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re: SPCX IPO
Posted on 10/20/26 at 4:36 pm to Cajun75
Posted on 10/20/26 at 4:36 pm to Cajun75
a very thorough AI generated earnings analysis
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 10/20/26 at 7:00 pm to cgrand
quote:and there it is, up 8%. Market makers don’t miss
the implied move of 8%
Posted on 10/20/26 at 11:25 pm to cgrand
i bet big on musk and he has yet to let me down. Even X money is still cranking along giving me the 6% APY on my savings.and checking
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:16 am to Poboy1911
Remember when SPCX was going to tank QQQ etc. 
Posted on 10/21/26 at 9:32 am to Poboy1911
quote:
i bet big on musk and he has yet to let me down.
I regret that I don't have more to throw at SPCX right now. I have timed my dips pretty well, though. Cost basis under $140 and up over 17% total. I wish I had 10x as many shares. 25x even.
Posted on 10/21/26 at 10:58 am to Ace Midnight
Same I bought spcx last week and can kick myself for not doubling the shares purchased
Posted on 10/21/26 at 11:09 am to Ace Midnight
It should dip again as more shares are released. You still have time.
Posted on 10/21/26 at 11:16 am to imjustafatkid
Whats the target on this said dip?
Posted on 10/21/26 at 11:21 am to sonoma8
quote:
Whats the target on this said dip?
I don't know, but it's gotten back down to around the $150 initial price (or lower) every time a new tranche of stocks has been released. I bought more shares the last time this happened around October 10th (120 days after IPO).
Should be about 7% more shares released around October 25, and then there is a potential for up to 28% more shares to release after their Q3 earnings call in November.
The remaining share restrictions all lift 180 days after the initial listing, including the around 60% of shares that were held pre-IPO (include Elon Musk's shares).
Can find all this info here: LINK
This post was edited on 10/21/26 at 11:23 am
Posted on 10/21/26 at 11:31 am to imjustafatkid
Good info! 
Posted on 10/21/26 at 2:16 pm to sonoma8
TSLA earnings after the close. Assuming a merger is inevitable, is there any motivation for musk to try and suppress the TSLA share price? Models I’ve seen (ARK mostly) require a 30% TSLA premium today to make the merger value neutral for TSLA holders but that number goes down drastically as the time frame extends. They do conclude though that no matter what the merger would ultimately benefit holders of both (TSLA moreso than SPCX)
I suspect that if merger rumors heat up there would be a run on TSLA. That doesn’t benefit musk
I suspect that if merger rumors heat up there would be a run on TSLA. That doesn’t benefit musk
Posted on 10/21/26 at 3:22 pm to sonoma8
If last nights earnings/guidance didn't move this stock then I don't know what it's going to take to get it back to its 52 Week High.
It still needs to go up 40% just to get back to where it was last summer.
IPO Price $150
Current Price $158
52 Week High $225
It still needs to go up 40% just to get back to where it was last summer.
IPO Price $150
Current Price $158
52 Week High $225
Posted on 10/21/26 at 3:30 pm to Tampa Ray
quote:
If last nights earnings/guidance didn't move this stock then I don't know what it's going to take to get it back to its 52 Week High.
Sir, I say this with no malice at all, your vision is likely phenomenal, all the way to the tip of your nose
You're referencing 52 week highs on a stock that has been on the market for a few months?
That high was reached briefly during the IPO's initial offering and settled eventually below what you could buy it for on Day 1.
I'm presently still within the 180 days that doesn't allow me to sell and will be happy if it sits at 150 at that time, but it doesn't matter b/c I have no plans to sell any time soon.
Please sit this one out
Posted on 10/21/26 at 3:38 pm to wahoocs
Sorry if my facts hurt your feelings
Posted on 10/21/26 at 4:10 pm to Tampa Ray
quote:
Sorry if my facts hurt your feelings
I'd rather read what knowledgeable people have to say on the subject than anything you or I can provide, so I'll keep my thoughts to myself if you will do the same.
Posted on 10/21/26 at 8:18 pm to Tampa Ray
they just have to keep doing what they're doing. Every month billions of dollars hits investment accounts and needs to find a home. i never bet against musk, on anything. I'd argue Musk is almost never wrong, he's just consistently 5-15 years too early.
This post was edited on 10/21/26 at 8:20 pm
Posted on 10/22/26 at 7:56 am to sonoma8
quote:
Whats the target on this said dip?
Well, SPCX is down almost 5% today.
So, Today?.
This post was edited on 10/22/26 at 9:20 am
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:00 am to Ace Midnight
quote:
I regret that I don't have more to throw at SPCX right now.
It's down 6% today.
Back below $150.
You can stop kicking yourself for not buying more
Posted on 10/22/26 at 10:45 am to Tampa Ray
quote:
You can stop kicking yourself for not buying more
This isn't a day flip stock. This is a 12- to 20-year plan. I'm still buying, my guy.
Posted on 10/22/26 at 11:26 am to wahoocs
quote:
Sir, I say this with no malice at all, your vision is likely phenomenal, all the way to the tip of your nose
SPCX is down 9% today.
Sir, I say this with no malice, my vision is phenomenal
EDIT: SPCX is crashing so fast I have to update the new % every 2 minutes
This post was edited on 10/22/26 at 1:29 pm
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