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Posted on 12/1/20 at 7:20 am to GoldenBoy
I remember the Falcons/49ers game last year had an O/U of 50. The 49ers led 22-17 (total 39) with :05 left. The over hit.
This post was edited on 12/1/20 at 8:45 am
Posted on 12/1/20 at 7:51 am to GoldenBoy
The one that stung the most because of the money to be won was in Super Bowl XIV when 2/3's into the third quarter the L. A. Rams score a TD and Frank Corral comes out to kick the PAT.
The announcers chime in that he hadn't missed one in 52 attempts and he shanks it to make the 3rd quarter score 19-17. When the quarter ended, it was the same score and I had 0-7 on a football pool that would have paid $2,500 each quarter.
My worst poker bad beat came in a bar backroom cash game playing $10 & $20 and I had Kings full when a player across from me made quads to take a pot over $800-----and this was back in the mid 70's when $800+ was a nice hunk of change.
The announcers chime in that he hadn't missed one in 52 attempts and he shanks it to make the 3rd quarter score 19-17. When the quarter ended, it was the same score and I had 0-7 on a football pool that would have paid $2,500 each quarter.
My worst poker bad beat came in a bar backroom cash game playing $10 & $20 and I had Kings full when a player across from me made quads to take a pot over $800-----and this was back in the mid 70's when $800+ was a nice hunk of change.
Posted on 12/1/20 at 8:01 am to MetArl15
“67 get on your horse!”
This post was edited on 12/1/20 at 8:02 am
Posted on 12/1/20 at 8:48 am to GeauxtigersMs36
quote:I guess he wanted more information
Peterson should be asked Why go for 2 with 12 seconds?
Posted on 12/1/20 at 8:53 am to G The Tiger Fan
Yep I was in Vegas one year sat and watched entire Cowboys eagles game in book. Boys missed xtra point at end cost me a cool 1K. And this was from the 3 yard line. Taught
Me a lesson I still heed today
Me a lesson I still heed today
Posted on 12/1/20 at 8:58 am to ReauxlTide222
quote:
What? Why do you know this?
It a commonly discussed strategy very popular with analytics. And Pederson is a big fan of analytics.
Posted on 12/1/20 at 9:20 am to GoldenBoy
Man, those 1/2 points can be a blessing or a curse, but one thing they'll never be is a push. 
Posted on 12/1/20 at 9:27 am to GoldenBoy
quote:
All time bad beats?
Where does Seahawks -6.5 tonight rank among those?
It's not a bad beat bc Pederson did what you are supposed to do down 14 in the 4th quarter.
Posted on 12/1/20 at 10:06 am to Billy Mays
quote:
It's not a bad beat bc Pederson did what you are supposed to do down 14 in the 4th quarter.
they scored on a hail mary deflection
it's a bad beat no matter what happens on the conversion
Posted on 12/1/20 at 10:07 am to tide06
quote:
A&M loses outright if LSU has Brennan.
Yep, anyone arguing otherwise is biased or doesn't know what they are talking about. A&M has had a good year but is not the 5th best team in the country
Posted on 12/1/20 at 10:15 am to GoldenBoy
There was a Redskins Monday night game a few years ago against the chiefs. I had Redskins +7 and the total under 48.
Chiefs kick a field goal with 4 secs left to go up 23-20. On the kickoff the Redskins throw some laterals and throw one back to nobody at the 10 yard line. Chiefs pick it up and walk it into the end zone for a touchdown. Final 29-20. Lost the spread and the total. Has always stuck with me.
I had Eagles +6.5 last night so guess they all come back in the end.
Chiefs kick a field goal with 4 secs left to go up 23-20. On the kickoff the Redskins throw some laterals and throw one back to nobody at the 10 yard line. Chiefs pick it up and walk it into the end zone for a touchdown. Final 29-20. Lost the spread and the total. Has always stuck with me.
I had Eagles +6.5 last night so guess they all come back in the end.
Posted on 12/1/20 at 10:16 am to MetArl15
quote:
UVA vs Abilene Christian this year.
LINK
This
Posted on 12/1/20 at 10:18 am to I Bleed Garnet
terrible 2H bad beat Sunday on Colts -4.5 vs Tennessee ... Colts score with just over two minutes to cover it. Kick the onside and the Titans return the kick for a TD. You have to be kidding me.
Recover it .... game over. Bet won.
Was not happy.
Recover it .... game over. Bet won.
Was not happy.
Posted on 12/1/20 at 10:38 am to GoldenBoy
I've had 2 many, but one that still pisses me off was a bulls game.
Bulls are up 5 i believe, and giving 3. Rodman gets fouled with .03 seconds to go. He goes to the free throw line and air balls the FT, so the other team gets ball at mid court.
They chuck it to guy who in 1 motion chucks it at basket, off backboard in for 3 pointer. Bulls loser, they win by 2.
Had he hit rim or backboard, time runs off, but because of air ball, time never starts.
Had Marlins vs maddux, guy bet $700 on maddux at -380. Marlins blew 3 straight ground balls for errors, and braves scored 3 runs in 9th to win game. Just horrible a horrible ending.
Bulls are up 5 i believe, and giving 3. Rodman gets fouled with .03 seconds to go. He goes to the free throw line and air balls the FT, so the other team gets ball at mid court.
They chuck it to guy who in 1 motion chucks it at basket, off backboard in for 3 pointer. Bulls loser, they win by 2.
Had he hit rim or backboard, time runs off, but because of air ball, time never starts.
Had Marlins vs maddux, guy bet $700 on maddux at -380. Marlins blew 3 straight ground balls for errors, and braves scored 3 runs in 9th to win game. Just horrible a horrible ending.
Posted on 12/1/20 at 10:53 am to SeeeeK
quote:
I've had 2 many, but one that still pisses me off was a bulls game.
Bulls are up 5 i believe, and giving 3. Rodman gets fouled with .03 seconds to go. He goes to the free throw line and air balls the FT, so the other team gets ball at mid court.
They chuck it to guy who in 1 motion chucks it at basket, off backboard in for 3 pointer. Bulls loser, they win by 2.
Had he hit rim or backboard, time runs off, but because of air ball, time never starts.
Had Marlins vs maddux, guy bet $700 on maddux at -380. Marlins blew 3 straight ground balls for errors, and braves scored 3 runs in 9th to win game. Just horrible a horrible ending.
Damn!
Those are some bad beats!
Posted on 12/1/20 at 11:05 am to I Bleed Garnet
I think it was Game 4 of the NBA Finals, I had Lakers -7. It was nip and tuck most of the game, Lakers then pull away at the end to get it to nine. Herro comes down and hit a meaningless three at the buzzer to break my cover. 
This post was edited on 12/1/20 at 11:06 am
Posted on 12/1/20 at 11:19 am to Bunk Moreland
I had Tulsa over Tulane a couple weeks ago and only won because of a pick 6 in OT to allow Tulsa to cover.
Posted on 12/1/20 at 11:23 am to GoldenBoy
BYU was playing someone this year and they were -50. They scored 49 by half and never scored again. 
Posted on 12/1/20 at 11:56 am to GoldenBoy
There’s been other cases of teams doing the same this year when down 14 and analytics show going for two there is actually the right call. In this instance there are like 10 seconds left so the odds are obviously super small but you go for two. If you miss it you have the chance to go for two again if you recover onside kick and score. If you make it like they did you win the game with a touchdown and pat. Your chances of winning in overtime in that game are very low. I actually found an article from last year explaining this exact scenario. LINK explains the numbers
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