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re: Predictions on what the CPI will come in at tomorrow and how the markets may react
Posted on 10/13/22 at 8:21 am to Triple Bogey
Posted on 10/13/22 at 8:21 am to Triple Bogey
quote:
It feels like these CPI reports are lagging
Congratulations! You are now more qualified to sit on the FOMC than all 12 sitting members.
What rate range will incentivize more O&G investment? 12-15%? What rate range brings down rent increases from 2 years ago?
This post was edited on 10/13/22 at 8:22 am
3
Posted on 10/13/22 at 8:27 am to wutangfinancial
Rent, insurance, food and health care costs NEVER come back down. Most of the basic stuff to survive just goes higher even when wholesale declines. Bigger margins become ALL profit or bonuses.
Posted on 10/13/22 at 8:37 am to wutangfinancial
And the VIX opens down 
No shock here. Everything about this is a controlled and orderly walk down.
No shock here. Everything about this is a controlled and orderly walk down.
This post was edited on 10/13/22 at 8:40 am
Posted on 10/13/22 at 9:06 am to Hussss
Those great "hedges against inflation" and "wealth preservation" assets Gold and Silver are in the cesspool. Silver appears to be nothing but an industrial metal in massive supply and low demand.
Posted on 10/13/22 at 9:17 am to wutangfinancial
quote:No rate will incentivize that with a D administration. It will just be blaming of big bad O&G 24/7
What rate range will incentivize more O&G investment?
Posted on 10/13/22 at 9:17 am to PUB
I love how every news story says prices rose "more than expected."
Who the frick is setting the expectations?
Who the frick is setting the expectations?
Posted on 10/13/22 at 9:28 am to CajunTiger78
Could end up green. They’re trying to get every dollar they can thru big moves to break stops and grab buy orders. A lot of traders are getting their arse handed to them you can believe that. Grab ahold it’s gonna be a wild ride and we can’t stop now
Posted on 10/13/22 at 9:48 am to DTRooster
Inflation is priced in at this point.
Same goes for rate hikes.
Same goes for rate hikes.
Posted on 10/13/22 at 9:59 am to JimMorrison
quote:
Inflation is priced in at this point.
Same goes for rate hikes.
Yes, all of those people contributing 10% of their income bi-monthly have re-adjusted their DCF models and are calculating deep value in large cap equities
Posted on 10/13/22 at 10:04 am to PUB
Monetary metals are pegged to the DXY. DXY has a little run left in it before a free fall after the pivot. I think DXY gets to the 120 range before violently collapsing to the 85-90 range by 2024
Posted on 10/13/22 at 10:11 am to FredsGotSlacks
Soo... who guessed the market would start down by 500 points and then be in the green by 11am?
Posted on 10/13/22 at 10:12 am to FredsGotSlacks
120 would slam metals down another 30% but no shock that silver would be worth 20% of 12+ year old highs either.
Posted on 10/13/22 at 10:18 am to MikeyFL
Clown world market
Posted on 10/13/22 at 10:27 am to MikeyFL
Me. On the first page.
Knowing makes people feel comfortable, even if it’s bad news. It was going to go green today.
It’ll go red again next week
Knowing makes people feel comfortable, even if it’s bad news. It was going to go green today.
It’ll go red again next week
Posted on 10/13/22 at 10:33 am to PUB
quote:
120 would slam metals down another 30% but no shock that silver would be worth 20% of 12+ year old highs either.
They are so oversold that I don’t think they’ll get that low. I think silver gets to 16 and gold maybe to 1500 before a violent reversal. I’ll start buying back into the miners here very shortly and probably get my arse handed to me but there are worse places to be IMO
Posted on 10/13/22 at 10:37 am to FredsGotSlacks
Down big at open. UP big at Lunch and probably back down by end of day .
.Posted on 10/13/22 at 10:49 am to TigerTatorTots
What a day
Posted on 10/13/22 at 7:54 pm to MikeyFL
quote:
Soo... who guessed the market would start down by 500 points and then be in the green by 11am?
This guy and his friends who made it happen?
Posted on 10/14/22 at 4:16 am to wutangfinancial
The bond market is expecting the Fed to pause after November's rate hike (likely 50 bps).
Money will flow back into risk assets. Don't get caught being short at the bottom
Money will flow back into risk assets. Don't get caught being short at the bottom
Posted on 10/14/22 at 6:42 am to PUB
quote:
Rent, insurance, food and health care costs NEVER come back down. Most of the basic stuff to survive just goes higher even when wholesale declines. Bigger margins become ALL profit or bonuses.
Don't worry, all those extra profits will trickle back down eventually *Waves at the ghost of Reagan in the clouds*
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