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Parameters of the China deal

Posted on 5/12/25 at 2:15 am
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
81954 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 2:15 am
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
21777 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 5:00 am to
What happens after 90 days is my question?
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5413 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 6:36 am to
We have had a 25% tariff on most goods from China since 2018. Now we are at 30% per the deal. So basically back to where we started.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89806 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:07 am to
While I fully agree with the optimism, it’s not much of a deal one way or the other - yet. Both countries have agreed to essentially go back to the status quo while they work on an actual trade deal.
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
47330 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:09 am to
So China lowers from 20% to 10% from prior

USA raises from 25% to 30% from prior

The real question is the exceptions
Posted by ChiGator
Member since Nov 2020
3781 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:13 am to
Can anyone help me understand what the point of any of this is? This entire thing has been a shite show.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
89806 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:13 am to
quote:

The real question is the exceptions


My assumption would be that none of them have changed. They’re just lowering tariffs while they negotiate an actual trade deal. Essentially a good faith agreement by both countries for the moment.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
13614 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:33 am to
What will happen after 90 days

I’m trying to make some long term investment decisions. 90 days is just a tease
Posted by BottomlandBrew
Member since Aug 2010
28452 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:37 am to
I'm happy to see progress, but 90 days is bullshite from a planning perspective for me personally. If I order today, I run the risk of having my container on the water at the 90 day mark. I'll have to wait and see what the details are. Is the "on the water" exception still valid?

I'd also expect container prices to spike big time in the near term.
This post was edited on 5/12/25 at 7:38 am
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
71539 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 7:39 am to
In your case, I think it is safe to assume the triple digit tariffs are gone for good.
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
23282 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:00 am to
quote:

I’m trying to make some long term investment decisions. 90 days is just a tease


Long term and 90 days are not even in the same universe.

Just make the decision is go with it.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
96949 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:09 am to
quote:

We have had a 25% tariff on most goods from China since 2018. Now we are at 30% per the deal. So basically back to where we started.


This is false, the 30% is the 10% baseline tariff plus 20% fentanyl tariff. The 25% from 2018 remains intact so it’s 55% altogether
Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
895 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:14 am to
Do you have a link for that? Everything I see is a 30% tariff on Chinese goods.
This post was edited on 5/12/25 at 8:23 am
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
96949 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:43 am to
quote:

I'm happy to see progress, but 90 days is bullshite from a planning perspective for me personally.


If no trade deal is reached within 90 days it can be extended further as long as there are good faith negotiations ongoing

Tariffs only go back up if China walks away from negotiations or if it becomes obvious they’re just stalling and not trying to reach a deal
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
96949 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 8:55 am to
quote:

Everything I see is a 30% tariff on Chinese goods.


Yes in regards to the reciprocal and fentanyl tariffs.

I know I read somewhere earlier it stated the existing tariffs were still in effect I’ll try to find which article it was in. But those were targeted tariffs on things like steel and aluminum not blanket ones. The blanket tariffs are at 30%
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
13614 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 9:14 am to
China is extremely proud country and refuses to show any weakness whatsoever. If they were in a recession, it would never be admitted officially.

This deal with them will be revealing.
They are only doing the 90 day pause to give them a window with which to negotiate .

Big question- can we believe anything that China says? They been saying they’ll comply with deals for decades and never do
Posted by Motownsix
Boise
Member since Oct 2022
2715 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 10:48 am to
So tariffs aren’t going to replace the income tax? Most of my holdings have returned to pre liberation day levels. I guess we should be thankful Trump caved in this?
Posted by DawgCountry
Great State of GA
Member since Sep 2012
31555 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 10:49 am to
quote:

I guess we should be thankful Trump caved in this?


quote:

Motownsix


on brand
Posted by Nole Man
Somewhere In Tennessee!
Member since May 2011
8058 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 11:56 am to
I'm glad there's some dialogue at least, but right now, it’s a basically a photo op, not a deal. There's no binding agreement, no tariff cuts, no market access—Nothing more than a framework to keep talking.

Real deals require Congress. Plus, people are underestimating how bad a 30% tariff on Chinese goods still is for US consumers and inflation.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
131216 posts
Posted on 5/12/25 at 12:04 pm to
The bragging about this weekend's "deal" reminds me of the anecdote about the boy who murdered his parents and then asked for mercy because he's an orphan...
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