Want free money? LSU -3 against Arkansas this weekend

Vegas knows, taking Arkansas

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Vegas knows, taking Arkansas

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Did you also take Bama...since Vegas knows.

I hate when fans start overlooking teams. Classic trap game

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Did you also take Bama...since Vegas knows

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Vegas was essentially setting a line that public money would have to fall close to 50/50 since people don’t typically bet against Bama unless it’s a massive number.

Vegas is not in the business of predicting games, they’re in the business of making money by way of manipulating money by the lines they place.

LSU -3 is a classic sell high spot for sharps, buy high for squares, and Kelly needs to have these men off of cloud nine and surfaced starting tomorrow…

And I believe he will.

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I hate when fans start overlooking teams. Classic trap game

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When the fans start playing the games I will worry about it. I trust Kelly to make sure the team does not.

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Bama -13.5 to LSU LSU -2 to Ole Miss Off 15 points on Bama Off 23 points on Ole Miss

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Stupid point.

Vegas doesn’t predict things, they make money. They’ll put lines where they think they can get 50/50 money to collect the -110 standard line vig OR lay a shiny hook for the public.

The line for LSU vs Arkansas has already had RLM, but it’s the standard buy high by the public and sell high by the sharps.

Doesn’t mean it’s right or wrong, just means Vegas is doing their thing.

LSU should be a 7 point favorite in this game. They have moved the line too much toward Arkansas and the Pigs are extremely overvalued at home by about 4 points. It’s not a night game which is advantage for LSU. Perkins will be on KJ Jefferson. Their defense is terrible. Even if LSU comes out sluggish they’ll still be able to run the ball and complete easy throws off of what Daniels does. LSU will win this game by at least 4 even if it’s close and clinch the SEC West. I’m laying the 3 for my largest bet of the year. I already cashed big on the over 6.5. F Arkansas.

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Does a good bet or a bad bet validate or invalidate someone’s opinion? I’d say no.

Squares win sometimes, sharps win more.

This is going to be Kelly needing to get these guys back on schedule without consideration of yesterday. I believe he will, but I won’t touch this with a ten foot pole. We are gonna likely get punched in the mouth again, we have to respond well.

EDIT: the line is about right for anyone that has been gambling on sports for a hot minute

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Dude, I get it...you know gambling.

His comment wasn't getting into the intricacies of gambling - he made a joking (I assume) comment and I piggy-backed on it asking another question.

It's really not this serious.

Now, that being said...you seem really smart about it all and I would read other posts of yours that do go more in-depth.

11am game in 40 degree weather.