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re: Spread dropping like a rock. Thoughts on why?
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:52 am to SEC Doctor
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:52 am to SEC Doctor
quote:
Money obviously coming in on Florida.
Vegas puts its self in the middle of the money. so yes, more money has been grabbing Florida and the points, so the spread shrinks to position the money back in the middle.
Posted on 9/10/25 at 7:55 am to Doby
quote:
Trying to pull more UF $$ in
How is dropping the line bringing in more money in the UF side?
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:01 am to Draco Malfoy
Chester, no offensive production. Another Clemson defensive game. Except Lagway can run and Nuss is a puss on running.
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:07 am to jacksajester
quote:Jayden Daniels beat Florida by 10 points @ Florida his first year, then by 18 points his 2nd year at home.
Because it’s LSU vs Florida and 9.5 points is insane no matter how good or bad either team is.
quote:Florida is definitely as bad as many think they are. They have talent, but Napier has yet to give up play calling, Lagway lost tons of prep time in during Fall practices because of injury, and that defense nor OL is as stout as people believe.
Also, Florida isn’t as bad as people think they are, & LSU isn’t as good.
If LSU gets the run game fixed, there is no team i would bet on beating them.
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:08 am to Doby
quote:
Trying to pull more UF $$ in
Then dropping the line would be counter-productive to that goal
quote:
TG & BM are likely out against UF, dropping the spread keeps the money in Vegas
I’m not sure what “keeping the money in Vegas” means
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:08 am to Draco Malfoy
9.5 is a big, big number for LSU/UF
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:09 am to GumboPot
quote:
Have you seen our offence?
Are you posting from the UK?
He's using a British keyboard
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:09 am to Bring Da Wood
quote:Jayden Daniels beat Florida by double digits both years. Won by 18 his 2nd year.
It’s almost always a close one score game. That’s way too many points. Even in 2019 it was back and forth all game. FL and AU were two of the closest games we played in 2019 and both were at home. We’re a better team and should win but I’d still be surprised if it isn’t somewhat close like the Clemson game.
This post was edited on 9/10/25 at 8:10 am
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:12 am to GumboPot
quote:
Are you posting from the UK?
He’s just looking at the shedule.
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:19 am to idlewatcher
quote:
He's using a British keyboard
That really “chaps” me.
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:20 am to Draco Malfoy
Losing to USF was a blessing in disguise for Florida. You'll see on Saturday night a UF team loaded with determination: fire in their eyes, and grit in their gizzard.
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:24 am to Draco Malfoy
Because ppl have now actuallly reviewed just how pooorly LSU performed last week and have lost 2 key offensive players to boot.
No matter how good rhe defense plays this offense will keep the game within reach for florida.
No matter how good rhe defense plays this offense will keep the game within reach for florida.
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:26 am to Bring Da Wood
quote:
It’s almost always a close one score game.
Meh.
Margin of victory for last 3 -
2024 - 11 points
2023 - 17 points
2022 - 10 points
Now, there were quite a few 1-score from about 2004 through 2021 (10 out of 18).
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:30 am to ApexTiger
quote:I think you mean our "defence".
and have your seen our Defense
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:31 am to Draco Malfoy
This is very easy. Too much money came in on Florida at the 9.5 so they need some money to start coming in on LSU
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:32 am to Reagan80
quote:That's what I call bringing it. We'd have never known if you hadn't told us. Thank you.
If the Tigers can’t run the ball, they could be in trouble.
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:34 am to Datbayoubengal
quote:All by himself huh?
Jayden Daniels beat Florida by double digits both years. Won by 18 his 2nd year.
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:36 am to Draco Malfoy
No run game, no O-line, no red zone offense, and a mediocre-at-best quarterback.
This post was edited on 9/10/25 at 8:37 am
Posted on 9/10/25 at 8:43 am to jacksajester
quote:
Because it’s LSU vs Florida and 9.5 points is insane no matter how good or bad either team is.
LSU is 6-1 in the last 7 games vs. Florida at home with an average margin of victory of 14 points. In fact, the fewest points LSU has won by in those 6 wins is 7 points.
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