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Started By
Message
re: Powell hints/suggest there will be no more rate cuts this year
Posted on 5/7/25 at 5:44 pm to TigersHuskers
Posted on 5/7/25 at 5:44 pm to TigersHuskers
quote:
Powell has to go. He's a fricken traitor.
Any particular reason you would post this?
1
Posted on 5/7/25 at 6:21 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Good
Posted on 5/7/25 at 6:48 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
What is he supposed to do?
Tariff policy is fluid.
Upcoming tax legislation not law.
Too many variables unknown
Tariff policy is fluid.
Upcoming tax legislation not law.
Too many variables unknown
Posted on 5/7/25 at 6:51 pm to kaaj24
My whole question is why did he cut half a point last year then? He should have kept rates the same or maybe a .25 cut but pressure was building and he caved
Posted on 5/7/25 at 7:20 pm to notiger1997
There are two posters on here who are clearly cheerleading for lower rates for some sort of personal benefit. They are like LSU fans complaining about the refs.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 7:26 pm to SloaneRanger
Who cares? If he is playing political games, he will do so closer to the election.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 7:31 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
No he didn't. Did you listen or just look at some click bait? With your intelligence level, reads like click bait. He explicitly declined to comment on timing and said there are conditions that would signal rate cuts, potentially even preemptively, but that point hasn't been reached yet based on the mandate of the Fed.
Posted on 5/7/25 at 8:07 pm to ApexHunterNetcode
Zerohedge analysis is where I got my news
Posted on 5/7/25 at 9:38 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Powell: The 2024 rate cuts weren't preemptive. "If anything, it was a little late."
Too Late Jerome confirming his name
He didnt say anything of the sort like the OP suggests
quote:
Powell: If inflation is rising while unemployment is going up, which isn't a choice we currently face, "this would be a complicated and challenging judgment that we'd have to make."
He knows that Jobs report was mierda
Posted on 5/7/25 at 10:09 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Powell hints/suggest there will be no more rate cuts this year
Someone check on SDVTiger. Poor guy's probably swinging from a ceiling fan by now.
Posted on 5/8/25 at 12:57 am to Civildawg
quote:
My whole question is why did he cut half a point last year then? He should have kept rates the same or maybe a .25 cut but pressure was building and he caved
Market pressure, not political pressure.
Regardless, I want someone to explain to me how 6 weeks of .50% lower rates was supposed to sway jack shite in the election. If he wanted to give Biden any real political benefit, he would have been cutting in January 2024, not fricking September.
Posted on 5/8/25 at 6:21 am to kaaj24
quote:His job. Nothing more. Nothing less.
What is he supposed to do?
Obviously some here feel that is exactly what he is doing.
The problem I have with him is he (or the FOMC under his leadership) was late to act in both 2019 and 2021. IIRC Powell has basically admitted as much. Now it appears he's doing the same thing a third time. Assuming Powell and the FOMC are intelligent and competent, that leaves politics as the motivator.
IMO, the moment JP switched inflation rhetoric, announcing tariffs as factually inflationary rather than a one-off price bump, is the moment he gave up the ghost on this.
Now, perhaps he's simply parroting an FOMC majority position, as he has with the Fed involvement with climate change stuff. It's hard to know, but as his is the Fed's public voice, it doesn't really matter.
The importance of Powell's position though, is that FOMC has no tools in its shed to directly affect a tariff price bump. The Fed's tools are designed to impact classic inflation d/t a monetary quantity:output mismatch. Deploying those tools vs tariffs is an attempt to treat via negative side effect ... in this case, "negative" equates to recessionary.
Posted on 5/8/25 at 7:51 am to notiger1997
quote:
Amen It’s amazing to read on a certain other board how many people know nothing about this and are absolutely convinced that Powell is not cutting just to try and hurt Trump.
Agreed …. JPow will announce no less than 3 Fed rate cuts before the end of 2025. The Fed is trapped ….
Posted on 5/8/25 at 7:55 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
C'mon, Jerome, inflation is still above your desired target rate, unemployment is still near historical lows, tariffs are going to increase prices, it's time for you to RAISE rates!
Do your duty!
Do your duty!
This post was edited on 5/8/25 at 8:00 am
Posted on 5/8/25 at 8:25 am to LSURussian
Posted on 5/8/25 at 8:25 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Still a lot of 2025 to go. I'm skeptical of anyone who thinks they know what's going to happen (especially Powell, because he knows better).
Posted on 5/8/25 at 8:28 am to AndyJ
quote:
Who cares? If he is playing political games, he will do so closer to the election.
That's going to be hard for Powell to do since his position ends in May 2026 and there is a 100% certainty he's not being retained. So with that said and using your own logic, then one can surmise that he's playing political games now due to a compressed tenure.
Posted on 5/8/25 at 8:38 am to LSURussian
quote:
C'mon, Jerome, inflation is still above your desired target rate, unemployment is still near historical lows, tariffs are going to increase prices, it's time for you to RAISE rates! Do your duty!
Yeah. Why is he playing politics? He’s just trying to hurt [insert politician to which one has an unhealthy allegiance] by not raising rates.
Posted on 5/8/25 at 10:48 am to FizzyPop
Nope. I do appreciate your input on his term, though. My point is that what happens now has minimal impact on political fortunes in November 2026. Democrats screamed about their 401ks when the stock market dropped. Now it has bounced back… so they did not win there politically. If rates dropping are a political win, having them dropping in 1 year are much more relevant than them dropping now.
Posted on 5/8/25 at 11:14 am to ronricks
quote:Interesting.
Only low iq idiots or low iq real estate agents think this.
What do the really bright folks think about labeling a single step tax increase or tariff as inflationary? What do they say about FOMC policy ability to redress tariff costs?
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