The Third Leg
quote:
It will be an ACC crew officiating the game. Bet accordingly.
quote:
Be funny if they boned Notre Dame like FSU got it and Notre Dame pulled out of their weird deal with the ACC. Be bad for all of them in the long run.
I actually think the opposite - they will favor Notre Dame because of the deal.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:24 pm to lsusa
Yep acc refs have been protecting Miami up until this game. Now ND can get their signature game. Having said all that , Miami is frickED if Toney is out for the rest of the season.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:25 pm to lsusa
quote:
I actually think the opposite - they will favor Notre Dame because of the deal.
ACC reffing is very sketchy for ND in the past, especially last season. Pretty confident the officiating crew that missed the TAMU holding was from the ACC, and they had some very questionable calls in the BC game that let them stick around longer than they should have. ND and the ACC were not on great terms at the end of last season.
That said, I can buy a conspiracy that they favor ND as a token of good will for last season. Miami can afford a L here as well and still get in the playoffs. ND missing out on the playoffs at 10-2 for 2 straight years because of weak schedules from their ACC agreement puts that agreement in jeopardy.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:28 pm to lionward2014
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:35 pm to lsusa
quote:
I actually think the opposite - they will favor Notre Dame because of the deal.
1) I don’t actually believe in conspiracy ref theories.
2) If there were funny business, no, it wouldn’t be in favor of ND. The ACC showed their hand in the run-up to the selection last year. They benefit more from Miami getting a bye, or if Miami loses a regular season game afterwards but beats ND, the ACC could get two teams in. They run the risk of Miami losing to ND, followed by Miami losing one of their final regular season games, and Miami getting knocked out completely if they don’t win the ACCCG.
This post was edited on 11/4/26 at 1:46 pm
Posted on 11/4/26 at 3:07 pm to GeneralLee
Because TD Jesus said it's so.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 3:40 pm to Buckeye Fan 19
quote:
1) I don’t actually believe in conspiracy ref theories.
I agree that the league is not pushing to protect teams by encouraging refs to be biased. That would be a tremendous lawsuit and federal jail time for league officials.
I believe that there will be refs exposed for gambling through 3rd parties on games they officiate sooner or later. I also believe that boosters have gotten to some refs and directly bribed them.
Posted on 11/4/26 at 4:00 pm to GeneralLee
I wonder if any book would offer +400 on any of these happening vs the field: Miami win + ND eventual title, ND win + Miami eventual title, or Indiana repeat
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