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re: Who stays and who goes from 2025 baseball team

Posted on 7/2/25 at 10:48 am to
Posted by ProjectP2294
West St. Louis County
Member since May 2007
78503 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 10:48 am to
quote:

We did just bring in three LHP so that might affect what some of the current LHP not named Kade do...


I think they're bringing in so many LHP in the portal for a couple reasons. I think they expect Ware to go pro. And there is a chance they get no LHP in the freshman class. One is a major draft risk and the other is rehabbing from TJ.
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
24206 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 11:05 am to
Wouldn’t Guidry be a redshirt junior next year?

He has 2 years left right?
Posted by mikejsjr0912
Member since Jun 2024
874 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 11:08 am to
Yes.
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
24206 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 11:23 am to
So he still have leverage next year. I don’t see him getting drafted this year coming off surgery
Posted by mikejsjr0912
Member since Jun 2024
874 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 11:34 am to
This will be his leverage year.
Posted by BatonrougeCajun
Somewhere in Texas
Member since Feb 2008
7591 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 11:35 am to
quote:

He struck out more than 30% of the time in the southland. I don't know what most people consider "good" at baseball. But we definitely already have better than that.


Exactly!!! Thank you!
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
72315 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 11:56 am to
quote:

He struck out more than 30% of the time in the southland. I don't know what most people consider "good" at baseball. But we definitely already have better than that.



He also almost hit .400, which shows he can probably hit. Not sure the obsession over K rate. If you can hit and still K a lot, who cares? Thats modern baseball anyways.

Hernandez struck out 50 times his last season at Indiana St and while catching here by comparison actually lowered his K rate and hit at a decent enough clip for a full time catcher.

It's not as easy to just assume someone with a higher k rate automatically wont translate to higher level, there's other factors involved. Guys hitting nearly .400 are probably better bets than just focusing on k rate.
This post was edited on 7/2/25 at 11:59 am
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
4686 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 11:58 am to
quote:

Not sure the obsession over K rate. If you can hit and still K a lot, who cares?


It's often a good indicator of the chance for success when moving up a level in the minors and from the minors to MLB. Might not apply in college, but it is something to consider.
Posted by Jim Hopper
Ocean Springs Mississippi
Member since Sep 2019
5170 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

He also almost hit .400, which shows he can probably hit. Not sure the obsession over K rate.
but can that translate over to facing SEC pitching though? Hernandez was like at 20% at Indiana state and the significant drop off of his batting average compared to Indiana state. Dickinson was like 17% It’s a solid question to be concerned at. I feel like most assumed that Simpson and Callaway are just expected to hit double digit HR next year in the SEC when we’ve seen that Is not the case for some of these guys from mid majors making the jump to the SEC.
This post was edited on 7/2/25 at 12:08 pm
Posted by ProjectP2294
West St. Louis County
Member since May 2007
78503 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Hernandez struck out 50 times his last season at Indiana St and while catching here by comparison actually lowered his K rate and hit at a decent enough clip for a full time catcher.


Hernandez struck out 17% of his PAs overall and only 11% against MVC competition, which is comparable but overall better than the Southland.

We also needed a catcher last offseason more than we need a relatively positionless bat that will take away plate appearances from younger guys with more upside this offseason.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290875 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 12:09 pm to
.390 w/ a lot of K’s = extreme luck

.484 BABIP

Strikeouts will always paint a more accurate picture vs batted ball luck

Hernandez is a very poor comp. He did not have strikeout issues at Indiana state.
Posted by SETH6180
TEXAS
Member since Feb 2020
1178 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 12:12 pm to
Jace Laviolette is going in the first round in a week, hitting .240 with a pretty hefty K rate. Wouldn't OPS be a better metric to judge by?
This post was edited on 7/2/25 at 12:13 pm
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
17363 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 12:12 pm to
The one I find most interesting is Shores.

He improved greatly as the season went on and he will be offered a lot because of his size and the velocity on his fastball. But if he comes back and has a great year in the starting rotation he can vault himself up to the very top of the draft like Skeens and Anderson did.

I would like to see him come back.
Posted by ProjectP2294
West St. Louis County
Member since May 2007
78503 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

Jace Laviolette is going in the first round in a week, hitting .240 with a pretty hefty K rate. Wouldn't OPS be a better metric to judge by?


Jace Laviolette was a 1/1 candidate at this time last year. His K Rate is what dropped his stock.
Posted by lsugradman
Member since Sep 2003
8970 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 12:23 pm to
im surprised Yamin didnt enter the portal yet. I just dont see him contributing here.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290875 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 12:36 pm to
Yamin I’m Guessing will be tried at OF and 1B
Posted by AkronTiger
2025 NFL Survivor Champion
Member since May 2021
2959 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 12:41 pm to
Edit: I'm obviously way off on the JUCO ruling
This post was edited on 7/2/25 at 12:51 pm
Posted by ProjectP2294
West St. Louis County
Member since May 2007
78503 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

as JUCO doesn't count


I hate Diego Pavia for generating more misinformation than any single player in college sports history.
Posted by AkronTiger
2025 NFL Survivor Champion
Member since May 2021
2959 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

I hate Diego Pavia for generating more misinformation than any single player in college sports history.





You're right, I was way off base there
Posted by ProjectP2294
West St. Louis County
Member since May 2007
78503 posts
Posted on 7/2/25 at 12:53 pm to
It's just one of those things where the headline was broadcast everywhere, and the clarification is almost nowhere to be found.
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