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re: RPI Projections on Warren Nolan
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:27 pm to Geauxldilocks
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:27 pm to Geauxldilocks
The depth is there, they just don't have confidence. Pretty sure we had no pitching depth the '23 year either. But we had some guys turn the page and light it up.
0
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:32 pm to tirebiter
quote:
Seriously doubt this is happening after watching them play UGA.
I’m far from an optimist about this team that has flaws in every phase of the game, but the SEC is such a week to week league that it’s weakminded to believe LSU doesn’t have a shot (even against some of the better SEC teams) to win a home series. We won’t be favored to win final home series against UF but it certainly could happen.
For example, the same very flawed team LSU just won a road series against in Knoxville went on the road the following weekend and swept a Miss State team, who just finished back to back sweeps against Vandy and Ole Miss, teams LSU only won 2 of 6 against. Another example is after Florida got swept by Alabama then swept Arkansas, their two opponents just played a series against each other this past weekend, and Arkansas defied the transitive property by sweeping Alabama on the road. Makes little sense.
We can still beat good teams. I just doubt we can do it at the clip we need to in order to get to the 14-15 SEC win mark we need to overcome the atrocious RPI.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:36 pm to tirebiter
quote:quote:
Win 2 vs Florida at the box
Seriously doubt this is happening after watching them play UGA.
How did you feel when they lost two of three to High Point and got swept by Alabama?
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:56 pm to mdomingue
quote:
Sweep SC, Win one at Moo State, Win 2 vs aTm at the box, Win 2 vs Florida at the box
The only one of those scenarios that's greater than 50% is to probably win one at MSU.
quote:
Any of those is seems possible to me.
Of course, it's possible. It's highly unlikely (5-10% range IMO).
Posted on 4/13/26 at 12:58 pm to mdomingue
holy shiitte batman - putting aside that you need to get a life (or a job), just admit that this team is not good, does not belong in the post season, and may very well up with a losing record -
Posted on 4/13/26 at 1:24 pm to Meauxjeaux
Love your optimism 
Not sure Jay even believes this
Not sure Jay even believes this
Posted on 4/13/26 at 2:11 pm to Hale Lipari
quote:
holy shiitte batman - putting aside that you need to get a life (or a job), just admit that this team is not good, does not belong in the post season, and may very well up with a losing record -
Learn to read, buddy.
I simply posted Warren Nolan's projection, and you had a hissy fit.
ETA: and for LSU to end up with a losing record, they would have to lose 13 of their last 19 games
This post was edited on 4/13/26 at 4:22 pm
Posted on 4/13/26 at 2:13 pm to LSU=Champions
quote:
We can still beat good teams. I just doubt we can do it at the clip we need to in order to get to the 14-15 SEC win mark we need to overcome the atrocious RPI.
I just posted the projections, and some people came unglued
I guess folks are invested in this being a bad team. I appreciate the more rational fans.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 2:53 pm to Tifway419
quote:
Straight retard if you think LSU would be “lucky” if they won 2/3 against USC at home
Well, if "someone" came here before the season and said we'd be 6-9 at the turn, they would have also been called a "retard", along with ban bets etc...
Your opinion means no more than any others.
It'll play itself out. Life goes on. It's just baseball.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 2:55 pm to Pelican fan99
quote:
Jay really needs to go all in on sweeping SC that seems like the most realistic option
We haven't been going all in for the previous 5 series?
I think we've found our problem.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 2:58 pm to mdomingue
Can't say if this is accurate or it but am certain that WW is staying at NC State
Posted on 4/13/26 at 3:00 pm to Pho Que II
quote:
Can't say if this is accurate or it but am certain that WW is staying at NC State
Posted on 4/13/26 at 3:18 pm to GeneralLee
quote:This. I originally thought 11-19 after that disaster against Sac State then I started to think hmm maybe not but after this past weekend, I dont know anymore. aTm is pretty good. LSU is gonna stay home unless something changes. They even have to prove they can go 4-0 for weekday games left. Lsu has played like they rather be doing something else during the week.
12-18 or 11-19 on the year in SEC play.
This post was edited on 4/13/26 at 3:23 pm
Posted on 4/13/26 at 3:51 pm to MrWalkingMan
quote:
Bold projection at this point
Especially with the run rule Demons coming tonight
Posted on 4/13/26 at 3:52 pm to Rainier Fog
quote:
Especially with the run rule Demons coming tonight
Did the game get moved?
Posted on 4/13/26 at 4:00 pm to mdomingue
quote:
Giving LSU a 34-22 (14-16) record and an RPI of 43
I think this would have us as one of the last one or two teams in the field.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 5:30 pm to mdomingue
quote:
There are 35 at-large bids. An RPI in the 40s has a decent chance of getting you in. As a defending champ, they probably get in with that RPI alone because the committee has always had some leeway. Hosting is a pipe dream unless something almost magically changes.
All of this ^
At 14-16 we are in with our RPI in the 40s. There is no way I see them leaving us out. I don’t think we host but I think we end crashing someone else’s regional.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 5:39 pm to pgaddxn
I don’t think a 14 win team has ever been left out in the new format. Could be wrong on that though. So yes safe to say it’s a good bet we’d be in.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 6:03 pm to mdomingue
And you think that losing 13 out of the last 19 games is out of the question? Not by a long shot.
Posted on 4/13/26 at 6:08 pm to Hale Lipari
quote:
And you think that losing 13 out of the last 19 games is out of the question? Not by a long shot.
Unlikely enough, I would ban-bet you.
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