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Why is LSU only a 2.5 favorite over Arkansas?

Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:04 am
Posted by Tyghas
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2004
1018 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:04 am
Trap game?
Posted by NorthshoreTiger76
Pelicans, Saints, & LSU Fan
Member since May 2009
80166 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:05 am to
Why was Bama a 13.5 favorite?
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98636 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:05 am to
Not so much that, as much a confluence of a letdown after that amazing Bama game and Arky playing for its life after losing to Liberty.
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
53748 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:06 am to
Letdown spot for sure and LSU's point spread value in the Vegas algorithms hasn't quite caught up. Maybe it's a trap spot but anyone in betting knows to hammer the teams who's playing above their point spread value.

Right now, LSU is probably playing like a top 5 team with the point spread value of a top 15 team.
Posted by tigerbait3488
River Ridge
Member since Dec 2007
10450 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:07 am to
That is a dangerous spot for us to be in as the previous poster said. Major letdown worry in addition to 30 degree weather to a team that lost to Liberty.
Posted by Tigah
Geaux Tigers
Member since Dec 2003
1867 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:07 am to
We’ll probably win by 4 TD’s, but I’m too scared to wager on this game. How well did JD5 play in the cold when he was at ASU?
Posted by dstone12
Texan
Member since Jan 2007
30128 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:08 am to
Late overtime game combined with an early kickoff in Arkansas.

However, I am happy that if we kickoff at 11am (really like 10 am after daylight savings) thst it’s an away game.

Early kick benefits the away team.


However, there’s still a lot of hangover from beating Alabama last week.
Posted by justsaygeaux2
Member since Feb 2017
2210 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:09 am to
Get yer bets in now. It won't be 2.5 for very long...
Posted by LSUfan4444
Member since Mar 2004
53748 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:10 am to
quote:

Why was Bama a 13.5 favorite?


Bama always gets a ton of the public money and even at 13.5 most of public money and most of the actual bets were still on Alabama.

Posted by Methuselah
On da Riva
Member since Jan 2005
23350 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:10 am to
Here is one discussion about it:

Discussion of LSU/Ark betting line

I think there are a couple of other threads buried on subsequent pages.
Posted by Arena30
Youngsville
Member since Jul 2015
768 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:11 am to
A cold 11am start
Posted by GeauxHouston
Houston,TX
Member since Nov 2013
4373 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:12 am to
Huge trap game.
Arky has some talent and can still be tough. Have a solid QB that can run and is physical. Plus the possible letdown from an extremely emotional win… but I trust in BK to have the boys ready to roll! Lets lock up ATLANTA!
Posted by TheDeathValley
New Orleans, LA
Member since Sep 2010
17152 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:19 am to
It is a cold morning game in Arkansas after a big emotional win
Posted by jkylejohnson
Alexandria
Member since Dec 2016
13998 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:20 am to
We will get Arkansas’ best shot. Morning road game. Most always a tight game. I like the Tigers to win but am not expecting a cakewalk.
Posted by Htownbayubengal
Houston
Member since Oct 2022
1406 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:42 am to
quote:

anyone in betting knows to hammer


So easy money right?

Not saying LSU won't cover, and if they show up with emotion and play well, they will. I've always hated the "too good to be true spreads". I can see me loading up and LSU is up by 9 late and gives up a seemingly irrelevant TD and extra point in the last seconds. LSU still wins the game...but
Posted by SOL2
Dallas burbs
Member since Jan 2020
4752 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:46 am to
Hogs are done. It will be cold and most of the fans will be in deer stands, not the tiny on campus stadium. We will win by 20 with mostly backups playing on both sides. Hogs are dinged up and sick.
Posted by lsutigerelizabeth
Houma
Member since May 2022
1304 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:53 am to
Forgot about deer hunting. That may very well play a part
Posted by Htownbayubengal
Houston
Member since Oct 2022
1406 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 7:54 am to
quote:

lsutigerelizabeth


LOL
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
57460 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:06 am to
Arkansas will play their best football all year Saturday
Posted by Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
6462 posts
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:09 am to
quote:

Arkansas will play their best football all year Saturday


Anyone who has followed LSU for long has seen this movie.

Shitting the bed vs Arkansas after both emotional wins and losses vs Bama. Both at home and away.

I expect a dogfight.

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