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SECCaptain
| Favorite team: | Texas  |
| Location: | |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 3174 |
| Registered on: | 6/3/2025 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
Message
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 10/2/26 at 11:36 pm to brewhan davey
quote:
NW +2.5 W
MISS STATE ML L
OHIO STATE -12.5 W
TCU +6.5 L
MISSOURI +7.5 W
VANDY +24.5 W
MICHIGAN -5.5 L
MICHIGAN STATE +10 L
NC STATE +4 W
MARYLAND +14.5 L
COLORADO STATE +6 L
FRESNO STATE +2.5 W
ARIZONA -1.5
PHILLY +3
HOUSTON -2.5
MINNESOTA -10.5
NEW ENGLAND +7
JETS +3.5
CAROLINA +3.5
CLEVELAND +2.5 W
FALCONS -3
VEGAS +4.5
GREEN BAY -3.5
should be 50/50 either way, amirite?
let's just see how far this goes :dunno:
jig is up, tho.
:cheers:
Edit: 8-6 so far this week :rotflmao:
Also add Arizona -7 tonight to that list
1
re: Good or No Good - Virginia Tech Game Winning Attempt edition
Posted by SECCaptain on 10/2/26 at 10:55 pm to nvasil1
Give the kid a break. He tried to hook it left, just missed. Kudos to Franklin for still embracing him after the narrow make. Wait, why is is no one talking about that ACC review ops transparency thing ghosting? FADE THE PUBLIC.
edit: LOL @ not having to review a final kick being a rule. Imagine being so naive, the entire game is up for review but not a final play? Why isn't a camera on top of each upright pointing due north to leave no question to the result?
edit: LOL @ not having to review a final kick being a rule. Imagine being so naive, the entire game is up for review but not a final play? Why isn't a camera on top of each upright pointing due north to leave no question to the result?
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 10/2/26 at 10:06 pm to GeauxPanthers2
Can we really just address this...?
Anyone betting the opposite of what anyone rational, that really follows the sport closely would see as a good bet, would has a high probability of hitting >60% of the time
Just like Chicago +3.5 vs Philly, Cleveland +2.5 vs Pittsburgh last night, or Northwestern +2.5 vs Penn State rn. The wild in-game swings, which could theoretically exploit live betting, ultimately leading back to the spread seem way too obvious at this point
Just watch for a weekend with the perspective that the sport is 100% rigged, and played/scripted to extract as much money as possible from bettors, while still maintaining enough credibility to not compromise the long run, both before and during the game. I'm not saying this is the case, but if you watch it and consider it from that perspective, amazingly trends start to add up. Strange coincidence is all I'm saying :dunno:
Anyone betting the opposite of what anyone rational, that really follows the sport closely would see as a good bet, would has a high probability of hitting >60% of the time
Just like Chicago +3.5 vs Philly, Cleveland +2.5 vs Pittsburgh last night, or Northwestern +2.5 vs Penn State rn. The wild in-game swings, which could theoretically exploit live betting, ultimately leading back to the spread seem way too obvious at this point
Just watch for a weekend with the perspective that the sport is 100% rigged, and played/scripted to extract as much money as possible from bettors, while still maintaining enough credibility to not compromise the long run, both before and during the game. I'm not saying this is the case, but if you watch it and consider it from that perspective, amazingly trends start to add up. Strange coincidence is all I'm saying :dunno:
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 10/2/26 at 9:48 pm to GeauxPanthers2
quote:
2 remaining losses at most on that schedule, one potentially this week vs Pitt, which if they somehow lose would make it an even better bet as the odds would be better
:cheers:
Edit: Honestly upvotes are so exploitable, to such a degree I will now say fade Virginia Tech the next 2 weeks because sometimes you just gotta trust your gut, but anyone reading this and considering perspectives, just think about this moving forward.
