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Started By
Message
Will the venezuela news be pro or con for the market?
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:09 am
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:09 am
Monday
11
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:13 am to LChama
Doesn't seem significant. Probably means oil prices go up with the uncertainty in the country now
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:15 am to UltimaParadox
So china will need to get their oil from somewhere else now. Wonder where
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:20 am to LChama
It’ll be a blip Monday.
See how China responds
See how China responds
Posted on 1/3/26 at 8:20 am to LChama
China imports about 76% of the exported oil from Venezuela which is probably disrupted now. But they only accounted for less than 4% of China's imports.
cnbc
That could easily be absorbed by the Saudis, but guessing they would rather prices go back up
Picture added for reference
cnbc
That could easily be absorbed by the Saudis, but guessing they would rather prices go back up
Picture added for reference
This post was edited on 1/3/26 at 8:37 am
Posted on 1/3/26 at 9:56 am to LChama
Posted on 1/3/26 at 10:55 am to LChama
Immaterial.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 12:24 pm to LChama
Unless China uses this as a green light to invade Taiwan, the market will pop and oil will hit the 40’s. Venezuela can flood the World with cheap, heavy crude.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 12:48 pm to PinevilleTiger
quote:
Venezuela can flood the World with cheap, heavy crude.
They can, but that’s probably a few years off.
This post was edited on 1/3/26 at 12:49 pm
Posted on 1/3/26 at 1:01 pm to LChama
No effect.
But crawfish prices will go up.
But crawfish prices will go up.
Posted on 1/3/26 at 2:33 pm to LChama
CVX?
Posted on 1/3/26 at 2:35 pm to Dandaman
Probably near term negative for cvx with the uncertainty. Unless we put boots on the ground to protect their assets
Posted on 1/3/26 at 10:54 pm to LChama
Markets will creep down a few hundred points. I don’t see any catalyst for the upside and things seem to be in a lull since the holidays.
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:38 am to LChama
Read somewhere this hurts O&G companies from Canada because they produce more heavy crude than most American companies.
Posted on 1/4/26 at 3:27 pm to notiger1997
quote:
They can, but that’s probably a few years off.
Yep, I think current production is 700k/day, potential is 3.5M or so after pulling the warm blanket of collectivism off their dilapidated infrastructure.
Posted on 1/4/26 at 3:46 pm to Art Blakey
I don't expect serious investment in Venezuela considering the political uncertainty and Trump being out of office in 3 years. Plus oil prices may not support it.
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:27 pm to Diseasefreeforall
quote:
I don't expect serious investment in Venezuela considering the political uncertainty and Trump being out of office in 3 years. Plus oil prices may not support it.
Oil is below $60/barrel plus the Russian /Ukraine war likely ends this year and with sanctions lifted Russia turns on the spigots. Won't be surprised to see oil near $50 this year.
This post was edited on 1/4/26 at 7:21 pm
Posted on 1/4/26 at 7:48 pm to LChama
Go check out Chevron, Halliburton and Schlumberger.
Posted on 1/5/26 at 5:04 am to Mr. Curious
Yea, I think Chevron has the most upside of the majors followed by the service companies as those are the companies that can take advantage of a ramp up in activity the quickest.
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