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Exxon

Posted on 10/27/22 at 9:46 pm
Posted by beachdude
FL
Member since Nov 2008
6305 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 9:46 pm
If you have a good position in XOM (1000+ shares acquired 20+ years ago), would you sell half your shares right now at today’s market price?
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20548 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 9:48 pm to
Have you been reinvesting your dividends?
Posted by beachdude
FL
Member since Nov 2008
6305 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 10:03 pm to
No. Spend them to supplement travel and leisure expenditures.
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
2916 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 10:53 pm to
If it's a sizeable portion of my portfolio, I'd rebalance. Too much risk consolidated in one position. I'd rather an index fund. I only dabble in individual stocks (less than 4% of my total portfolio and no one stock is even 1%.)

Do you have confidence that XOM is going to outperform the market after this recent run?

Why did you keep it all through all these years of getting beat by the S&P500 consistently? Has something changed that you hypothesize will garner consistent market beating returns moving forward? If not, sell if not all at once over time scale back your position.
Posted by tigermeat
Member since Jan 2005
3305 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 11:20 pm to
I’ve got over 2000 shares of XOM accumulated over 30+ yrs and I’m holding. I don’t trade stocks, I buy and hold for the long haul, have done so forever. Complete novice. No grand strategy involved, just buy what I can afford, hold, and forget about them. It works for me (yes, it’s boring ). I’ve held firm thru some tough times with this stock, but with retirement in under 10 years the $7000 annual dividend is nice, so I’m holding. I’m in a good situation. We own our house and car, no notes, no children, and have no debt. Briefly considered selling off a few times in the past to buy property out west, but not ready to pull the trigger. It’s very tempting now, very, but I’ll hold.



But don’t listen to me. Hell, I’ll probably die with all my stocks sitting in my portfolio.
This post was edited on 10/28/22 at 12:06 am
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
16565 posts
Posted on 10/27/22 at 11:24 pm to
This subject came up today in a conversation I had with a financial advisor. He thinks I am overweighted in Exxon and Chevron should pair down my positions. My answer was "You started telling me that when those stocks were a lot lower than they are now". I am staying put. I don't want to sell stocks in a bear market, although it is certainly not a bear market for those stocks. Besides, I like the dividends.
This post was edited on 10/27/22 at 11:40 pm
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 12:04 am to
quote:

would you sell half your shares right now at today’s market price?


As Torch mentioned, it has a lot to do with what percentage of your portfolio that position is. Other factors might be your financial needs, risk tolerance, etc.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15809 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 5:40 am to
I'm jealous of all you guys that bought 20 plus years ago. Can only imagine the bargain prices back then compared to the last 5 or 6 years i wouldnt sell. Can still see XOM and CVX holding up well for the next few years especially with Russia/ukraine conflict continuing.
This post was edited on 10/28/22 at 5:43 am
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
28164 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 6:01 am to
There have been lots of buying opportunities in oil and gas the past 3 years. The commodity is very cyclical and takes 3-5 years to balance supply/demand. Obviously you can buy and hold but I’d probably pair back trades heading into 2024. Supplies should start to ease and oil typically gets over produced when the swing occurs.
Posted by jimjackandjose
Member since Jun 2011
6672 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 6:52 am to
Oil likely sees over 110 per barrel again after elections. And winter fuel situations should keep the stocks earnings pumped.

If it sees a dump after dividend. Might be a good buying opportunity.
Posted by LSUGUMBO
Shreveport, LA
Member since Sep 2005
9502 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 8:01 am to
quote:

I'm jealous of all you guys that bought 20 plus years ago


Fun story- my grandfather retired from Exxon in 1968 with 200 shares of stock. Never purchased another share after that, and did not reinvest his dividends. When he died in 2005, he passed on 6400 shares to his four daughters.

