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re: Why is LSU only a 2.5 favorite over Arkansas?
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:11 am to Tyghas
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:11 am to Tyghas
Vegas has proven they have no idea how to predict LSU in SEC games this year. They have missed by at least two touchdowns several times.
MS St. -2.5 and they lost by 15.
TN -1.5 and they beat us by 23.
OM +2.5 and they lost by 25.
AL -13.5 and they lost by 1.
MS St. -2.5 and they lost by 15.
TN -1.5 and they beat us by 23.
OM +2.5 and they lost by 25.
AL -13.5 and they lost by 1.
This post was edited on 11/7/22 at 8:15 am
1
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:12 am to Tyghas
Hangover effect and history when playing there. The line will likely move if too many take LSU.
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:13 am to Tyghas
Arky’s entire existence is on the line Saturday.
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:13 am to go ta hell ole miss
It is all about getting even money on both sides. Nothing more.
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:37 am to Tiger985
quote:
Anyone who has followed LSU for long has seen this movie. Shitting the bed vs Arkansas after both emotional wins and losses vs Bama. Both at home and away. I expect a dogfight.
Yeah but for the first time since Saban left, we actually have a real coach.
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:39 am to Tyghas
quote:
Trap game?
we always play down to them and they always are up for us? road game? cold wx?
Posted on 11/7/22 at 8:39 am to Tyghas
40 degrees; road trip following very physical and emotional game; AR is still a decent team; AR always plays LSU tough; The Boot trophy aka Doug Planchard’s mantle piece
Posted on 11/7/22 at 10:59 am to Fightin Okra
I still put $10 on it last night. I got faith even though it may be a trap.
Posted on 11/7/22 at 11:00 am to Tyghas
Because they don't know deer season opens Saturday
Posted on 11/7/22 at 2:06 pm to mrcoon
quote:m
It is all about getting even money on both sides. Nothing more.
That is a comical myth. They are trying to extract the most money for the best value for their books. They often have overexposure on games and do not move lines to square them up. Also, under your scenario that have real risk of being muddled by sharps if they move lines just to try to square up lines. They are doing way more than trying to have equal action On both sides.
Posted on 11/7/22 at 2:15 pm to mrcoon
quote:
It is all about getting even money on both sides. Nothing more.
There’s more to it.
For example - over 80% of public money is on lsu and it still has not moved above a field goal and probably won’t.
Every week there are spreads that get 80+ % of public money . The lines don’t always simply move to find money.
Posted on 11/7/22 at 2:24 pm to NorthshoreTiger76
It's Alabama who LSU hadn't beaten at home since 2010. LSU just needs to concentrate on winning this game and not respond as they traditionally do with a hangover. Arkansas at that bad.
Posted on 11/7/22 at 2:28 pm to Tyghas
Maybe oddsmakers are expecting an LSU emotional letdown after that brutal game last weekend.
We know Brian Kelly is a great motivator. He and his coaches are good at making adjustments. So now we get to see if Brian Kelly can get the Tigahs up for a tough Arky team.
I love me some Tigah and SEC Football.
We know Brian Kelly is a great motivator. He and his coaches are good at making adjustments. So now we get to see if Brian Kelly can get the Tigahs up for a tough Arky team.
I love me some Tigah and SEC Football.
This post was edited on 11/8/22 at 2:23 pm
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