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What’s the deal with Exxon?

Posted on 8/26/20 at 6:36 pm
Posted by Spec1
Lost but making good time
Member since Jan 2015
1983 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 6:36 pm
Was once the stock! Now floundering.

Is it still a good buy?
Posted by TigerCrude
Member since Oct 2019
1878 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 8:32 pm to
They have been slowly decreasing overall stock price for the past 5 years. Dividend is high though.

It’s just the market right now. Until overall travel and oil/gas/jet fuel usage goes up all these companies will have a slow recovery. They are also impacted even more since they have upstream (drilling exploration), downstream (refineries), chemical plants, and r&d. All those industries are some what impacted so the overall operating cost is high.
Posted by hottub
Member since Dec 2012
3333 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:20 pm to
Market is cyclical.

Don’t get caught up in the headlines about it dropping off the DJIA.

DJIA is a price weighted index and since Apple split 4 to 1, they needed to place another tech, CRM, on the index.

CRM is now creating a “nightmarish” scenario because it jumped a lot today and now tech may be overweighted.

Posted by Street Hawk
Member since Nov 2014
3460 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 10:54 pm to
quote:

Was once the stock! Now floundering.

July 14th, 2014 was the beginning of the end for XOM as an aspirational stock. I don't think it will ever regain it's lost glory. It's all about tech right now as it has been for a while, and the big tech companies are only consolidating their market power even more.

quote:

Is it still a good buy?

If you want to underperform the market, which it has managed to do for the last 6 years...then for sure go for it.

No amount of dividend is going to make up for the -45% return over the last 5 years that you see in the chart below. This stock is a POS.

This post was edited on 8/27/20 at 1:45 am
Posted by stewie
Member since Jan 2006
3951 posts
Posted on 8/27/20 at 6:42 am to
quote:

and now tech may be overweighted.


IMHO it’s been overweight since halfway through the Corona virus pandemic. Investors have flocked to big tech with no where else to go.

Don’t know when it will pop but I’m looking at an ever enlarging tech bubble in the short run.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58128 posts
Posted on 8/27/20 at 9:08 am to
quote:

It’s just the market right now


I've seen this mentioned and the green energy movement as well a lot in these discussions about Exxon, and it's somewhat true, but the fact still remains that they have not been a well run business for a while now.
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50344 posts
Posted on 8/27/20 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Dividend is high though.


What good does that do if your equity position has been reduced by 50+%?
Posted by skewbs
Member since Apr 2008
2003 posts
Posted on 8/27/20 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

If you want to underperform the market, which it has managed to do for the last 6 years...then for sure go for it.


What does this have to do with any decision to buy the stock right now? Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. It is just a data point to sway your decision making. The decision to buy today is not based on what the stock did the last 6 years, but what you think it will do the next XX months or years.
Posted by Texas Tea 123
Member since Sep 2017
207 posts
Posted on 8/27/20 at 4:01 pm to
They are in an extremely capital intensive, cyclical commodity business (they are price takers) with too much cash going out the door via dividends and capex (and not earning a return over their cost of capital on this capex).

It's a bad business and to be successful in it you have to have the highest quality assets and be prudent and disciplined in deploying capital. They are not. It's a loser vs. Chevron and others.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54752 posts
Posted on 8/27/20 at 4:34 pm to
I think they're hoping they get bought our by a SPAC.
Posted by TDFreak
Dodge Charger Aficionado
Member since Dec 2009
7369 posts
Posted on 9/8/20 at 8:17 am to
XOM now $38.21 / share. Still swirling the bowl. What does Darren Woods do all day? Not managing his company out of the gutter, that’s for sure.
This post was edited on 9/8/20 at 8:18 am
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19598 posts
Posted on 9/8/20 at 8:46 am to
Forecasted oil prices took another dip.
Posted by jimjackandjose
Member since Jun 2011
6496 posts
Posted on 9/8/20 at 8:52 am to
Woods needs to go... but this is oil price driven.

Xom has some good things they refuse to market. Technology in sustainable initiatives, own the lithium battery patent. Bunch of Brits running the company down
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
48534 posts
Posted on 9/8/20 at 9:00 am to
Energy has been a dog for some time now. I used to actively trade some of the oil service companies. I remember selling some Schlumberger near $100/share. It's $18 now.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
14459 posts
Posted on 9/8/20 at 9:34 am to
quote:

Energy has been a dog for some time now


Speaking of Dogs My VLO has been just that the last 3 months Not selling to big of a loss will hold.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
48534 posts
Posted on 9/8/20 at 9:42 am to
I've made about 1k on your BUD recommendation
Posted by RussianFromLSU
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Nov 2014
192 posts
Posted on 9/8/20 at 9:47 am to
Great dividends.

Chevron is the play I'm going for atm tho. Buying up a bunch and then going to dump in 24 months once the market recovers a bit more.
Posted by 8thyearsenior
Centennial, CO
Member since Mar 2006
4280 posts
Posted on 9/8/20 at 10:31 am to
quote:

Forecasted oil prices took another dip


Seems like everyone had forgotten about OPEC+ having about 7 million bpd spare capacity. WTI had no business being in the $40s and wouldn't be surprised to see high $20s.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82030 posts
Posted on 9/8/20 at 10:33 am to
quote:

WTI had no business being in the $40s and wouldn't be surprised to see high $20s.
if you see guidance from most of these O&G companies provided in Q2, they're bracing for lower oil prices.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
14459 posts
Posted on 9/8/20 at 12:04 pm to
Glad i could help Now if draftkings can get moving then I think most of my recommendations have panned out
This post was edited on 9/8/20 at 12:24 pm
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