Mom uses her dividends to travel, too.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
53099 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 8:15 am to
Kind of in the same boat. I inherited a bunch of XOM and already had a decent position in CVX. I'm holding for now.
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
58492 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 8:21 am to
Dang bruh

I feel like this is gonna be me if I don’t get married soon

Just me and my Exxon stock and never got up the courage to leave Louisiana

At least I won’t die holding stocks since the democrats will take those
Posted by PlanoPrivateer
Frisco, TX
Member since Jan 2004
2929 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 8:31 am to
I had some trailing stop loss orders fill this summer when XOM got over $100 and retreated a little. Don't regret taking that nice profit.

To answer the OP's question - yes, I would sell some and look to repurchase on a big dip. But that's just me.
Posted by STLhog
Dallas, TX
Member since Jan 2015
18836 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 8:32 am to
won’t have to take them. They’ll just make them worth nothing.
Posted by Ford Frenzy
337 posts
Member since Aug 2010
6878 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 9:17 am to
quote:

Why did you keep it all through all these years of getting beat by the S&P500 consistently? Has something changed that you hypothesize will garner consistent market beating returns moving forward? If not, sell if not all at once over time scale back your position.
over the last 20 years is it really being out performed by the S & P 500 if you factor in dividends? I know simply looking at price it has but that's not factoring in the yields
Posted by LSUtigerME
Walker, LA
Member since Oct 2012
3933 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 9:26 am to
As an O&G worker, I’d absolutely sell some of my shares.

XOM has been nearly flat (overall) for the last 15 years. It was in the 80s back in 2007-2008. The only major benefit over those years has been the dedication to the dividend. Even through COVID, they remained more dedicated to the dividend than their own employees.

Sell some of the XOM shares that are high, and buy something else in another sector that is low.
Posted by WallsAllAroundMe
Member since Jan 2016
1065 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 9:44 am to
quote:

I'm jealous of all you guys that bought 20 plus years ago. Can only imagine the bargain prices back then compared to the last 5 or 6 years


in the ealry 2000's, my cousin just got into the Exxon DRIP program. He tried talking me into it and I never did it. I was still in College and just got burned with the 2000 bubble. I was still new to investing and scared.
But, Fast forward to 2020, Exxon drops below $40, I spent my Roth IRA limit on EXXON at $38. Went up to the low $40s and then back into the $30's...I began to sell other positions to buy more Exxon. $35, more. $34....more... $33...more. Now, I will say it is pretty much around half of my portfolio at least. I love the over 8% dividend I am getting from them with my original stock purchase as well...and the little bump in dividend today will only make that better.

Granted, I missed out on a lot of others over the years. My brother in law years ago tried to get me into Netflix. I thought to myself, DVD's in the mail? Nah. Streaming. what's that? No one will do that..
by the time I saw the power of streaming, it was too late. Not trying to brag about XOM, just happy one of my gambles is turning out pretty good.
This post was edited on 10/28/22 at 9:45 am
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
32740 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 9:51 am to
I want nothing to do with Exxon. The administration is targeting gas prices and oil industry in general. We know oil is going to move into a contracting industry, it’s already there. And Exxon is behind on competing in other energy paths. Add in that employees are jumping ship left and right from HQ and the big Houston office. I see a new post daily on LinkedIn of someone from XOM posing in front of the cube building and talking about them leaving Exxon for Amazon or Google or another tech company. The CEO got blasted by saying they wouldn’t compete with tech companies for employees just last week too
Posted by tigermeat
Member since Jan 2005
3305 posts
Posted on 10/28/22 at 11:46 am to
quote:

Dang bruh I feel like this is gonna be me if I don’t get married soon Just me and my Exxon stock and never got up the courage to leave Louisiana At least I won’t die holding stocks since the democrats will take those


Lol. No, I won’t get caught holding, was being cheeky. Take the plunge and move around. It’s been a great life. I’ve lived in Wyoming, Colorado, and California in the past but always found my way back to good old La. and a great family I love. But who knows what the future holds.
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