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re: Where Does LSU Land? - National Seed Wise
Posted on 5/21/23 at 5:37 pm to KamaCausey_LSU
Posted on 5/21/23 at 5:37 pm to KamaCausey_LSU
Something to think about is where will Tennessee land.
Will they host at 15 or 16 or be the 2 seed in those regionals? A dangerous team that could ruin the day for a top of the line super team.
Will they host at 15 or 16 or be the 2 seed in those regionals? A dangerous team that could ruin the day for a top of the line super team.
Posted on 5/21/23 at 6:05 pm to 3rdPart Tiger
Hoover will still play a factor we will not dip any lower than 4 but could move to 2
Posted on 5/21/23 at 6:55 pm to TepperDaGuru
If we get knocked out early of the SEC tourney then a 5 seed. If we win a game or two then we should be the 4th seed, maybe 3rd.
Posted on 5/21/23 at 7:10 pm to Tigersonfire
quote:
Doesn’t matter we lose out in Supers. Pitching injuries killed us. Period.
Your logic makes zero sense. We make it through a regional which takes 3 games to win, but lose in a super that only takes 2 to win because of lack of pitching depth?
Posted on 5/21/23 at 7:53 pm to LSUgrad88
quote:
But it’s premature to call it now before the SEC Tourney is over. So much can change.
Not at all.
Outside of the one-bid leagues, the conference tournaments in baseball (and basketball) are the most OVERRATED events in college sports. The selection committees have repeatedly shown they put no emphasis on them whatsoever.
Two years ago this board was apoplectic after LSU lost an “elimination” game to Georgia on the first day of the SECT. That loss didn’t matter at all. LSU made the NCAAT.
The same thing happened last year with Ole Miss. They were “on the bubble” and lost their opening game in the SECT. They have a National Championship banner to prove that loss didn’t matter.
The resumes of the multi-bid leagues are locked in. LSU could pitch their bullpen catcher on Wednesday and Mike the Tiger in Thursday, get run ruled in both games, and it would have zero impact.
Enjoy the SECT. But don’t sweat it
Posted on 5/21/23 at 9:33 pm to Tigersonfire
What happens if we go 2 and 'cue in the SEC Tourney? Particularly if the 2 losses are to Georgia and Aggy?
That could really turn off the selection committee and put LSU as low as 7 or 8.
That could really turn off the selection committee and put LSU as low as 7 or 8.
Posted on 5/21/23 at 9:39 pm to Honkus
Scared of this wake forest team? The oregon state team LSU beat twice in ‘17 had a better team
Posted on 5/21/23 at 9:39 pm to tarzana
The committee will not base your seed off of two games as opposed to the other 56.
Posted on 5/21/23 at 10:35 pm to Alt26
quote:
The selection committees have repeatedly shown they put no emphasis on them whatsoever.
While this is generally true, making a deep run in the SEC tournament most definitely benefited Florida’s seeding last season. As close as the top SEC teams are in the RPI, I would not discount the impact the tourney might have on relative placement for the top 4.
Posted on 5/21/23 at 11:17 pm to Honkus
quote:unless...
4 seed sets us up to face Wake with Floyd in marbles game of the CWS
You pitch Skenes 2nd.
He will in the regional.
Keep the pattern in Omaha, and you can get Floyd in a winnable matchup game 1, and then Skenes against Wake. You then are in the driver's seat; Wake burns their starters getting out of the loser's bracket and it becomes a bats matchup to make the final.
Posted on 5/22/23 at 9:54 am to 3rdPart Tiger
Listening to D1 Baseball's Nerdcast at the moment.
Their projections before conference tourneys start:
Bracket 1 in Omaha (1 v 8; 4 v 5)
1 Wake Forest
16 Texas
8 Virginia
9 Kentucky
4 LSU
13 Oklahoma State
5 Stanford
12 Auburn
Bracket 2 in Omaha (2 v 7; 3 v 6)
2 Florida
15 Boston College
7 Vanderbilt
10 Coastal
3 Arkansas
14 Alabama
6 Clemson
11 Miami
Their projections before conference tourneys start:
Bracket 1 in Omaha (1 v 8; 4 v 5)
1 Wake Forest
16 Texas
8 Virginia
9 Kentucky
4 LSU
13 Oklahoma State
5 Stanford
12 Auburn
Bracket 2 in Omaha (2 v 7; 3 v 6)
2 Florida
15 Boston College
7 Vanderbilt
10 Coastal
3 Arkansas
14 Alabama
6 Clemson
11 Miami
This post was edited on 5/22/23 at 1:49 pm
Posted on 5/22/23 at 10:10 am to 3rdPart Tiger
There is no chance in hell Kentucky is the #9 overall seed. Zero
Posted on 5/22/23 at 10:13 am to Datsmoneydude
quote:
There is no chance in hell Kentucky is the #9 overall seed. Zero
They are #2 in RPI and we dont know how much the committee cares about that so I wouldn't say zero chance
Posted on 5/22/23 at 10:13 am to Datsmoneydude
quote:
There is no chance in hell Kentucky is the #9 overall seed.
I kind of agree with that. They have good metrics but they also lost 6 out of 10 SEC series including 6 out of their last 7.
Posted on 5/22/23 at 10:19 am to Scoob
quote:
Keep the pattern in Omaha, and you can get Floyd in a winnable matchup game 1, and then Skenes against Wake. You then are in the driver's seat; Wake burns their starters getting out of the loser's bracket and it becomes a bats matchup to make the final.
Sooooooo what CPM did in the 2015 CWS?
Posted on 5/22/23 at 10:21 am to Yeti_Chaser
quote:
They are #2 in RPI and we dont know how much the committee cares about that so I wouldn't say zero chance
I think the biggest issue for me is the disconnect between what they are projecting for Kentucky vs SC. Their metrics, RPI, and conference standing are comparable, but they have UK at #9 and SC shutout. I could see UK getting one of the last seeds and SC not getting one, but if they think that highly of Kentucky, then SC would earn a seed as well.
Posted on 5/22/23 at 10:26 am to Datsmoneydude
quote:
Zero
I wouldn't say zero.
They have the #2 RPI, #1 SoS, #9 NC SoS, and #1 NC RPI.
Wouldn't be shocking if they're the first SEC National Seed outside of the top 8.
Let's also not forget UK swept USCe.
This post was edited on 5/22/23 at 10:29 am
Posted on 5/22/23 at 11:43 am to 3rdPart Tiger
quote:
LSU has better numbers but UF has the East and a share of the SEC.
The committee doesnt give two fricks about winning a regular season conference title, much less a regular season conference division title. That legitimately carries zero weight.
Posted on 5/22/23 at 12:01 pm to UpToPar
quote:
That legitimately carries zero weight.
I mean, Texas A&M had an RPI of 25 and Q1 (18-11) after the SEC Tourney last year and was the #5 National Seed.
You don't think winning the West maybe factored into it?
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