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re: Diving deeper on Standard Lithium?

Posted on 10/27/21 at 5:43 pm to
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 5:43 pm to
He’s a 30 year old boomer. He inherited it all from the last generation of boomers
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28961 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 5:54 pm to
quote:

I’m curious if anyone would be interested in a separate thread about lithium battery development and manufacturing stocks. Lithium is just one part of the battery.

I did a little digging last night and found a couple traded companies but the big player is still private. Might be something to keep an eye on in the coming years.

If there’s interest, I’ll start one with what I’ve found so far.


Bromine. Look no further than LNXSF. Half of the world's bromine comes from south Arkansas and they're set to ramp that up. Not to mention theirs is high quality. It's a flame retardant. Lanxess produces plastic battery housings for EV's. Bromine is also used in wiring cables and to insulate circuit boards. Not to mention their are zinc/bromine batteries and bromine flow batteries that could be an alternative to lithium.

Best place in the world to get it? Lanxess from the south Arkansas brine SLI will be extracting from. Check Lanxess's site for details. Stock is undervalued currently IMO. Lanxess is one company I plan on divesting SLI profits into and already hold a fair amount.

ETA-not to mention the brine has significant amounts of magnesium and some cobalt (not sure if enough warrant extraction). Vanadium is also produced here in Arkansas in Hot Springs by US Vanadium.
This post was edited on 10/27/21 at 6:01 pm
Posted by TigerDoug
Lees Summit
Member since Mar 2017
732 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 6:17 pm to
My spidey senses thought something was up on my post on the 22nd. This is looking real good ??.
Posted by SouthMSReb
Member since Dec 2013
4612 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 7:06 pm to
I’ve gotten at least 7 people to get into SLI in the past 2 weeks. You guys made a believer out of me and now I’m passing on the knowledge.

I doubt any of them bought more than $5,000 but always nice to have some more investors rather than traders.
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
56840 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 7:19 pm to
quote:



I think he has about 38k shares

40900
Posted by jerryc436
Franklin
Member since Jan 2014
538 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 7:38 pm to
Took a look at LNXSF and noticed it did not trade today. Any clue as to why?
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 7:42 pm to
Lanxess looks flat overall. Is it just under the radar?
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28961 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

Lanxess looks flat overall. Is it just under the radar?


Covid hasn't been great for them and they've been streamlining and optimizing operations. With their position in the EV battery casing market they stand to profit handsomely from the boom. Bromine used in insulation for circuit boards and wiring cable. Fire retardant for carpet and upholstery. Used in manufacturing of tires as well. I look for them to become the world's leading bromine producer over the next 5-10 years. They are incorporating AI to minimize staffing and increase efficiency and adding carbon capture with the SLI project. They will be the lowest cost, greenest bromine producer + 60-70% of revenue from JV with SLI. If it's true that the brine will be "clean" once they are done with it, that will save them a ton of money. Spill now has to be treated as HAZMAT.
Posted by Ballstein32
Member since May 2020
397 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 10:35 pm to
One of the things, Smack, you and others have mentioned is showing revenue. From reading this, it sounds like they are producing and selling lithium.

"For the recent quarter, Standard Lithium Ltd.’s quick ratio was 20.50, while its current ratio was 20.50, indicating its ability to pay off its debt. The company’s long-term debt to equity ratio for the recent quarter is 0.06, and the total debt to equity ratio is 0.06. Based on annual data, it had gross profit of $66.73 million and revenue of $199.86 million."


Am I reading this article correctly, the are producingand selling lithium?

LINK /


I'm guessing this is a great thing. But I still wish we knew who they were selling it to, and how much they are actually producing.

I still can't find anything from Standard to give an idea of where the lithium is going....I'm guessing Lanxess but it'd be nice if they were sending samples to battery makers and, oh I don't know, Ford/GM/Tesla/Volkswagen etc


ETA...unless I've missed it this is the first time I've seen anything written that says they have revenue
This post was edited on 10/27/21 at 10:36 pm
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28961 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 10:52 pm to
They're not selling it at commercial levels. Lanxess may be buying it at the industrial levels they can produce with the demo plant. The demo plant was said to be able to produce 150-250 tons/yr in initial PR's. Now they have been able to get extraction time down from 72 hours to less than 7 so, they might can produce more. I'm not getting my hopes up anymore for revenue, but maybe there's something concrete in there to prove to public that they are producing lithium.
Posted by Ballstein32
Member since May 2020
397 posts
Posted on 10/27/21 at 11:08 pm to
Yeah, I didn't mean they were producing a boatload of it yet. We all know that's gonna take time.

I guess what I was trying to say is that this is the first time I've seen any reports of any type of revenue so someone is buying what they can produce at this moment. And to me, that sounds promising for the future once they can ramp everything up to commercial levels.

