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re: SVB failure isn't something that's just affecting a few thousand tech bros in SF

Posted on 3/11/23 at 9:23 pm to
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
5053 posts
Posted on 3/11/23 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

what would happen if SVB is allowed to fail fully and if depositors aren't made whole


I mean is there a cap on insured deposit amounts or isn’t there?
Posted by oneg8rh8r
Port Ludlow, WA
Member since Dec 2003
2860 posts
Posted on 3/11/23 at 9:28 pm to
I believe I read that there were about 20K business that banked with SVB. 98% of their clients are businesses and only 2 percent were individuals.

I'm going to go out on a limb and say ALL of those banks had many if not all of their available cash there. Only 250K is insured. Not a smart business move to do that. That doesn't deserve taxpayers money for a SAVING.

I do agree that there will be A LOT of business shutting doors because of this. It sux that there will be people that work at these businesses that get affected especially because they weren't the ones deciding where monies are invested, stored, and the like.
This post was edited on 3/12/23 at 12:10 am
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
38490 posts
Posted on 3/11/23 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

Why do I keep seeing this word


It's a pretty common term in the wake of financial/economic negative events.


I know the poliboard thinks this is some kind of concerted effort amongst the media to use this word but it's long been a staple whenever something like this happens lol. It was used a TON during the brief evergrande story a year or two ago.
This post was edited on 3/11/23 at 9:36 pm
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
10865 posts
Posted on 3/11/23 at 10:13 pm to
Are there people running real businesses out there that don't understand the FDIC limit?
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
16728 posts
Posted on 3/11/23 at 11:00 pm to
quote:

It was probably vogue in the Silicon Valley tech circles. Plus the banks in Ohio likely don’t virtue signal enough for the Silicon Valley crowd so you probably got some industry cred using their hip, PC bank.

My understanding is they had a much more pro start up lending team.

Most big banks will laugh at startups until they no longer need their capital, I think SVB had a rep for taking chances.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35356 posts
Posted on 3/11/23 at 11:03 pm to
I mean I believe all depositors should be made whole, and they will be eventually. And while she makes some good points about everything overall, she really presents herself as way different than she is in reality.

She lives in my area, and her and her husband were both consultants and McKinsey, before moving on to senior leadership roles at Worthington Industries, a multiple billion dollar company, and Ohio Health, a multi billion dollar healthcare system.

They’re both Duke MBAs, and they live in an $800k house in Bexley, which is a wealthy inner suburb. And they bought this house around the time they are single-income family, after she was able to take $10k and work a year and a half for no pay.

She says her husband works in Manufacturing, which is true, but he is obviously not doing any manual labor. He’s just a senior leader in a Fortune-1000 company.

None of this refutes her overall point, but after liking her tweet (especially since she’s local), I was a little annoyed when I found she did not paint an accurate picture as a non-elite middle class family.
This post was edited on 3/11/23 at 11:13 pm
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
39169 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 12:25 am to
quote:

Why does an Ohio mom have her entire operation tied up in a Silicon Valley Bank? Plenty of banks in Ohio.


VC fund probably required it
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
39169 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 12:30 am to
quote:

Are there people running real businesses out there that don't understand the FDIC limit?


How is a major company supposed to do business with 300 banks with 240K in each?
Posted by USMCguy121
Northshore
Member since Aug 2021
6332 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 2:47 am to
Sounds like they took a risk.
Posted by TSLG
Member since Mar 2014
6724 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 3:21 am to
quote:

Why do I keep seeing this word


The tech folks are driving that narrative to protect the money they have in the bank.

As far as the Ohio lady, she has a Duke MBA, quit her job at a massive corporation, and got millions in vc money.
Posted by BigApple
Member since Jun 2022
889 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 6:19 am to
quote:

How is a major company supposed to do business with 300 banks with 240K in each?


They don’t. They use the IntraFi network.
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
31804 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 6:57 am to
quote:

The All-in podcast was fire this week. Here they cover the 2nd and 3rd order effects of what would happen if SVB is allowed to fail fully and if depositors aren't made whole at the 43:58 mark

I love All-In, but they are extremely heavily biased in this regard. All four of them have some relation to that bank financially whether it’s direct or through some of their investments or through friends or close business partners with money tied in there. Likely friends or business partners with people working at that bank as well
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
451134 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 8:21 am to
I agree but I also think that they know the ripples in SV this will create in the best scenario. The worst case scenario is incredibly bad. That bias (like knowing companies who are about to fail to make payroll or who lost their burn) is legit but it doesn't fully discredit their concerns.
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
62937 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 8:27 am to
quote:

None of this refutes her overall point, but after liking her tweet (especially since she’s local), I was a little annoyed when I found she did not paint an accurate picture as a non-elite middle class family.


That is pretty scummy of her and she knows what she's doing. "OH, I'm just a blue collar joe family from Ohio, not the coastal elite type you all hate."

I feel bad, but there's no reason her company, which is some obscure personal to-do list app company, should be bailed out. This isn't a healthcare system, or a company devoted to important research. It's a company developing something non-essential.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
451134 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 8:39 am to
quote:

but there's no reason her company, which is some obscure personal to-do list app company, should be bailed out. This isn't a healthcare system, or a company devoted to important research. It's a company developing something non-essential.

What does the product and your opinion of it matter?

Either depositors get protected or they don't. It's a binary decision based on policies and economics that have nothing to do with the underlying companies. It's all or nothing.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
22421 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 8:42 am to
quote:

How is a major company supposed to do business with 300 banks with 240K in each?


Exactly. But to add to that, most of those businesses likely banked with SVB because they either got very favorable banking rates OR because of the woke principles.

This bank should be allowed to fail so that it creates a permanent impact on the issues that caused it to fail. That’s the chief principle of capitalism.

If you have more than $250k you should strongly consider keeping it somewhere with low risk. SVB was anything but.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
451134 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 8:46 am to
quote:

But to add to that, most of those businesses likely banked with SVB because they either got very favorable banking rates OR because of the woke principles.

You missed the most obvious and realistic scenario: it had a long relationship with the VCs who are funding these ventures.

quote:

This bank should be allowed to fail so that it creates a permanent impact on the issues that caused it to fail.

The issue isn't really the bank failing. It's what to do with depositors. The bank is dead, but its assets aren't $0.00.

quote:

If you have more than $250k you should strongly consider keeping it somewhere with low risk. SVB was anything but.

Why was SVB not low risk?
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
84096 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 8:47 am to
quote:

Why does an Ohio mom have her entire operation tied up in a Silicon Valley Bank? Plenty of banks in Ohio.


I think because VC steered startups to SVB. The story here will be the relationship between Venture/SVB/ Government.

A quick bailout/acquisition keeps all these relationships hidden. It’s in everyone’s interest ( except for taxpayers) to make this go away.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
22421 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 8:56 am to
quote:

Why was SVB not low risk?


I’m not sure if you are being sarcastic? I’m guessing those that bank with SVB know they are into venture capital heavy which is always a risk?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
451134 posts
Posted on 3/12/23 at 9:01 am to
quote:

I’m guessing those that bank with SVB know they are into venture capital heavy which is always a risk?


Do you know why SVB failed?

They had so much capital sitting around they put it in the saftest investment vehicle on earth (US treasuries)

In hindsight, putting all that money into illiquid, long-term bonds was stupid, but it didn't put the underlying assets at risk.

Venture is risky, but that risk didn't make SVB fail.
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