Maybe it's batshit crazy, maybe it's onto something. Maybe you just like conspiracies, and want to see how it plays out over time. Just sit on it and watch. It doesn't work every weekend, but for the most part it checks out. And in order to keep losers coming back, you have to let them win every now and then(er weeks), right?
quote:
Can we really just address this...?
Anyone betting the opposite of what anyone rational, that really follows the sport closely would see as a good bet, would has a high probability of hitting >60% of the time
Just like Chicago +3.5 vs Philly, Cleveland +2.5 vs Pittsburgh last night, or Northwestern +2.5 vs Penn State rn. The wild in-game swings, which could theoretically exploit live betting, ultimately leading back to the spread seem way too obvious at this point
Just watch for a weekend with the perspective that the sport is 100% rigged, and played/scripted to extract as much money as possible from bettors, while still maintaining enough credibility to not compromise the long run, both before and during the game. I'm not saying this is the case, but if you watch it and consider it from that perspective, amazingly trends start to add up. Strange coincidence is all I'm saying
re: Louisiana regent suggests LaTech, UL, ULM drop down to FCS
Posted by SECCaptain on 10/2/26 at 6:53 pm to AwesomeSauce
quote:
None right now,
Anyone thinking tax dollars and/or student tuition isn't going into that AD, whether openly or through some obscure backdoor subsidies to mask it from the public eye, (e.g. Oregon admin paying the athletic department millions to have a suite in Autzen, which is owned by the University), is very naive
But if they're going to suggest LaTech/UL/ULM, then why not LSU as well?
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 1:50 pm to Dawgsontop34
quote:
How else do you think an upset is supposed to work? Clearly they can’t be favored
I’m not talking about the spread, I’m talking about money distribution by bettors
Which is theoretically supposed to be 50/50, but anyone believing that look to the Eagles only being -3.5 in the last nights latest rendition of performance art
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 8:46 am to RB10
I've beaten down the door to ALWAYS fade the public. You won't win 100% of the time, but you'll win >60% of the time
e.g. last night Washington vs Philly. Who had Washington +3.5 or winning that game out right? Meanwhile how much money was lost on Philly ML and -3.5, esp with Saquon back?
In what galaxy does that result make any sense with what everyone saw from Chicago the week before vs Minnesota bringing in a QB that doesn't even know the system and hasn't truly played in a decade?
Hell in what galaxy did Philly only being -3.5 make any sense? It should have been -7.5 at minimum. Yet that -3.5 stacked all the money on the losing side
it's almost like you should bet the opposite of what you've been led to believe :dunno:
e.g. last night Washington vs Philly. Who had Washington +3.5 or winning that game out right? Meanwhile how much money was lost on Philly ML and -3.5, esp with Saquon back?
In what galaxy does that result make any sense with what everyone saw from Chicago the week before vs Minnesota bringing in a QB that doesn't even know the system and hasn't truly played in a decade?
Hell in what galaxy did Philly only being -3.5 make any sense? It should have been -7.5 at minimum. Yet that -3.5 stacked all the money on the losing side
it's almost like you should bet the opposite of what you've been led to believe :dunno:
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 8:09 am to Magnus
Money is heavy on Pitt +4.5...good luck
Having said that, I'm legitimately rooting for a Pitt loss as this becomes an even better bet when the odds slip to something like +2500
FYI for anyone betting during games, I'd start paying close attention to sacks, false starts, delay of games, end of quarter directional field changes and other cues for momentum/shifts :lol:
Having said that, I'm legitimately rooting for a Pitt loss as this becomes an even better bet when the odds slip to something like +2500
FYI for anyone betting during games, I'd start paying close attention to sacks, false starts, delay of games, end of quarter directional field changes and other cues for momentum/shifts :lol:
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 7:59 am to Sun God
I literally state Northwestern is the outright best bet in the post and for anyone betting Indiana to close it out mid 3q if they're up enough to cover
I'm not only taking the right side, but also helping the losing side win when they can potentially be up :lol:
I'm not only taking the right side, but also helping the losing side win when they can potentially be up :lol:
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 7:54 am to Ostrich
Game was in a monsoon, heavy rain and 50 mph wind gusts
And Indiana just almost lost at home to Northwestern, yet they're going to repeat
And Indiana just almost lost at home to Northwestern, yet they're going to repeat
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 7:42 am to Alt26
Miami last year, and I'm not confident there are even 2 losses on Virginia Tech's schedule. Saying they can't beat Miami is ridiculous. ML and spread will be heavy on Miami, "strangely" that's typically a recipe for an "upset"
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 7:39 am to JPLSU1981
Let's say Virginia Tech were currently ranked #5, how many games do you see them losing on that schedule?
