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re: ATL Thread | offseason hot takes + discussion

Posted on 12/13/22 at 4:22 pm to
Posted by Metaloctopus
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2018
6916 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

The Braves should have been able to get the Brewers to eat some of Ozuna's money too considering they got Contreras for basically nothing.


Agreed. That would have been nice. The Brewers definitely paid too little for what they got.
Posted by wheelz007
Denham Springs, LA
Member since Jan 2010
3386 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 4:36 pm to
No one wants Ozuna. IT would be great if we could move him but it ain't happening.

We would have to eat probably $10-$12 mill of his $18 mill salary this year AND next year.

He has 2 arrests and declining skills. The best we can hope for is for him to come out of spring training HOT.... and hope a team will take him

He hit 23 homers last year with.... 56 runs scored and 56 rbi's in 470 at bats.... AND he cannot play in the OF.

And he's 32.
Posted by Dale Murphy
God's Country
Member since Feb 2005
24964 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

I just can't see that being the case, especially for Grissom, that would be unfair to him and his development.


AA has been talking him up lately. Even talking about how much he's been impressing Wash. So either he is warming us up to the idea of him being our starting SS ORRRR he is making him sound a lot more enticing for trade bait.
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
62698 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 5:49 pm to
Just another non-Braves podcast with an objective take on the trade that doesn’t think it’s the absolute disaster that some of you sky screamers do. I actually haven’t heard anybody echo the prevailing sentiment on here. Everybody HATES it for the A’s, though. Just listen to the 1st 5 or so minutes to get a different take.

This Is The Worst MLB Trade Ever…
Posted by Metaloctopus
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2018
6916 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

Just another non-Braves podcast with an objective take on the trade that doesn’t think it’s the absolute disaster that some of you sky screamers do. I actually haven’t heard anybody echo the prevailing sentiment on here. Everybody HATES it for the A’s, though. Just listen to the 1st 5 or so minutes to get a different take.



No offense, but I don't really care about what some dudes on a podcast think. They don't know our players or prospects, so naturally they think it's great, just because we got Murphy.
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
81290 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 9:09 pm to
quote:

Ken Rosenthal
@Ken_Rosenthal
Mets showing interest in Carlos Correa.


LOL
Posted by POCKET
Member since Nov 2011
2653 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 9:27 pm to
Hope they do
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
62698 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

No offense, but I don't really care about what some dudes on a podcast think.


Oh, none taken. I don’t ever give a shite about anything you say. I actually find it a bit amusing because it’s so stupid while you simultaneously sit in your complete lack of any semblance of self awareness, smugly thinking you’re always the smartest one in the room. Or in the threads in these cases. But I’ll let you in on a little secret….you’re not. No offense, of course.
Posted by Metaloctopus
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2018
6916 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 10:03 pm to
quote:

Oh, none taken. I don’t ever give a shite about anything you say. I actually find it a bit amusing because it’s so stupid while you simultaneously sit in your complete lack of any semblance of self awareness, smugly thinking you’re always the smartest one in the room. Or in the threads in these cases. But I’ll let you in on a little secret….you’re not. No offense, of course.





Wow, you sound extremely offended for someone who isn't offended.

I barely even post compared to some, like you, who think we need to hear every thought that pops into your head. I show up and give my opinion, you don't like it, and so I immediately become "the guy who thinks he's the smartest person in the room".

I've never thought I'm the smartest person in any room. But I also don't talk out of my butt. I base my opinions on years of observation, and those who know me personally have a much different opinion of me than you do. So while I'm not going to be right about everything, by any means, I'm not your random internet crap poster who just emotes. So if me having a differing opinion from yours, and not being persuaded by "look at what some random dudes on a pod are saying, which validates me", is causing you so much distress that you would personally attack my character, and not just my opinion, then you might want to take that self awareness shtick and turn it around on yourself.
This post was edited on 12/13/22 at 10:09 pm
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
81290 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 10:14 pm to
Back to you're regularly scheduled programming... Dansby should be one of the cheaper options of the remaining "star" SS.

quote:

