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How much longer will the Energy Sector have legs?

Posted on 6/7/22 at 9:08 am
Posted by Salamander_Wilson
Member since Jul 2015
8267 posts
Posted on 6/7/22 at 9:08 am
My positions in CVX, XOM, OXY etc have more than doubled since my purchases in March of 2020.

I cut losses on some terrible speculative tech plays earlier this year and so have a good bit of capital losses to offset.

I'm tempted to sell my oil stocks now while they are way in the green, which would more than settle my balance sheet.

What's the MT opinion on how much longer Energy stocks will run?
Posted by Triple Bogey
19th Green
Member since May 2017
6572 posts
Posted on 6/7/22 at 9:14 am to
quote:

I'm tempted to sell my oil stocks now while they are way in the green, which would more than settle my balance sheet.


It's hard to sell the only thing in my portfolio that's been working. Long XOM, XLE, OKE, EPD, and PAA.

I think oil keeps running through the end of the summer, then sell some oil and switch to nat gas for the winter. Analyst saying NG could hit $20 next year.
Posted by oneg8rh8r
Port Ludlow, WA
Member since Dec 2003
2940 posts
Posted on 6/7/22 at 9:16 am to
I have FCG and DVN, and both have run up very well.
This post was edited on 6/7/22 at 9:23 am
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
3499 posts
Posted on 6/7/22 at 9:24 am to
Having gotten into midstream 4/20, with distributions just now getting back in the ballpark, I don't see a near term exit.
Posted by Salamander_Wilson
Member since Jul 2015
8267 posts
Posted on 6/7/22 at 9:25 am to
quote:

It's hard to sell the only thing in my portfolio that's been working


Truth

I'm having PTSD from not selling Boeing, Airline & Cruise stocks in Fall of 2021 when they were double what they are now.
Posted by DTRooster
Belle River, La
Member since Dec 2013
8893 posts
Posted on 6/7/22 at 10:03 am to
Refiners are printing presses right now and will continue to be because worldwide capacity is nowhere close to what’s needed with all the complex closures. VLO is my largest single holding and I’m not selling anytime soon.
Posted by JimMorrison
The Peninsula
Member since May 2012
20747 posts
Posted on 6/7/22 at 11:38 am to
It's a good idea to start taking profits for the simple reason that these oil prices are not sustainable.

You're selling at all time high. Take a win and have patience to reenter when the prices reverse.
Posted by TDFreak
Coast to Coast - L.A. to Chicago
Member since Dec 2009
9006 posts
Posted on 6/7/22 at 8:44 pm to
I’m up big on PVL. Think I need to trim my position.

Saudis can screw us with a bat of the eye.
Posted by Turf Taint
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2021
6010 posts
Posted on 6/7/22 at 9:15 pm to
How do taxes (short term and long term gains) factor in to your buy / sell strategy of individual stocks?



Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
31825 posts
Posted on 6/7/22 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

I'm having PTSD from not selling Boeing, Airline & Cruise stocks in Fall of 2021


I bought SE from $80 to $320 and back down to the $70 it’s at now. I’m sick about it.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57986 posts
Posted on 6/7/22 at 9:54 pm to
XOM, PBT, DNN (uranium mining), WLL, AR, FRO (which is oil shipping) are all rocking.

Fuel is fairly inelastic and right now we're really testing that. People need gasoline to get back and forth between work and home and freight runs on diesel. Price is going to have to get high enough (and be there long enough) to curb demand significantly before we see oil begin to drop.

I think once the national average is above $5.00 for a few weeks, we will finally start to see habits change but I don't know when it will be enough to impact price.

With that said, I think there's still some growth left for another month or two as we're a stubborn, mobile society and there's no way on God's green earth that Joe Biden is going to turn back from his disastrous green energy theology.
Posted by MizzouFan13
Member since Mar 2020
517 posts
Posted on 6/8/22 at 7:55 am to
Turn drip off on those positions, hold them for a while and use dividend cash flow to start/bolster up other positions that are down right now. I dont see energy falling unless there is a rotation in the market. Which you would of capitalized on with building up of other positions.
Posted by Samso
nyc
Member since Jun 2013
5036 posts
Posted on 6/8/22 at 7:57 am to
This isn’t ending anytime soon

This post was edited on 6/8/22 at 7:58 am
Posted by LSUSLU106
Member since Mar 2015
696 posts
Posted on 6/8/22 at 8:15 am to
Gas prices are here to stay its all intentional...ESG!
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40012 posts
Posted on 6/8/22 at 8:25 am to
Woah. I inherited Exxon stock in 1992from a great aunt and hadn’t looked at it in a hot minute. Wowzers.
Posted by MizzouFan13
Member since Mar 2020
517 posts
Posted on 6/8/22 at 9:06 am to
hopefully DRIP was on, cause you should be straight chillin then.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
25212 posts
Posted on 6/8/22 at 9:57 am to
If I had any oil stocks, I'd take profit now. I think there is a big political component going on with the anti-oil, climate change, bureaucratic ideologues impeding domestic production in every way they can. It is certainly not the only thing, but bear in mind we were energy independent two years ago and gas was $2 a gallon.

After the mid-terms, the atmosphere will change and the impediments will be put in the public stocks. That will restore some of oil production's confidence.

This post was edited on 6/8/22 at 9:59 am
Posted by DTRooster
Belle River, La
Member since Dec 2013
8893 posts
Posted on 6/8/22 at 10:22 am to
None of the reasons you listed scream sell, now. They scream, pay attention
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16056 posts
Posted on 6/8/22 at 10:29 am to
The more our government squeezes the oil and gas industry, the higher the price will go
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52951 posts
Posted on 6/8/22 at 11:28 am to
quote:

Analyst saying NG could hit $20 next year.


Theres too much easily tapped for this to happen IMO
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