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re: Updated College Baseball Rankings: LSU #2

Posted on 4/28/25 at 4:24 pm to
Posted by PaulShaffer11
Member since Dec 2024
23 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 4:24 pm to
LSU #1 ASU should be top 20! U of A and Oregon State should not be ranked!
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
80068 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 4:28 pm to
Okay, then who deserves to be ahead of them?
Posted by MikeTheTiger71
Member since Dec 2021
3629 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Okay, then who deserves to be ahead of them?


Arkansas and Tennessee have the same or better conference records in a tougher conference. UNC is tied for 1st in the ACC. FSU has a slightly better ACC record and one more Q1 win. Those 4 for sure. Georgia is 12-9 in the SEC with a far tougher schedule played. They are 12-9 vs Q1 vs 9-8 for Clemson. Maybe even Alabama at 10-7 vs Q1.
Posted by PaulShaffer11
Member since Dec 2024
23 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 5:35 pm to
Oregon state is in a 1 team conference! Out on an island by itself has its benefits though as it can travel all over the US including nearly a week in Hawaii!. They really don’t deserve top 20 placement . OSU a has been!
Posted by PaulShaffer11
Member since Dec 2024
23 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 5:37 pm to
I personally like Oklahoma to make it to the WS! If ASU makes the post season they can go deep as well with a great offense and improved pitching
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
80068 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 6:10 pm to
quote:

Arkansas and Tennessee have the same or better conference records in a tougher conference

Arkansas and tennessee have lost 3 straight and 3 out of 4 sec series

Unc has an argument and its close

Fsu has lost 2 conference series and hasnt played as tough a schedule. Only 2 q2 games for fsu

Georgia? Lol just lost 5 of their last 7 and got swept by vandy.

Bama? Come on



Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
22154 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 7:23 pm to
quote:

ETA Don’t even think the NCBWA poll deserves to grace the OP but posting them all…
NCBWA poll: LSU #4

Last major poll to be updated for the week

The ncbwa organization is obviously made up of very biased regional writers to come up with this nonsense. they have Clemson and Oregon St ranked ahead of us after both getting swept this weekend. Clemson is the 5th place team in the ACC but #2 in the country
Posted by Zachary
Member since Jan 2007
1759 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 7:38 pm to
It's hard to buy Arkansas at 11, Tennessee at 12, and Ole Miss at 23. The first two are top 8, and Ole Miss is top 15.
Posted by Tigrdynasty
19th hole
Member since Jun 2018
2909 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 7:46 pm to
quote:

Let Shores get right


I won't stop him
Posted by MikeTheTiger71
Member since Dec 2021
3629 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

Arkansas and tennessee have lost 3 straight and 3 out of 4 sec series


Baseball is a sport prone to streaks and slumps. While catching a hot streak in the NCAA tournament can be the ticket a CWS title, a slump in April tells us very little about who will be hot in June. You have to look at the overall picture, not snapshots in time. Arkansas did have a bad series loss at home, but they also won road series against Vandy and Ole Miss. Tennessee lost 2 home series, but also won road series against Alabama and Ole Miss.

quote:

Fsu has lost 2 conference series and hasnt played as tough a schedule. Only 2 q2 games for fsu


Both have played 3 series against teams in the Top 25 of either ELO or RPI. The difference is 2 of the 3 were on the road for FSU and 2 of 3 at home for Clemson. Both are 4-5 in those games. That said, I can buy the Q2 series wins for Clemson being a differentiator.

quote:

Georgia? Lol just lost 5 of their last 7 and got swept by vandy.


And Clemson was swept by NC State. Again, timing should not have that much effect on the rankings especially when both teams are 2-4 in their last 2 weekend series.

quote:

Bama? Come on


They are 10-7 vs Q1 compared to Clemson at 9-8, so I’m not sure why that’s so crazy a notion. 5-2 vs 10-2 vs Q2 doesn’t move the needle much.