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 7:34 am to Sevendust912
I'll bump this in a couple of months
:rotflmao:
:rotflmao:
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 7:32 am to JPLSU1981
They're undefeated with a joke of a schedule.
Pitt's best win is 12-7 at home vs UCF
Cal is absolutely vs any team with a pulse of a secondary
Georgia Tech may not win another game
Clemson's offense is an abomination
SMU is bipolar and less talented outside the QB position
Stanford is Stanford
Miami is nowhere near as unwinnable as it seems
Virginia got embarrassed on their home field by West Virginia
Pitt's best win is 12-7 at home vs UCF
Cal is absolutely vs any team with a pulse of a secondary
Georgia Tech may not win another game
Clemson's offense is an abomination
SMU is bipolar and less talented outside the QB position
Stanford is Stanford
Miami is nowhere near as unwinnable as it seems
Virginia got embarrassed on their home field by West Virginia
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 7:24 am to JPLSU1981
I'm trying to hand out free money here just like last year with Indiana, +600 on this bet today
re: Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 7:19 am to JPLSU1981
Where? I'm being generous with Pitt, as Va Tech is favored, but SMU just almost to lost to Missouri State and Virginia got torched at home by fricking West Virginia
Virginia Tech is going to make the CFP year 1 under Franklin
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 7:14 am
And Penn State will have egg on it's face
Pitt
@ CAL
Georgia Tech
@ Clemson
@ SMU
Stanford
@ Miami
Virginia
2 remaining losses at most on that schedule, one potentially this week vs Pitt, which if they somehow lose would make it an even better bet as the odds would be better
If they do lose between now and the Miami game, I'm fully expecting an undefeated Canes team fresh off blowing out Notre Dame in South Bend to lose as multi-TD favorites at home to Va Tech
And no, this isn't some championship contender, that's just how it's going to play out
Pitt
@ CAL
Georgia Tech
@ Clemson
@ SMU
Stanford
@ Miami
Virginia
2 remaining losses at most on that schedule, one potentially this week vs Pitt, which if they somehow lose would make it an even better bet as the odds would be better
If they do lose between now and the Miami game, I'm fully expecting an undefeated Canes team fresh off blowing out Notre Dame in South Bend to lose as multi-TD favorites at home to Va Tech
And no, this isn't some championship contender, that's just how it's going to play out
re: America's 30 bluest metro areas ranked
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/29/26 at 6:49 am to nycguy
JD Vance was 100%, the republican party really is the party for low income whites that view themselves as something they'll never be
re: Does Arch have another year of eligibility?
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/27/26 at 11:05 am to ColoradoAg
Coaching may not help, but Arch simply doesn’t have it between the ears. He also has the coordination of a baby giraffe
re: Hoosiers not Hooing tonight. IU 29, Northwestern 23 final.
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/26/26 at 12:47 am to olddawg26
Northwestern's coach threw away the game by not going for 2 after cutting it to 22-19. Could have been an 8 point game on their last possession
re: My Atlanta Falcons conspiracy
Posted by SECCaptain on 9/25/26 at 2:11 pm to UnoMe
quote:
front 7
Penix is the key to unlocking that offense with his downfield passing, against Rush defenses could simply stack the box
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