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re: Diving deeper on Standard Lithium?

Posted on 5/13/22 at 9:54 am to
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
2912 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 9:54 am to
The wild price swings go with the territory of SLI being post up list/ pre maturity. The shorts have been having a field day with their fud. There wouldn't be any of those in this thread though. I was surprised to find that I have a few short term shares left. Holding for the end zone.
Posted by ThermoDynamicTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
1354 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:25 am to
I've actually seen a bunch of PR this month on LinkedIn. Nothing significant, but doing lots of curious things.
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
56894 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:40 am to
Jim carnicelli is on Sli StockTwits now
Posted by Hussss
Helena, AL
Member since Oct 2016
7482 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 10:41 am to
Sup Cowboy?!?
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
56894 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 11:13 am to
Bruh I’m like dead

Stupid Whsi and Sli crashed

Still no fema camp
Posted by jamiegla1
Member since Aug 2016
7579 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 11:20 am to
wouldnt be surprised to Mintak judging the 4H Club milk tasting contest next month
Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3540 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 11:49 am to
Freaking...I really wish I listened to my own damn advice. I said this back in January:

quote:

I only sold ~10%. This one may get back down to $4 worst case but I really don't see much lower, it's hard to value this company even pre-revenue at anything less than that. They've got freaking $100 million cash on hand. Put a low-tier mining multiple on that and it's worth $4/share, without considering their actual business model. I have the itch to sell so bad, I'm not gonna lie, this market is scary and who knows what a major correction will bring. But this is a long term hold and an EASY $1 billion target valuation. Gonna just painfully ride this downturn and not try to time it.

If you're feeling froggy, and if I were playing paper money, I think the best play is to sell now and buy back in mid Q2. But I'm not gonna gamble that much with it. Just gonna do my best not to watch it too closely and avoid playing the 'what if' game.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20063 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 11:55 am to
3 different time I told myself to take profits over the past years. I ended up buying another 1k shares instead. I am almost forced to average down if this gets low enough. We hits 2s I may have yo but heavy.
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
56894 posts
Posted on 5/13/22 at 1:49 pm to
Idk man it better not hit 2
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
23126 posts
Posted on 5/14/22 at 10:05 am to
I suspect that we will get maybe three highly significant catalysts. Maybe a final assessment followed by a concrete start of construction and then the first actual production.

There could be lots of wild cards thrown in like an Elon Musk email simply saying SLI is exciting technology.
Posted by jamiegla1
Member since Aug 2016
7579 posts
Posted on 5/14/22 at 11:14 am to
quote:

Elon Musk email simply saying SLI is exciting technology

I'll sell every bit of mine the minute this happens
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4808 posts
Posted on 5/14/22 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

I'll sell every bit of mine the minute this happens


I dunno, following the latest SLI trends, the stock would probably plummet that day lol
Posted by CharleyLake
Member since Oct 2006
1405 posts
Posted on 5/15/22 at 6:14 am to
But the day after it could plummet back to the top.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
23126 posts
Posted on 5/16/22 at 5:39 pm to
Assuming no wild cards, what might the SLI stock price go to when main construction starts? What might it go to when production begins?
Posted by Ballstein32
Member since May 2020
397 posts
Posted on 5/17/22 at 12:42 am to
My guess a steady 8-9 when construction starts. Once production happens it'll start rising until....who knows. I bet a steady climb into the teens and if they can ramp production up even more with all of their assets (AR/CA) then 20+ is reasonable.

If they can corner the market (I feel like I remember people talking about a patent, did that ever happen) then the sky is the limit.

Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 5/17/22 at 12:54 am to
quote:

Assuming no wild cards, what might the SLI stock price go to IF main construction starts?


FIFY
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
2912 posts
Posted on 5/17/22 at 7:29 am to
Three Fify



Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
23126 posts
Posted on 5/17/22 at 9:50 am to
quote:

quote:
Assuming no wild cards, what might the SLI stock price go to IF main construction starts?


FIFY


I hope Koch's industries help avoid supply chain delays.
Posted by Pendulum
Member since Jan 2009
7603 posts
Posted on 5/17/22 at 11:03 am to
No way it's that low "when construction starts". If they get all the way to constructing the plant with lanxess, we are at a minimum of 12. I'd say a minimum of 2 bil mktcap would be fair based on capex which is fkn massive for first plant and future production. If I rmember correctly they needed almost 1 billion capex to get going.

There's so many things that will come before they actually start construction. So many shoots to zero have to be hurdled. Considering the current price is 6 right now after a steep selloff, if they get to actually constructing this production plant with lanxess and we are only at 8 or 9. That would be a massive fkn failure and we would all be dumb to be holding onto this with the current risk outlook.

I'd still say it's less than 50% chance this gets to past that point, which is why the company has a 900 million mkt cap when they are touting two projects with 2bil+ returns. I don't see anyone else with DLE that's more of a sure thing. Probably going to need massive government subsidies to make this happen, which is still very much in play.

This is the speculative small cap world; 3x from here in 2 yrs is possible, also -1x.


Last month, I've added like 200 shares to my stack now. At roughly 5.5k shares.
Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3540 posts
Posted on 5/17/22 at 12:26 pm to
Capex to start up phase 1 and get production going is on the order of a quarter billion. That’s the first thing we’ll hit.
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