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Started By
Message
GDP up 4.1%; why is Dow dropping 30 points?
Posted on 7/27/18 at 11:09 am
Posted on 7/27/18 at 11:09 am
Best GDP number in 45 months.
The Dow should be up >250 points
The Dow should be up >250 points
9
Posted on 7/27/18 at 11:15 am to matthew25
quote:The nice bump in GDP has been predicted and expected for weeks. The stock market already baked in the growth number long before today.
GDP up 4.1%; why is Dow dropping 30 points?
Best GDP number in 45 months.
The Dow should be up >250 points
"Buy on the rumor. Sell on the news."
Posted on 7/27/18 at 11:40 am to LSURussian
quote:
The stock market already baked in the growth number long before today.
Also, the DOW isn't a perfect 1:1 correlation with market performance so that throws some volatility from calculation + equity inclusion as well
Posted on 7/27/18 at 11:42 am to matthew25
Have you seen our debt to income ratio?
It ain’t good
It ain’t good
Posted on 7/27/18 at 11:47 am to LSURussian
quote:
The nice bump in GDP has been predicted and expected for weeks. The stock market already baked in the growth number long before today.
This. The GDP numbers are just the official announcement of what people already knew.
Plus this likely means an interest rate hike is coming.
Posted on 7/27/18 at 3:12 pm to matthew25
quote:
Best GDP number in 45 months.
Did it surprise you? Did it surprise anyone?
Posted on 7/27/18 at 4:13 pm to GenesChin
Our interest servicing cost as a % of GDP is actually very good
Yeah, but isn't that because of the Quant Easing keeping rates artificially low? What happens in 5 years when rates are back up and we are still spending the way we are? I am not familiar with the metric at all, so please forgive my ignorance.
Yeah, but isn't that because of the Quant Easing keeping rates artificially low? What happens in 5 years when rates are back up and we are still spending the way we are? I am not familiar with the metric at all, so please forgive my ignorance.
Posted on 7/27/18 at 7:36 pm to matthew25
quote:After you got the identical responses on this board as you did on the PoliBoard, did you learn something?
matthew25
Posted on 7/27/18 at 8:14 pm to matthew25
isnt the actual answer shitty revenue outlook from social media companies due to pretending to spy less on people?
Posted on 7/27/18 at 10:55 pm to matthew25
The 4.1% was dead in line with Wall Street consensus. The market had already priced this in, as evidenced by the rally leading into it.
Posted on 7/27/18 at 11:01 pm to matthew25
Because this information was expected and was already baked in to the price.
Posted on 7/28/18 at 11:13 am to matthew25
Intel killed the market on Friday.
Posted on 7/28/18 at 11:40 am to matthew25
quote:
Best GDP number in 45 months.
The Dow should be up >250 points
Good Trumpkin. Now roll over!
Posted on 7/28/18 at 11:52 am to geauxpurple
If it was already baked in and was as expected, then it implies that there should not have been any price movement as the market would already have the securities accurately priced...
Posted on 7/28/18 at 12:28 pm to lynxcat
quote:
If it was already baked in and was as expected, then it implies that there should not have been any price movement as the market would already have the securities accurately priced...
The Dow tracks 30 companies. That's it. Why people act like it's some magic shorthand to tracking the entire economy is beyond me.
LINK /
Some of those companies go up on a given day; some of those companies go down. Some of that movement is due to the economy at large; some of that movement is due to discrete issues pertaining to the companies in question in the singular.
Posted on 7/28/18 at 12:35 pm to Joshjrn
quote:
The Dow tracks 30 companies. That's it. Why people act like it's some magic shorthand to tracking the entire economy is beyond me.
Right
What's the best way to track overall market performance?
Is the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF a pretty reliable tool?
Posted on 7/28/18 at 12:43 pm to Powerman
quote:
Right
What's the best way to track overall market performance?
Is the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF a pretty reliable tool?
To track overall domestic market performance? Absolutely. But VTI is still not a reliable tool for the economy at large, in my opinion.
Posted on 7/28/18 at 12:45 pm to Powerman
quote:Quite.
What's the best way to track overall market performance?
Is the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF a pretty reliable tool?
Or the S&P.
Posted on 7/28/18 at 2:26 pm to Joshjrn
quote:I’m not following you. Why would any fund made up of stocks, follow the broader economy? And why would we want it follow anything but the market the ETF is investing in, especially since that market grows much faster than the broader economy?
To track overall domestic market performance? Absolutely. But VTI is still not a reliable tool for the economy at large, in my opinion.
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