Eno Sarris @enosarris
1d
Percentiles for the four shortstops, among their peers at their position, aka why Correa will get the big bucks. (arm strength / sprint speed / swSTR% / Barrel rate / O-Swing% courtesy of Baseball Savant and FanGraphs)

This post was edited on 12/13/22 at 10:16 pm
Posted by Dale Murphy
God's Country
Member since Feb 2005
24964 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 10:51 pm to
What the hell does a 4 for arm strength mean? Seems like that would barely make the throw to first.
Posted by Dale Murphy
God's Country
Member since Feb 2005
24964 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 10:53 pm to
And now Dansby is the only FA SS left…
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
81290 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 10:56 pm to
Correa got 26.5m AAV, Dansby should be less than that and we should be able to afford that.
Posted by 21zereaux
Member since Aug 2017
1535 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 10:58 pm to
Will they though? It would be nice to have him back.
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
81290 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 11:00 pm to
Turner got 27.7m AAV
Bogaerts got 25.4m AAV

The issue is that all of the deals were double digits in years and I doubt we would do that, nor should we do that, considering Dansby is 29 years old.

Idk man, these contracts lengths are stupid.
Posted by 21zereaux
Member since Aug 2017
1535 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 11:02 pm to
Literally just talking about that with one of my sons. Correa will be 41 when this contract is done? That is unreal.
Posted by 21zereaux
Member since Aug 2017
1535 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 11:02 pm to
I’d like to see him back, but not signed until he is in his late 30s.
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
81290 posts
Posted on 12/13/22 at 11:03 pm to
quote:

Jon Heyman @JonHeyman
44s
Twins made a decent try for Correa, offering close to $285M fir 10 years. Twins will consider Dansby Swanson now.
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
41214 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 1:22 am to
Lengths of the deals are just a way to skirt the luxury tax. Teams are adding 2, sometimes 3 years to these deals in some cases without adding any dollars to what they would’ve been on shorter deals to lessen the AAV hit. Mets even reportedly added years on the Nimmo deal. Obviously no one wants guys on the books in their 40s for 20+M. Boras was reportedly asking for 34-35M for Correa over 10 years so Giants spread it out over 13 to save $10M a year against the luxury tax.

Obviously you can’t do that when a guy is in his early to mid 20s because it could cost him another pay day but for a guy like Correa who would be 39 at the end of a 10 year deal it doesn’t matter.

Dansby rumored to be looking for about 22M per year over 6 years which is in the ballpark of $135M.

Following this trend the Braves could offer something like $135 or $140M/8 years which would be the same guarantee but significantly lessen the AAV but they don’t seem to be as free and loose with years as other teams and not sure Dansby would be as willing to play his age 35 and 36 season basically for free as these guys signing away their age 40 and 41 seasons for free are.

It’s a very interesting trend. Teams have been very married to the models on years in the past 4-5 years. But it makes sense to add these fake years to the deal as it gives players “security” as a lot of these guys want to know they have a job up to 40 and want to play forever and it also significantly lessens the luxury tax burden for the team.

If this was en vogue last year and the years truly were such a big sticking point for Freeman who’s to say the Braves wouldn’t have been willing to go like 9/175 for him. Maybe the AAV record is important for some guys but it would make a lot of sense in a situation like Freeman’s where you are essentially signing a guy for life without paying him a huge AAV and also giving him the guarantee he wants.
This post was edited on 12/14/22 at 1:50 am
Posted by Metaloctopus
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2018
6916 posts
Posted on 12/14/22 at 4:26 am to
quote:

Back to you're regularly scheduled programming... Dansby should be one of the cheaper options of the remaining "star" SS.




I would sure hope he would be, but who knows with the circus of free agency these days. Hopefully he's not too up in his feelings about not getting the offer he wanted right away, to the point that he won't even consider re-signing. I'm still kind of waiting for the Dodgers to throw stupid money at him, just to screw us, knowing that if he bottoms out it won't kill them to eat his contract down the road. Considering they missed out on all of the other top free agent shortstops, I'm surprised we're not hearing more smoke on that end.
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