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Message
re: Rate cut time!!!
Posted on 9/5/25 at 10:13 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Posted on 9/5/25 at 10:13 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Before the election, I said that I believed Donald wouldn’t cut spending and would drive inflation back up. Donaldists told me I was wrong on both counts and simply eaten up by DDS. Now spending hasn’t been cut, and due to a weakening job market, we might have to spike inflation again. fricking yay 
2
Posted on 9/5/25 at 10:15 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
I wasn't calling you out specifically, but look at this thread and the responses from the typical people are all the same. "Cut the rates too late" "YEA! CUT THE RATES TOO LATE". it's funny seeing these people morph into the same type of people they hate.
Anyone with half a brain knew once the whole shite show with the tariffs happened, that the Fed was going to wait to cut rates. Just like anyone with half a brain knew Trump was shite talking Powell to take any and all blame off of himself and shift the convo towards Powell.
it's funny seeing these people morph into the same type of people they hate. Anyone with half a brain knew once the whole shite show with the tariffs happened, that the Fed was going to wait to cut rates. Just like anyone with half a brain knew Trump was shite talking Powell to take any and all blame off of himself and shift the convo towards Powell.
Posted on 9/5/25 at 10:22 am to saint tiger225
quote:
I wasn't calling you out specifically, but look at this thread and the responses from the typical people are all the same. "Cut the rates too late" "YEA! CUT THE RATES TOO LATE". it's funny seeing these people morph into the same type of people they hate.
Same thing with calling him “Jerome”. It’s one of the most mindlessly NPC things I’ve ever seen
Posted on 9/5/25 at 10:34 am to saint tiger225
quote:
I wasn't calling you out specifically, but look at this thread and the responses from the typical people are all the same. "Cut the rates too late" "YEA! CUT THE RATES TOO LATE". it's funny seeing these people morph into the same type of people they hate.
Anyone with half a brain knew once the whole shite show with the tariffs happened, that the Fed was going to wait to cut rates. Just like anyone with half a brain knew Trump was shite talking Powell to take any and all blame off of himself and shift the convo towards Powell.
If you look carefully, there is always a boogeyman preventing Trump from being successful. The first term it was the deep state, Fauci, etc.
Now it's Powell, not his stupid tariffs, that are preventing The Golden Age.
This post was edited on 9/5/25 at 10:35 am
Posted on 9/5/25 at 10:36 am to Joshjrn
Yea, it's a terrible spot to be in right now. I don't know what'll happen with inflation. My personal opinion is that it'll be really sticky for a while but might even rise as I don't think we've seen the full effects of the tarrifs just yet, as usually things like that can take months and some times a couple of years to play out.
This has the potential to get ugly. The fiscal policy coming from the white house certainly isn't one that's conducive to lowering inflation. Let's hope some of the data we've seen the last couple of months ends up being outliers rather than a trend.
This has the potential to get ugly. The fiscal policy coming from the white house certainly isn't one that's conducive to lowering inflation. Let's hope some of the data we've seen the last couple of months ends up being outliers rather than a trend.
Posted on 9/5/25 at 10:42 am to saint tiger225
We are sitting here staring stagflation down the barrel; and everyone is calling "too late, so obvious, etc"
Doesn't seem so black and white to me, but I also don't take marching orders from my political gang, be it left or right.
Doesn't seem so black and white to me, but I also don't take marching orders from my political gang, be it left or right.
Posted on 9/5/25 at 10:50 am to Pendulum
quote:
We are sitting here
Posted on 9/5/25 at 10:53 am to topherbrown21
Posted on 9/5/25 at 10:59 am to Pendulum
Well said. I'm the same way and it's good to know there are still people out there like this.
You're right, it's definitely not black and white. This economy is one of the most complex things in the world.
I'm starting to wonder if we're heading into a scenario where we're going to be cutting rates while inflation starts rising again. I don't know, but I certainly don't envy the people who have to make these decisions.
You're right, it's definitely not black and white. This economy is one of the most complex things in the world.
I'm starting to wonder if we're heading into a scenario where we're going to be cutting rates while inflation starts rising again. I don't know, but I certainly don't envy the people who have to make these decisions.
Posted on 9/5/25 at 11:00 am to Joshjrn
quote:
Donald wouldn’t cut spending
So how exactly does the President cut spending?
Posted on 9/5/25 at 11:08 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
It's funny you mention the 10am drop because I noticed the same. Every time I see the market jump up at the start I kind of roll my eyes...
Posted on 9/5/25 at 11:15 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
This is due to the fact that *60%* of black women with degrees work for the govt.
Is there a link for this? IIRC when this was going around a few months ago it was really just a estimate that someone prompt engineered ChatGPT to spit out.
Posted on 9/5/25 at 11:36 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
There is absolutely zero justification at this point not to cut rates.
Waiting to cut rates until you have data is what you are supposed to do
Also Trump yelling at the sky that the jobs reports are FAKE NEWS and saying interest rates should be lowered is counterintuitive.
Bottom line is Trump wants low interest rates so the economy rips and damn the consequences. Ultra -low interest rates only benefit the rich. 50% of Americans have most of their savings in non-equity investments and instead in things like savings accounts.
Posted on 9/5/25 at 11:54 am to HagaDaga
quote:
Randomw question...if/when rate cut is announced, how long before it actually is cut in the system?? And then how long does it take to see the lower rate in mortgages, credit cards, etc? And do banks rates start to go down just as quickly?
Immediately. The rates are what banks charge each other to lend amongst themselves overnight. Mortgage interest rates and savings interest rates will take more time to work though the system. Mortgage rates are based on 10-year treasury, so that is the real number many should be concerned with. Lowering the Fed Funds rate would be a good start.
Posted on 9/5/25 at 12:03 pm to SquatchDawg
quote:
So how exactly does the President cut spending?
Are we going to play these semantic games?
I love Schrodinger’s Trump: he controls everything and nothing, gets credit for everything and blame for nothing, simultaneously
Posted on 9/5/25 at 12:10 pm to Joshjrn
Important to note that the bbb did cut spending.
The entirety of its price tag was because the CBO was including the TCJA extension as spending/cost.
Technically the outcome is the same, but I have philosophical qualms with categorizing extension of existing tax rates as spending
The entirety of its price tag was because the CBO was including the TCJA extension as spending/cost.
Technically the outcome is the same, but I have philosophical qualms with categorizing extension of existing tax rates as spending
Posted on 9/5/25 at 12:11 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Rate cut time!!!
Driving up inflation even more along with price hikes thanks to tariffs is certain to help the economy
Posted on 9/5/25 at 12:15 pm to jlnoles79
In your view, how bad does the job market have to get for you to get on board with rate cuts?
Posted on 9/5/25 at 12:17 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
No rate cuts, wait and see. Jerome will probably raise rates due to inflation.
This post was edited on 9/5/25 at 12:32 pm
Posted on 9/5/25 at 12:20 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:Do you believe 4.3% unemployment is a bad job market??
In your view, how bad does the job market have to get
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