I think you are putting too much emphasis on the number of series losses. Not only because of all the one-run wins for Clemson, but also because they have only played one road series against a Top 25 (ELO or RPI) opponent. The number of road series against the Top 25 is pretty determinant of the number of series losses for the top teams this year. LSU bucks that trend with 3 Top 25 road series and only 2 series losses. The same is true for Georgia. Texas has 0 Top 25 road series and 0 series losses. UNC has 1 and 1. FSU has 2 and 2. Arkansas and Tennessee have 3 and 3. UCI and Coastal Carolina have 1 and 1. WVU has 1 and 1. Auburn has 2 and 2. Vandy has 4 and 4. The outliers are Oregon St with 1 Top 25 road series and 2 series losses and Alabama with 3 road series and 4 losses. Overall, the Top 15 in the RPI have exactly as many series losses as they have played Top 25 road series. Clemson’s one series loss is the expected result for a Top 15 team. It shouldn’t put them at #3.

Arkansas (8-7), Tennessee (9-6), Georgia (10-8), and Alabama (8-7), all have winning records in conference play against the Top 25 (RPI or ELO), though Tennessee and Alabama do have non-Top 25 series losses. Clemson and FSU are 4-5. Clemson went 2-1 in their preseason classic as did Tennessee and Arkansas. Georgia and FSU didn’t play any real competition. Alabama made up for their non-Top 25 series loss by going 3-0 against NC State, Coastal Carolina, and Troy. Alabama and FSU could go either way, but Arkansas, Georgia, UNC, and Tennessee belong ahead of Clemson.
Posted by bayoubengal014
Member since Dec 2017
134 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 10:23 pm to
Mid week games still matter to me. I want us to win every mid week game.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
80068 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

Baseball is a sport prone to streaks and slumps. While catching a hot streak in the NCAA tournament can be the ticket a CWS title, a slump in April tells us very little about who will be hot in June. You have to look at the overall picture, not snapshots in time. Arkansas did have a bad series loss at home, but they also won road series against Vandy and Ole Miss. Tennessee lost 2 home series, but also won road series against Alabama and Ole Miss.

You seem to be stuck on the polls being either a season ending predictor or a power rating system, and its just not ever gonna be either.
Posted by MikeTheTiger71
Member since Dec 2021
3629 posts
Posted on 4/28/25 at 10:38 pm to
quote:

You seem to be stuck on the polls being either a season ending predictor or a power rating system, and its just not ever gonna be either.


I’m not stuck on anything. The polls can be stupid in the logic they use and I can freely criticize them for that stupidity. At the end of the day the polls don’t mean very much, but they are good conversation starters.
Posted by semjase
New Smyrna Beach FL
Member since May 2014
12726 posts
Posted on 4/29/25 at 12:13 am to
Coastal Carolina.......I want them in the BR Regional.





Posted by TigerBait2008
Boulder,CO
Member since Jun 2008
35212 posts
Posted on 4/29/25 at 9:47 am to
You're not even an LSU fan so stfu..
This post was edited on 4/29/25 at 9:47 am
Posted by Spasweezy
Unfortunately, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2014
6998 posts
Posted on 4/29/25 at 12:55 pm to
I want these fellas to win everything this year, but this ranking is going to lead to a lot of butt-hurt come post season. It’s too high of a ranking.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
22154 posts
Posted on 4/29/25 at 1:11 pm to
You say that yet I don’t see a good argument for anyone other than Texas to be ranked ahead of us. We’re tied for 2nd in the SEC with Arkansas who has lost 3 straight series and the only other team with a better record overall than us is West Virginia
Posted by Wichita Co Tiger
Texas
Member since Apr 2023
2543 posts
Posted on 4/29/25 at 1:57 pm to
It’s about information available is what I was told. At least that was the excuse when LSU lost a series at Texas and dropped 8 spots. How about we just agree that some of these pollsters vote with their fandom rather than their brains?
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
75234 posts
Posted on 4/29/25 at 4:36 pm to
they’re both in something like a skid but I agree

Arkansas has lost their last 3 series
Tennessee 3 of their last 4
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
22154 posts
Posted on 4/29/25 at 5:29 pm to
quote:

I’m assuming in this weeks D1 tourney projection… not that it really means anything at this point…. But you’d have LSU paired with Vandy for the Super
I did my own regional projection after the polls came out yesterday and funny enough that’s exactly what I came up with

Slow week at work

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