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re: This injury report has to be real

Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:21 pm to
Posted by SoggyCerealClub
Member since Apr 2026
318 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:21 pm to
The SEC calls this an availability report, not an injury report. A player can legitimately be doubtful because of an injury, illness, suspension, eligibility matter, personal matter, or another legitimate reason affecting whether he will participate.

LSU isn’t required to publicly disclose the underlying medical or personal reason.
Posted by Rekrul
Member since Feb 2007
9758 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

I dont think lane would put out an injury report thats just going to lead to lsu fans selling their tickets.

And thats exactly whats about to happen.


Are you a woman? If not you should definitely see a doctor soon about your emotional hysteria
Posted by Triple Bogey
19th Green
Member since May 2017
6933 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:22 pm to
I jumped on the -1.5 as soon as I saw it.. If it was only Sam I might would be concerned, but he has TreyDez, Weeks and Dottery on there.
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
26177 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:23 pm to
quote:

Because its not. I run models that are not based on what Vegas says at all, and 90% of my predicted spreads and totals are very, very close to Vegas.



Markets are incredibly good at pricing all that in
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
72122 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:23 pm to
It's real. It's over boys, pack it in. Ole Miss got this one in the bag.

:(
Posted by TROLA
BATON ROUGE
Member since Apr 2004
15029 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:24 pm to
He’s obviously hurt in some capacity. But it would be a Lane move to list him doubtful vs questionable
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
93718 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:24 pm to
knowing Lane he posted that shite to get the line down for us Tigah bettors.

leavitt will play. this is all the ali rope a dope and so many here are falling for it
Posted by Ebridg3
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Sep 2016
3472 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:26 pm to
quote:

leavitt will play. this is all the ali rope a dope and so many here are falling for it


LSU will have a long season after this game regardless. If Lane thinks holding these guys out and risking this game to make the rest of the season more certain.. then I get that.

Dottery was clearly playing injured vs la tech.
Posted by HoneyDuece
Member since Sep 2026
56 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:28 pm to
quote:

Because the public saw this “news” and started hammering ole miss


Books do not really move off public action in the way you think they do.
Posted by TigerBait2008
Boulder,CO
Member since Jun 2008
41018 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:29 pm to
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
26285 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:29 pm to
quote:

dont think lane would put out an injury report thats just going to lead to lsu fans selling their tickets.
why would lsu fans sell their tickets?

If you’re scared say you’re scared
Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
80812 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:30 pm to
Real QB injuries are worth more than 1 point line movement too though
Posted by BigSlick
No Idea
Member since Jan 2013
1248 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:31 pm to
No matter how often this is explained, they still don't get it.
Posted by Ebridg3
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Sep 2016
3472 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:31 pm to
quote:

Books do not really move off public action in the way you think they do.


Correct. The lines are priced to favor Vegas regardless. Thats why good models that are somewhat well tuned...

Give fair market pricing eith their predictions and you can see how much Vegas taxes you.

And even then.. this game has been 60 40 split
This post was edited on 9/16/26 at 8:32 pm
Posted by Veritas
Member since Feb 2005
11846 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:31 pm to
quote:

Line went from -3 to 1.5

Vegas wouldn’t change the line if was just Lane playing mind games


Sir, you don't understand vegas lines
Posted by Veritas
Member since Feb 2005
11846 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:32 pm to
quote:

Books do not really move off public action in the way you think they do.


They move off of % of money.
Posted by cadillac7563
Birmingham, AL
Member since Aug 2014
2040 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:32 pm to
Holy insufferable post
Posted by 1609tiger
Member since Feb 2011
3870 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:33 pm to
Went from -3 to -1 1/2. Now already back to -2 1/2.
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
93718 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:35 pm to
still -1.5 on FD

Dk -2.5

have to check bookmaker and caesars
Posted by Slevin7
Member since Sep 2015
2866 posts
Posted on 9/16/26 at 8:37 pm to
quote:

Vegas wouldn’t change the line if was just Lane playing mind games


Vegas changes the line based on wtf ever. Their goal is to have balanced money and take their cut
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