But I would like to know who's buying it and stuff like that.
Posted by bet84
Texas
Member since Jul 2021
103 posts
Posted on 10/28/21 at 6:50 am to
I don't believe the 3rd quarter 2021 financial reports have been released and the June 30, 2021 audited financials report -0- revenue.

The Earnings Surprise section of the article doesn't match up to what was reported on the audited financials. For example, how could revenues rise 5.7% to $52 million when there was -0- revenue for 6/30/21? and the equity owned by shareholders looks out of whack.

I don't even understand the title of the article. What price is the title referring to? It couldn't be the stock price. It looks like the article may have some accuracy issues.



Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
11901 posts
Posted on 10/28/21 at 7:14 am to
That article is one of those computer generated articles that are becoming way too common.

In this case it’s a drunk computer because the data is using seems to have nothing to do with SLI. There is no revenue or EBITDA or any ability to deal with a quick ratio.

As Max said they are engaged in lithium producing activities at a demonstration level. It is an open question whether such lithium is being sold which will lead to minor revenue amounts or have such lithium is really just being used provided without sale For the demonstration purposes alone. The volume is se minimus either way.

I know we would like to see revenue some form of proof of concept - But I think the JV will fulfill that more than any residual revenue at this stage
Posted by CecilShortsHisPants
One Foty Fo uh uh Magnolia Screet
Member since Oct 2012
3374 posts
Posted on 10/28/21 at 7:16 am to
quote:

SLI did today compared to the rest of the lithium sector. SLI +1.5%, ALB -1.9%, LAC -3.8%, LLKKF -9.3%, SGML -1.3%.


Ah, the lone green lithium stock. How ironic?
Posted by Ballstein32
Member since May 2020
397 posts
Posted on 10/28/21 at 7:56 am to
Gotcha. Thanks for the clarification. That's annoying and misleading on that websites part.
Posted by Dock Holiday
Member since Sep 2015
1746 posts
Posted on 10/28/21 at 8:19 am to
OK, this is not directed at you Smack, but for anyone with details of the company, you included. There are many reading this thread that have not followed along (understandably) for 400+ pages.

What fundamentals need to be hit for this stock to reach the $55 range, which corelates to approx a $8B MC?
Short of a meme push or a Elon tweet, what can get the company there in the next 3-5 years?

To me there needs to be additional infrastructure investments beyond Tetra and Lanxess brine and additional uptick in lithium prices beyond the $13K-$14K/ton.
There also needs to be contract agreements with major users of their product(s).

What others?

Whould the above get them there?
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
56840 posts
Posted on 10/28/21 at 8:20 am to
Cmon man don’t bring math into this
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28961 posts
Posted on 10/28/21 at 8:40 am to
quote:

What fundamentals need to be hit for this stock to reach the $55 range, which corelates to approx a $8B MC?
S

When people realize that they plan on producing 70,000-100k tons/year at Lanxess alone, and conservatively 30k tons at Tetra. But first the JV. They may plan on only 20k initially but rapidly ramp up as they optimize production and lithium prices rise. Hopefully, the revenue generated will be more than enough to cover the phased in expansion of each site. Details of other south Arkansas project and/or PEA on Mojave project could certainly help. Mojave will be more expensive to produce and extract just due to lower lithium concentrations and it's a different animal than the south Arkansas brine. I think that would be much later unless Cali and Fed gov give them some insane tax credits/breaks for making the geothermal units at least cost neutral if not profitable. And if they do end up producing clean water as a by product, it's waaaaay better. Could turn that desert into an oasis.
Would be large to get 60/40 split v. 70/30.

They have buyers ready for their product. Pricing is still a hold up. They are unique in the fact that they will be truly green and high purity. With tax breaks for domestic producers of REE's and their buyers proposed by Trump, this could be huge as well. Not sure if they ever got fully implemented/passed. Can't see Biden and the Dem's not giving in to GREEN. That's the whole point of all this bullshite.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13877 posts
Posted on 10/28/21 at 8:49 am to
quote:

What others?


-Lithium prices continuing to rise (like >$30K/ton for carbonate and hydroxide)
- Patent approval on their DLE process (which would probably exclude any other DLE process in the Smackover)
- Licensing deals with other players (Albemarle?)
- Application of their technology to other processes/materials (carbon credits, magnesium, being able to put potable water back in the aquifer, etc.)

I'm not so sure some offtake agreement with an auto maker makes the most sense, especially if the price is locked in. Why cut yourself off on further lithium price increases? Makes for a nice PR and short term bump from meme traders, but conceivably might not be in the best long term interest of the company. It's not like they are going to have trouble finding a buyer for the lithium...
This post was edited on 10/28/21 at 8:51 am
Posted by Rebel80
Member since Sep 2016
261 posts
Posted on 10/28/21 at 9:19 am to
F it . Just bought more
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