re: Who stays and who goes from 2025 baseball team

For transfer hitters coming into the SEC from mid-major or lower conferences and JUCOs there are at least three major factors they have to overcome to continue to hit for average and power.

Better pitching - more strikeouts
Better fielding - more hit balls are outs
Generally larger ballparks - fewer HRs

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.390 w/ a lot of K’s = extreme luck

.484 BABIP

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BABIP is not just an indication of luck, yes the spread will tell some of that story but not necessarily all.

Without seeing all the hits its impossible to really know how much of a "luck" factor is involved. How many were ground ball singles? How many were bloop singles? How many were poorly fielded balls but not errors? Etc...tough to understand the full picture without having that information. Delta between AVG and BABIP of about 90 points is a lot, but again, we're still talking about a guy who hit nearly 400.

If it was .300 with a .390 BABIP I'd be way more concerned. We're talking a guy who hit .390 with a .480 BABIP.

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Hernandez is a very poor comp. He did not have strikeout issues at Indiana state.

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The point was even despite him playing at a much lower level he came into the SEC and struckout at a LOWER rate than his last season at Indiana St. despite being moved to catcher as well.

Also the difference isnt THAT massive between them, 24% vs. 18% K rate at their last year at a mid-major. Yes there's certainly a difference there, Callowayd strikes out notably more, but he also hit .390 which again is pretty damn good. I would definitely hard pass on Calloway if the average was closer to .300 than .400.

It's pretty hard to hit near .400 and have so much luck you're really like a sub .300 hitter.

Teams don’t want to waste a draft pick and kids have an option to accepting what the team offers.

If the kid has no real option than to accept what is offered by the club, then the club is going to offer less as the kid has no choice but to accept.

Correct me if I am wrong, but the “slot” value is also something that can be “supplemented”. Meaning guy gets drafted in say 3rd round as a junior, that can go above the slot value to get him to sign if he’s a junior, but a senior they could actually go under that value and nothing can be done?

They can use the money they save on a senior and put the money on oversigning on a different player.

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Clearly CJJ saw something cause Mikey Ryan was clearly head and shoulders better on defense at 3b.

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And we obviously trust his judgement more than yours.

Yeah one could hit and the other couldn’t. Didn’t take a scout to see that