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re: The Kentucky problem

Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:14 pm to
Posted by TigerBait2008
Boulder,CO
Member since Jun 2008
42043 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:14 pm to
wut?
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
15422 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

First off, if LSU wins out then they’re in the playoff.
But Kentucky will act as LSU’s ceiling starting this week. If Kentucky loses to Tennessee this weekend, then that is going to cap how high



tenn beating Bama says thats not the case......
Posted by KamaCausey_LSU
Member since Apr 2013
18214 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

First off, if LSU wins out then they’re in the playoff.
But Kentucky will act as LSU’s ceiling starting this week. If Kentucky loses to Tennessee this weekend, then that is going to cap how high LSU can rise in the rankings even after beating number 5 Alabama. If Kentucky gets a 3rd loss somewhere, then that probably eliminates LSU’s chance at getting in as a 3 loss team. I know Kentucky winning out probably eliminates our chances at the SEC title game. But a 1 loss Kentucky is the best thing for LSU’s playoff chances and seeding.

Beat Alabama and the transitive property falls apart. LSU beats Alabama, who beat Kentucky, who beat LSU. Same thing with Texas/Ole Miss.

Kentucky is also probably going to finish 2-2 or 1-3 to finish the season. @Tenn - loss
vs Florida - win
@Mizzou - loss
vs Louisville - win/loss

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
26947 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

We don’t get a sniff at the playoffs with 3 losses.
We will likely get “backroomed” out of it with 2 losses.
Alabama is a lock with 3 losses.
It’s kind of a crock of shite.


you’re off your meds
Posted by honeybadger07
The Woodlands
Member since Jul 2015
4646 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:24 pm to
Wrong…LSU lost on the road in OT by one point on a two point conversion.

Bama is already well above Tenner after losing to them bad with same amount of losses.

Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
19695 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:25 pm to
I expect KY to end the season with 3 and possibly 4 losses.
Posted by honeybadger07
The Woodlands
Member since Jul 2015
4646 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

The committee just showed us that by ranking Alabama over Kentucky even with having 2 losses.



Now do Tennessee logic.
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
19695 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

Forget the 4th and 1 call. The Kentucky game should not have even been close.

I still don’t understand how LSU lost that game.


100% - I'm really not interested in any of the excuses I've seen and heard. That's a game we just should not have lost. I hope it's not the reason we're left out.
Posted by NoMercy
Member since Feb 2007
4892 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 2:03 pm to
What if LSU UK and Bama all have 3 losses and LSU beat Bama?

What is LSU UK and Tenn have 3 losses and LSU beat Tenn and Tenn beat UK.

UK having 3 losses does not define LSU getting in as 3 loss team. UK has had a relatively easy SEC slate so far just like LSU. LSU lost both of the their big games because they were both on the road. UK split theirs being at home. Both teams are about to go through a gauntlet. The resumes has a ton of shifting left to do.
Posted by SOL2
Dallas burbs
Member since Jan 2020
9950 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 2:07 pm to
I don't see us getting in with 3.
Posted by bbnitiger
Member since Feb 2024
458 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

You’re assuming the CFP follows any sort of rules or metrics.


Agree with this 100%. The committee has an overall very general mandate of picking the best teams. There are no overall policies or metrics that they are required to follow. I think they like it this way. They can justify their selections off of different criteria in different years. Some years they stress head to head. Other years, strength of schedule was important, or Strong Wins and Bad Losses, or the eye test. They can do what they want and they use whatever method justifies their picks.
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
23448 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

And to think. 1 yard is all that's between us, the #4 ranking, and a near guaranteed playoff berth.

The Lane I thought we were getting would have gone for it. I think he has returned.
Posted by Milk
central
Member since May 2010
1944 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

I hope you’re right, but I disagree. LSU will get compared directly with Kentucky


That will have been 3 games and 4 weeks prior. If Kentucky loses and LSU wins, LSU will become either the highest ranked 2 loss team or 2nd highest if Texas manages to beat Missouri and Arch Manning.

This has always been the way.

I think Alabama is so high because their remaining schedule is Vanderbilt, Chattanooga and Auburn.

Posted by oldtrucker
Marianna, Fl
Member since Apr 2013
4117 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 3:55 pm to
Was Texas Ohio States ceiling?
Posted by TigersBy90
Member since Oct 2019
556 posts
Posted on 11/4/26 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

And to think. 1 yard is all that's between us, the #4 ranking, and a near guaranteed playoff berth.
.

Makes me honestly want the throw up thinking about it that way.
Posted by p226
Lafayette
Member since Sep 2016
2324 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 7:39 am to
quote:

I still don’t understand how LSU lost that game.


I don’t understand how you don’t understand. New coaches, many new players, veteran players playing a completely new system.

Makes a football team not play real well, and that’s exactly how LSU looked in that game.

And now, you’re seeing the team play a little better every week, Leavitt getting the ball out a little quicker, it’s all anyone talks about - LSU getting better every week.
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
19695 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 7:45 am to
quote:

I don’t understand how you don’t understand. New coaches, many new players, veteran players playing a completely new system.

Makes a football team not play real well, and that’s exactly how LSU looked in that game.


You do realize KY has a new coach and 40 transfer players - don't you? And they were worse than we were last year - they were 5-7.
This post was edited on 11/5/26 at 7:48 am
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
37028 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 7:56 am to
quote:

You do realize KY has a new coach and 40 transfer players - don't you?


No. And that is the issue. Many throw out opinions, in this instance excuses based upon an era of college football that no longer exists, with little to no context of the sport beyond their favorite team.
Posted by jp4lsu
Member since Sep 2016
7969 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 8:02 am to
quote:

Kentucky isn’t beating Tennessee.


I remember saying "Kentucky isn’t beating LSU"
But yes UK could very well lose 2 more and OM could very well lose this weekend. So 2 teams that barely beat LSU would have 3 losses and if LSU has 3 losses, what will happen?
Is the closeness of the game in the head to heads with OM and UK considered or will committee just knock LSU out because of head to head?
The CFP is going to have a ton of controversy because the SEC is beating each other up and teams have lost to teams they shouldn't have.

What about Texas. If they have 3 losses will they get in over a 3 loss LSU? They 2 stinky losses but a couple of really good wins.
The puzzle will start to take shape this weekend. I really hope we don't have to rely on the committee to get in the playoff with 3 losses.
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
19695 posts
Posted on 11/5/26 at 8:11 am to
quote:

No. And that is the issue. Many throw out opinions, in this instance excuses based upon an era of college football that no longer exists, with little to no context of the sport beyond their favorite team.


In this case, the poster unwittingly it seems, destroyed his own argument.

From my perspective, quit all the excuses for losing to a team we should not have lost to. Nothing we can do to get it back we just have much less margin for error now.
This post was edited on 11/5/26 at 8:21 am
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